All of the flat rolled steel indexes which reported pricing this past week saw benchmark hot rolled prices as being down and another step closer to touching $600 per ton. From Steel Market Update’s vantage point, the lower end of our range has broken down to $580 per ton ($29.00/cwt). Our HRC average for the […]
Figure 1 shows historical gas and oil prices since January 2000. The daily spot price of West Texas Intermediate fell below $100 in August and by December 15th was down to $55.96, the latest daily figure available from the Energy Information Administration, (EIA.) Brent closed at $61.09 on the same day. Natural gas delivered to […]
Jawad Mian wrote, “The precipitous decline in the price of oil is perhaps one of the most bearish macro developments this year. We believe we are entering a “new oil normal,” where oil prices stay lower for longer. The reason oil prices started sliding in June can be explained by record growth in US production, […]
Production in November on a tons per day basis was 4.351 million tonnes, down from 4.411 in October. November had one fewer production day than October and the month’s total decreased from 136.363 million to 130.525 tons. Since January 2008 on average, November monthly production has decreased by 5.36 percent, this year November decreased by […]
Hot rolled coil futures took another leg down over the past couple of weeks as spot softness continues to weigh down the terminal market. The forward curve has moved down $5-10 per ton depending on the period for calendar 15 months. Q1 and Q2 is now trading close to $600 per ton and 2nd half […]
Shredded scrap prices are up approximately $20 per ton compared to where they were the first week of December. According to Mike Marley of MetalPrices.com, shred is in tight supply in several Midwest cities due to the decline in the flows of shredded feedstock due to the lower selling prices in October and November and […]
We saw prices slipping in hot rolled and cold rolled steels over the past seven days. We are seeing offers on benchmark hot rolled below the $600 per ton level. One service center who is usually a coated only buyer told SMU that they purchased a small amount of hot rolled and they had offers […]
Peter Wright wrote an article in our last issue about the accuracy of the steel import license data. What Peter was referring to was the license data reported at the conclusion of the month and before the preliminary and final census data are reported. Steel Market Update begins to analyze the data beginning in the […]
Iron ore shipments on the Great Lakes totaled 5.9 million tons in November, an increase of 5.8 percent year-over-year. November’s shipment pushes the year-to-date total to 53.2 million tons, surpassing the same period in 2013 by 86,721 tons. The Lake Carriers Association called the slight increase “a huge achievement” when considering the brutal ice conditions […]
For the week ending December 13, 2014, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated that the U.S. steel industry produced 1,880,000 net tons (NT) of raw steel, a 0.2 percent increase over the previous week and a 5.1 percent increase over the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate is 78.2 […]
All of the flat rolled steel price indices followed by Steel Market Update moved lower this past week. Based on performance and their ability to keep up with the markets, the three key indices are SMU, CRU and Platts which reported benchmark hot rolled price averages as $615, $614 and $615 per ton, respectively. SteelBenchmarker […]
The subject of how China is going to deal with their surging steel exports continues in earnest after the release of the most recent Chinese export data. As the graphic shows below, the Chinese steel mills have spent this calendar year flooding the world markets with their steel excesses. In November the Chinese steel mills […]
Steel import data is reported three times for each month. These reports are licensed, preliminary and final tonnages for each product. The Steel Import Monitoring system has been a widely used tool to provide an advanced look at import volumes using data compiled from import licenses. These licenses can be applied for at any time […]
Steel exports have declined by 6.5 percent this year while steel imports have climbed nearly 37 percent, notes the American Institute for International Steel in their Statement on October 2014 Steel Exports published below. Falls Church, VA. December 12, 2014. Steel exports dipped from September to October and fell nearly 11 percent from a year […]
The following article is by Peter Wright for our Premium level members. We decided to share the article with all of our readers this evening as a way of providing an example of Premium level content and analysis to our Executive readers. Following the post-recession recovery, shipments of hot band from US mills to domestic […]
Today’s hot rolled, ferrous scrap and iron ore futures article comes to us from Andre Marshall, CEO of Crunch Risk LLC and the instructor for Steel Market Update’s Managing Price Risk I and Managing Price Risk II workshops. Along with HRC, iron ore and BUS trading. Andre also discusses the S&P 500, copper and crude […]
The following is a calculation used by Steel Market Update in order to analyze the spread between world hot rolled export prices and domestic (USA) hot rolled prices. SMU compares the world hot rolled export price using a range of adders for freight, handling, trader margin, etc. This is then compared to the spot (FOB […]
Apparent steel supply for October 2014 was 10,954,832 net tons, the highest monthly figure we have seen since the beginning of the Great Recession. Apparent steel supply is calculated by adding domestic shipments and finished US imports and subtracting total US exports. October supply represents a 1,509,671 ton or 16.0 percent increase compared to the […]
In a preliminary determination, the U.S. Department of Commerce found that Mexican steel pipe producer Productos Laminados de Monterrey sold pipe below normal value during the period of review, August 1, 2012 through July 31, 2013. Originally eight Mexican companies were reviewed by the DOC for possible dumping of circular welded non-alloy steel pipe into […]
Flat rolled steel prices continued to erode this week as buyers reported an expansion of discounted offers coupled with short mill lead times. Many steel buyers are telling Steel Market Update that their inventories are relatively high, there are new foreign offers out there at “good” prices and that they can sit back and wait […]
Total October steel imports were recently finalized by the US Department of Commerce at 4,441,271 net tons (4,029,058 metric tons), surpassing the previous high of 4,417,811 tons in August 1998. October had been on pace to be a high tonnage month, but previous preliminary data figures were a few thousand tons shy of breaking the […]
October steel exports totaled 1,010,089 net tons (916,338 metric tons), down 2.3 percent over September and down 10.9 percent from October 2013 (all products). Cut plate exports declined 16.1 percent from September to October to 108,527 tons, but were up 0.6 percent compared to levels one year prior. Exports of coiled plate were 39,950 tons in […]
October ferrous scrap exports totaled 1,473,856 net tons (1,337,061 metric tons) with Turkey, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, and Saudi Arabia being the top five countries receiving scrap from the United States. These five countries accounted for 72.4 percent of all scrap exports. Total October ferrous scrap exports were 14.9 percent higher than previous month and 1.5 […]
In a complicated appeals decision on Monday, the World Trade Organization reversed the majority of a July ruling against India that said US duties had wrongly penalized India for subsidizing steel imports of pipe produced by Tata Steel. The decision, however, also admonished the US for breaking Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) rules and called […]
For the week ending December 6, 2014, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated that the U.S. steel industry produced 1,877,000 net tons (NT) of raw steel, a 2.3 percent increase over the previous week and a 5.0 percent increase over the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate is 78.0 […]
Hot rolled prices dropped on all the indexes which reported new pricing this past week. Steel Market Update was down $10 per ton to $620 per ton with CRU ($623) and Platts ($625) coming very close to the SMU number. SteelBenchmarker did not report new pricing this past week as they only report HRC prices […]
Ports around the U.S. report steel shipments continue to be strong but congestion at the terminals remains a problem. In the Port of New Orleans iron and steel imports totaled 2.2 million tons in the first eight months of this year—up 84.8 percent from the same period in 2013. “We don’t have November numbers as […]
Steel Market Update publisher, John Packard, spoke to the Heating, Air-conditioning, Refrigeration Distributors International (HARDI) conference this afternoon. Many of the HARDI wholesalers and associated companies are involved with galvanized sheet and coil steels. As SMU prepared to speak to the group we realized that many times the industry references benchmark hot rolled prices and […]
One of the biggest issues that has been holding the domestic steel mill lead times (and prices) in check during calendar year 2014 is the amount of foreign steel coming into the United States. SMU recently reported the U.S. received 4.4 million net tons of imports during the month of October and license data is […]
The following article on the hot rolled futures market comes to SMU from contributing writer Bradley Clark, Director of Steel Trading for Kataman Metals. Hot rolled coil futures have been quite inactive the past week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. As activity picks back up, it appears the next move will be lower. The forward […]