Features
Steel exports gain momentum through February
Written by Brett Linton
April 9, 2024
Following their 25% jump from December to January, US steel exports rose another 9% in February. The latest US Department of Commerce data shows 840,000 short tons (st) of steel left the country in February. This is the highest monthly export rate since August 2023.
Monthly averages
Looking at exports on a 3-month moving average (3MMA) basis can smooth out the monthly fluctuations. Shipments had trended downward throughout the second half of 2023, falling to an 11-month low in December. The 3MMA changed course as it entered the new year, now up 5% month-on-month (m/m) to a three-month high of 742,000 st through February.
Exports can be annualized on a 12-month moving average (12MMA) basis to further dampen month-to-month variations and highlight historical trends. From this perspective, steel exports have steadily trended upwards since bottoming out in mid-2020. The 12MMA figure surpassed 800,000 st in January, now at 805,000 st through February figures and up to the highest 12MMA level since October 2018.
Exports by product
Exports of all major flat-rolled steel products showed significant increases from December to January, except for hot-rolled sheet, which declined 3%. Movement was mixed in February, with plate and hot-rolled products increasing, cold rolled flat and coated products declining. The most impressive mover in February was in hot rolled products, surging 43% m/m. Coiled plate saw a 15% increase in that span, while galvanized exports shrunk 10%.
Notable year-on-year (y/y) increases were seen in exports of cold-rolled sheet (+37%), hot-rolled sheet (+22%) and other-metallic-coated products (+13%).
On a 3MMA basis, each of the steel product exports we track saw increases from January to February. The largest m/m movers were hot-rolled sheet (+18%) and coiled plate (+15%).
Note that most steel exported from the US is destined for USMCA trading partners Canada and Mexico.
Brett Linton
Read more from Brett LintonLatest in Features
AISI: Raw steel production falls to three-month low
US raw steel production slipped again last week. It now stands at a 13-week low, according to the latest American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data. AISI estimated total domestic steel output estimated to have been 1,701,000 short tons (st) in the week ending April 27. That's down 0.9% compared to the week prior.
Final thoughts
What a difference a month makes. In late March, it seemed like the US hot-rolled (HR) coil market was poised to cycle upward. Large buyers had re-entered the market and placed big orders earlier in the month. Several outages were underway or upcoming. And expectations were that lead times would continue to extend. Cliffs said […]
SMU market survey results now available
The latest SMU market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.” Historical survey results are also available under that selection. If you need help accessing the survey results, or if […]
SMU survey: Buyers’ Sentiment finishes April on the upswing
SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices both rose this week to reach some of the highest levels seen this year.
Price: Why have steel emissions policies forgotten about recycling?
Steelmaking currently accounts for approximately 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions. The only way to achieve net zero goals is to significantly reduce steel emissions worldwide. And there is no way to do that without recycling.