We are in moving into an interesting period here for spot markets for hot rolled coil. Steel mills are driving hard for a further rally in the face of what appears to us to be weaker year over year demand and an overall challenging macro-economic backdrop, with interest rates likely to create headwinds this year […]
Depending on when you read this, you might know who won the Super Bowl, but we know who won this week—Joe Biden. President Biden gave an effective State of the Union on Tuesday. The speech had everything his (and Bernie Sanders’) supporters could hope for: more Buy American, more equality, more populism, even more support […]
Preliminary Census data indicate that steel imports will have totaled 2.48 million net tons for the month of January. While up nearly 13% from the prior month, January levels are still down more than 3% compared to the previous 12-month average. Recall that monthly import levels declined nearly 17% month on month (MoM) in November, […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and galvanized coil base prices have been in holding pattern. The spread has been hovering around the $200 per ton ($10 per cwt) since the end of November. Figure 1 shows both SMU’s hot rolled and galvanized prices. SMU’s HRC price averaged $810 per ton as of Tuesday, Feb. 7, an […]
The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI) declined 8.4% in January to 201.5 from the revised December reading of 220.0, according to data and analytics from the Dodge Construction Network (DCN). Additionally, the commercial component of the DMI dropped 10.0% and the institutional component receded 4.7%, respectively, last month. “The Dodge Momentum Index weakened in January, after […]
Now entering the second month of the year, prices are still a top-of-mind conversation. After its run-up to over $2,600/tonne, the London Metal Exchange calmed, and volatility dropped. This signals that, for now, it has hit resistance. The Midwest premium has followed a similar trend. After peaking just over $0.30/lb, it has started to come […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has rolled out another $50/ton ($2.50/cwt) sheet price increase just a couple of weeks after doing the same in mid-January. The Cleveland-based steelmaker has also announced a target base price of $850 per ton for hot-rolled coil, up from the $800 per ton announced in mid-January. NLMK USA almost immediately upped the ante, […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
NLMK USA has joined Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. in raising sheet prices by at least $50 per ton ($2.50 per ton), effective immediately. The steelmaker is also seeking a base price of $875 per ton for hot-rolled coil, $25 per ton more than the $850 per ton Cleveland-Cliffs is aiming for. “Orders received and not yet confirmed […]
US Steel Corp. has completed the foundation, along with the first placement of structural steel, at its direct-reduced (DR)-grade pellet production facility in Keewatin, Minn. Completion of the $150-million Keetac project is expected later this year, with first pellets produced in 2024, the company said. US Steel broke ground on the facility in Q3 2022, as […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) kept its competitive price advantage run over imported steel – now 14 weeks running – though it did lose momentum week on week (WoW), according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 7% cheaper than foreign prices this week, down slightly from 8% last […]
US manufacturing activity retreated in January, the third consecutive monthly decline, according to the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.4% in the first month of 2023, the lowest level since May 2020, when it registered a seasonally adjusted 43.5%, ISM said. Any reading below 50% indicates the manufacturing sector is generally contracting. […]
The cost and scope of Steel Dynamics Inc.’s flat-rolled aluminum mill in Columbus, Miss., and related scrap processing operations, have increased. The total cost of the project is now expected to be $2.5 billion, up from an initial $2.2 billion, SDI chairman, president, and CEO Mark Millett said during the quarterly earnings call last week. […]
Nucor Corp. will keep plate prices unchanged with the opening of its March order book. The steelmaker has now maintained its plate tags since its sharp price cut in late November. The Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker said the move was effective on Jan. 26, according to a letter to customers. Published adders and extras will continue to […]
The domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) competitive price advantage over imported steel has been on a 13-week run, and it’s been gaining ground over the past week, with foreign HRC prices still largely on the rise, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. US HRC is approximately 8% cheaper than foreign prices this week, […]
Steel Dynamic Inc.’s new sheet mill in Sinton, Texas, should become profitable in 2023 after costing the Fort Wayne, Ind.-based steelmaker more than $400 million in 2022, company executives said. The shift should come thanks to increased shipments, lower raw material costs, and a lack of import competition from Mexico stemming from production issues at […]
Nucor Corp.’s fourth-quarter net earnings slid 44% from a year ago, but the company still reported the most profitable year in its history. The Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker posted net earnings of $1.26 billion in the quarter ended Dec. 31 vs. $2.25 billion in the same quarter of 2021 on net sales that dropped 16% to […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact becca@steelmarketupdate.com to […]
We’re less than two weeks away from the Tampa Steel Conference. It’s not too late to register, but you should do it ASAP. The event will be at the Tampa Marriott Water Street hotel on Sunday-Tuesday Feb. 5-7. Approximately 445 people have already registered, which is more than total attendance last year. New companies are being added […]
New orders for US-manufactured durable goods increased 5.6% in December month over month to $286.9 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. They have been up four of the last five months, with the exception of a 1.7% decline in November. Transportation equipment drove the increase, rising 16.7% to $108.1 billion, Census noted. New orders for primary […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and galvanized coil base prices has narrowed week over week, but has hovered around the $200-per-ton range since the end of November. Figure 1 shows both SMU’s hot rolled and galvanized prices. SMU’s HRC price averaged $760 per ton ($38 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Jan. 24, an increase from $740 per ton ($37 […]
Existing home sales declined for the eleventh month in a row in December, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). All four major regions in the US registered year-over-year (YoY) drops. And except of the West, all other regions notched month-over-month (MoM) declines as well, NAR said. Sales of existing homes dropped to a seasonally adjusted annual […]
This week’s survey didn’t land quite as I expected. Some data points indicate that the price rally we’ve seen since late November will continue, but others suggest it might be running out of steam. For starters, if you’re an SMU subscriber, you can find our latest market survey results here. If you aren’t, this data […]
The spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and prime scrap prices has remained relatively flat vs December levels, according to Steel Market Update data. Prices for both products rose in January vs. the end of 2022. Our hot-rolled coil price average ticked up $5 per ton week over week to $740 per net ton ($37.00 per cwt) as […]
Steel mill lead times were flat to down this week, declining by an average of 0.5 weeks across all five products we track. Steel buyers reported mill lead times ranging from 4 to 6 weeks for hot rolled and plate, and 5 to 8 weeks for cold rolled, galvanized, and Galvalume. SMU’s hot-rolled lead time […]
US Steel is increasing the warranty policy on Galvalume-coated coils. The Pittsburgh-based steelmaker said it is doubling the standard limited warranty policy for Galvalume-coated coils used in nonresidential and residential building construction. The new warranties will range from 40-60 years vs. 20-25 years for existing warranties, the company said in a statement. “At US […]
By CRU Senior Analyst, Puneet Paliwal, from CRU’s Scrap, DRI/HBI & Pig Iron Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) for January rose by 5.5% month-on-month (MoM), to 319.2, registering the fastest MoM growth since last April. The optimism brought in by China’s unexpected reopening has reverberated across major economies and was further boosted by the […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact Becca@SteelMarketUpdate.com […]
Sheet prices are up again. I haven’t heard much quibbling with that. Upstream, scrap prices are moving up as they typically do in January. And downstream, we’re seeing service centers raising prices roughly in tandem with domestic mills – or at least holding them steady. No, 2023 is not starting off with a big bang […]
Commercial Metals Co. said high demand in North America and increased market share in Europe helped to lift net earnings 12% in its fiscal first quarter of 2023 vs. the same period a year earlier. The Irving, Texas-based long products steelmaker and recycler posted net earnings of $261.8 million in its fiscal first quarter ended Nov. […]