Category: US

Economic activity in the US manufacturing sector contracted for the ninth month in a row in July, according to the latest report on business from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

US Midwest premium has continued to trend lower. Slack end-use demand is the main driver as the CME backwardation holds for dates further out in 2023. Lower freight and weak LME prices lower the replacement costs of aluminum and thus lower the floor for the premium.

The summer cycle has brought more focus around the uncertainty of where HR prices are headed.   Spot indexes continue to bleed lower despite price hikes from sheet mills. Market talk is of still lower prices as the gap grows between the slow-moving index versus expectations for HR future prices declines. (The index likely reflects smaller, […]

Most metal formers predict business conditions will remain stable over the next three months, according to the July 2023 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. PMA’s July report said that 55% of the metal-forming companies the association surveyed expect no change in general economic activity in the next three months vs. 58% in June. Thirty-four […]

The US HRC Futures market has been on a roller-coaster ride since our last update (green). In early July, the front month futures contracts surged significantly as news of Steel Dynamics Inc.’s (SDI’s) Sinton, Texas, mill outage trickled through the market (blue).

The US HRC Futures market has been on a roller coaster ride since our last update (green). In early July, the front month futures contracts surged significantly as news of Steel Dynamics Inc.’s (SDI’s) Sinton, Texas, mill outage trickled through the market (blue). However, the futures quickly reversed course and experienced a sharp decline, following […]

Global steel production slipped modestly in June as output declined in the world ex-China, according to the latest figures from the World Steel Association (worldsteel). Globally, an estimated 158.8 million metric tons of crude steel was produced in June, worldsteel said. This was a 1.7% decline from the month prior, and comparable to the 158.1 […]

Lock Joint Tube will supply steel tubing to solar energy company Array Technologies from a new mill in Texas. The two companies entered into an agreement for Albuquerque, N.M.-based Array to secure structural-grade steel tubing from Lock Joint, which is based in South Bend, Ind., Array said in a statement on Thursday. The new mill […]

In the past two months, the US Midwest Hot Rolled Coil (HRC) futures market has experienced significant fluctuations. The initial decline in prices led to destocking and low inventory levels. However, recent price increase announcements by mills halted the downward trend and even reversed it temporarily. The futures curve reflected short-term optimism but indicated that the […]

In the past two months, the US Midwest Hot Rolled Coil (HRC) futures market has experienced significant fluctuations. The initial decline in prices led to destocking and low inventory levels. However, recent price increase announcements by mills halted the downward trend and even reversed it temporarily.

Business activity at architectural firms was stable in June vs. May, though billings were still increasing, according to the American Institute of Architects (AIA)/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score. May’s rebound of 51.0, the highest reading since February, was slightly than June’s 50.1 index. Both readings are an improvement over April’s index of 48.5, and it’s […]

 The US Federal Reserve said that overall economic activity has inched up since May in its latest Beige Book Report released on July 12. The Beige Book is a compilation of information on current economic conditions, gathered by each district Federal Reserve Bank, and is published eight times per year. The newest report by the Fed on the state […]

Manufacturing activity in New York state has stayed relatively level in July compared with the previous month, according to the most recent Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline manufacturing general business conditions fell six points to 1.1 in July month-on-month, according to survey results collected between July 3 and July 11 by the Federal Reserve Bank […]

Steel prices continued to erode in June, a trend that began halfway through April. Hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices ended June at $875 per ton (43.75 per cwt) on average, falling by $115 per ton throughout the month. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for sheet products remained shifted to Neutral halfway through June, after turning Lower […]

June 1 was the most recent low for CME Midwest HRC futures. At that time, the curve was approximately flat around $800 per short ton (st). Since then, the August future has rallied $188/st, settling today at $983/st, while the September future has rallied $160/st, settling today at $953/st. The chart below compares the curve […]

A short week with the July 4th Holiday kind of sums up recent HR futures activity. Subdued spot activity and not much change from the previous weeks’ indexes leaves the market time to roll exposures. The recent price increases appear to have given spot prices a pause. Heading into the cyclical summer soft spot, mills are […]

Steel shipments in the US fell 2.4% in May compared with a year earlier, the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) said Thursday. Domestic steel mills shipped 7,721,633 net tons in May vs. 7,910,730 net tons in May 2022, but shipments increased 3% from the 7,499,979 net tons shipped in April, according to AISI. Year-to-date […]

The US manufacturing sector receded for the eighth consecutive month in June, according to the latest monthly report on business from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). The ISM’s manufacturing PMI was 46% in June, 0.9% lower than May. The reading marks the seventh month of contraction following a 30-month period of expansion in the […]

As sheet prices continued to decline throughout June, the spread between hot-rolled coil (HRC) and galvanized coil base prices also shrank further. Recall that at the end of May, the galvanized premium over hot-rolled coil (HRC) averaged $175 per ton. As of this week, that premium had fallen to $150 per ton. Let’s look at […]

US hot-rolled coil (HRC) remains at a premium to offshore product, even as recent price declines have brought domestic hot band to its lowest mark since mid-February, according to SMU’s latest foreign vs. domestic price analysis. HRC tags stateside are down $285 per ton since peaking at $1,160 per ton back in mid-April, and are […]

The pressure that comes with being a CEO is not for the faint of heart. With every decision they make, CEOs have to keep in mind what’s best for the company. Karla Lewis, president and CEO of Reliance Steel & Aluminum, and Leon Topalian, president and CEO of Nucor Corp., sat down with Metal Service […]

In May’s preliminary count, total US steel imports came in below import licenses tallied for the month. At the same time, however, flat-rolled steel imports came in higher than licenses originally suggested, according to the latest data from the International Trade Administration’s (ITA’s) steel import monitor. SMU’s previous analysis of May import data showed 2,395,039 […]

Schnitzer Steel Industries reported lower earnings in its fiscal third quarter ended May 31 vs. a year earlier, but sequential performance was higher, driven by stronger demand for recycled metals. The Portland, Ore.-based scrap recycler and long steel producer reported net income attributable to shareholders of $13.5 million in its fiscal Q3, down 82% from […]

Algoma Steel anticipates increasing its plate production in the third calendar quarter of this year. Phase two of the Canadian steelmaker’s plate mill modernization project continues, CEO Michael Garcia said on the company’s fiscal fourth-quarter of 2023 earnings call with analysts on Thursday, June 22. The second phase had initially been expected to be finished […]

The US will import approximately ~50,000 metric tons of steel slab from China in June, according to license data from the US Commerce Department. The figure is notable because the US has imported no significant quantities of Chinese slab in at least the last six years, per Commerce figures. The average price was $694 per metric […]

The US Department of Commerce has reached a preliminary determination that producers of tin mill products from China benefit from significant countervailable government subsidies. Cleveland-Cliffs applauded the decision in a press release on Wednesday. The Cleveland-based steelmaker said Commerce found a subsidy rate of 542.55% for Baoshan Iron and Steel and a rate of 89.02% for […]

The latest Empire State Manufacturing Survey shows an increase in business activity in the state of New York in June after a drop the prior month. The headline manufacturing general business conditions index from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York jumped up into the positive, rising by 38 points to 6.6 in the survey […]

H2 Green Steel has entered into a multi-year deal with Cargill Metals to supply the company with low-carbon emission steel. The Swedish sustainable steelmaker said in a press release Monday that the deal “aims to accelerate global ferrous supply chain decarbonization.” The release noted that Singapore-based Cargill Metals, part of global conglomerate Cargill, “connects different parts […]

Decarbonization in the steel industry is fueling growth in orders for the SMS group. The Düsseldorf, Germany-based metals technology and equipment provider reported a year-on-year (YoY) improvement in its 2022 results, with sales, order intake, order backlog, and earnings before taxes all rising significantly. Order intake grew by nearly a third to €4.612 billion ($5.04 billion) […]

The July Midwest HRC future started February just below $800, rallied $325 in just over a month peaking at $1,115 on March 9. Over the next 81 days, the July future basically went full circle, falling $311 to just over $800 on June 1. Since the start of June, the July future has rallied almost […]