First, the important stuff: May the fourth be with you! Second, steel market participants tell us that several domestic mills have become significantly more aggressive on prices of late. I’m not sure of a Star Wars analogy for that. Prices being slashed with light sabers? I’m open to suggestions. Let’s say it takes tens of […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
The US economy might be at the beginning of what looks to be a challenging second half, according to Reibus International CEO and founder John Armstrong. He sat down with SMU managing editor Michael Cowden for a Community Chat to discuss the economic outlook, its impact on Reibus, and the company’s long-term goals around digitizing how steel is […]
Our hot-rolled coil price slipped modestly again this week. That wasn’t a surprise given the trends we’ve outlined in our newsletters over the last few weeks – shorter lead times, increased domestic output, and mills more willing to negotiate lower prices. Declines often aren’t modest for long. Could we see bigger drops in two weeks […]
U.S. Steel is bullish on the automotive market and believes it is well positioned to continue gaining market share in that important steel-consuming sector. Auto OEMs desire to have their advanced high-strength (AHSS) and automotive-grade steels produced more sustainably, said Kevin Lewis, U.S. Steel’s VP of finance, speaking on the company’s first-quarter earnings conference call […]
Mexico is benefiting from the trend of the reshoring of manufacturing as companies work to secure reliable supply chains and be closer to their end markets. As a result, Ternium’s Mexican operations are seeing increasing shipments and market share. Company executives discussed this and other topics on the company’s first-quarter earnings conference call on Wednesday, […]
Cleveland-Cliffs swung to a loss in Q1 vs. a year earlier, but the loss narrowed from the previous quarter. The Cleveland-based steelmaker posted a net loss of $57 million attributable to shareholders in the quarter ended March 31, compared with net income of $801 million in the year-earlier period on revenues that slid 11% to […]
We’ve written in SMU about “green” steel and whether steel consumers, including market-leading OEMs, will pay a premium for it. What about the potential for premiums in scrap too? Maybe not for green scrap. But what about for “prime grade” or prime-equivalent shredded scrap? Shred that transforms into prime – maybe we could call it […]
Despite high interest rates dampening demand, strength in manufacturing across the globe will drive a rebound in steel demand this year, the World Steel Association (worldsteel) said in its April 2023 Short Range Outlook. “In 2022, recovery momentum after the pandemic shock was hampered by high inflation and increasing interest rates, the Russian invasion of […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. this week provided an early look into its first-quarter earnings – which the company will disclose in full detail on April 23. Q1 steel shipments, revenues, and adjusted EBITDA are all expected to be higher than the prior quarter, the steelmaker said in a news release. At the same time, despite higher shipments, […]
Despite economic headwinds on the horizon, we are probably in store for a “shallow recession” rather than a prolonged one, according to Josh Spoores, CRU’s principal analyst – steel. Spoores sat down with SMU managing editor Michael Cowden on an April 5 Community Chat where they spoke about the outlook for the steel industry for the […]
Good news for automotive steel demand: Two of the Big Three US automakers reported strong sales growth in the first quarter of the year. Sales were higher for both Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co., while FCA US, the North American automaker subsidiary of Stellantis, saw lower Q1 sales. Ford Dearborn, Mich.-based Ford’s Q1 […]
Nucor has chosen Primetals Technologies to build a continuous galvanizing line (CGL) at its Nucor Steel Berkeley facility in Huger, S.C. The new, automotive-grade CGL is designed for annual production of 500,000 tons, London-based Primetals said in a press release on March 29. The line will increase Nucor’s galvanized production capacity and enable this sheet […]
The General Motors Co. (GM) recently recognized its top suppliers at its annual Supplier of the Year event in San Antonio, Texas. The Supplier of the Year award honors outstanding international suppliers who exceed GM’s requirements. Among the award winners were steelmakers Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., Nucor Corp., and Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (CSN). “We are thrilled to […]
We haven’t had a price increase since March 13, the Monday after Silicon Valley Bank collapsed. It’s entirely possible we’ll get another round of price hikes should mills decide the market will support it or should they want to reverse any bearish sentiment before it gains traction. It’s also possible that we won’t see another […]
General Motors is temporarily idling production at one of its plants in order to adjust production schedules to fit customers’ needs. While the automaker’s production has increased over the past month, automotive demand has been remaining consistent, thus leading to an increase in inventories, a GM spokesman told SMU. As a result, GM has decided […]
US light-vehicle (LV) sales declined to an unadjusted 1.14 million units in February, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported. Despite the month-on-month (MoM) decline, February’s total was still 8.7% higher year-on-year (YoY), and the seventh consecutive month to see a YoY increase in sales. On an annualized basis, LV sales were down 6.2% MoM in […]
North American auto assemblies rose 1.3%% in February, expanding for a second straight month after declining repeatedly to close out 2022. Last month’s assemblies are 8.4% higher year-on-year (YoY), according to LMC Automotive data. Despite the repeated increases through February, production hasn’t topped the 1.2-million-unit mark since November. And while inventories have improved, the market remains […]
Worthington Industries reported lower net earnings in its fiscal 3Q ended Feb. 28 vs. the same period a year earlier on lower steel prices. The Columbus, Ohio-based service center and processor posted 3Q 2023 net earnings of $46.3 million, down 18% from $56.3 million a year earlier on net sales that fell 20% to $1.1 billion. […]
Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) expects lower first-quarter 2023 earnings on costs related to its Sinton, Texas, flat-roll mill and the continued work-through of higher-priced pig iron purchased in 2022. The Fort Wayne, Ind.-based steelmaker expects Q1 earnings in the range of $3.47 to $3.51 per diluted share. This is down from $3.61 per diluted share […]
What’s perhaps most shocking about Cleveland-Cliffs starting the week up $100 per ton ($5 per cwt) on sheet and targeting $1,200 per ton for hot-rolled coil (HRC) is that many of you didn’t find it shocking. In early February, we got used to prices going up by $50 per ton from one week to the […]
Klöckner & Co. expects steel prices to come down later this year after a sharp rise in Q1, the company said in its 4Q earnings report. “Despite the rise in steel prices at the beginning of 2023, Klöckner & Co. expects a lower price level overall compared to the prior-year period and correspondingly lower sales,” […]
Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) has broken ground on its previously announced aluminum rolling mill outside of Columbus, Miss., according to local media reports. When local TV station WCBI asked SDI chairman, president, and CEO Mark Millett why the company chose the area, he said it was in large part because of opportunities in the beverage […]
SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects on Monday and Tuesday of this week, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
Mexico has historically relied on steel sheet product imports to meet its demand as domestic suppliers, such as Ternium and AHMSA, had insufficient production capacity. But, in recent years, both Ternium and ArcelorMittal have built new capacities for hot-rolled (HR) coil in Mexico. Ternium is also in the process of building more downstream capacity and […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor Michael D’Angelo is a researcher and trader at Marex. In his role, Mike performs fundamental and quantitative analysis, which directly leads to actionable trading/risk management strategies across the base, precious, and ferrous metals derivative spaces. Prior to joining Marex, Mike received a BA in economics with a minor in finance from […]
On the morning of Feb. 24, the White House issued a proclamation to adjust aluminum imports and taking further action under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. Following the guidance of the Secretary of Commerce, the president issued an order adding a 200% duty to Russian metal coming into the US. Imported […]
Nucor Corp. has increased its cost estimate for its new sheet steel mill in West Virginia by ~$400 million. The Charlotte, N.C.-based steelmaker said Feb. 23 that its board approved additional capital for the project. The company now expects a net cash outlay of ~$3.1 billion for the West Virginia electric-arc furnace (EAF) sheet mill, up from $2.7 billion when […]
North American auto assemblies rose 16.1% in January, recovering for the first time in three months. Last month’s assembly output was among one of the highest in nearly two years and 13.8% higher year on year (YoY), according to LMC Automotive data. On the supply side, inventory levels are expected to gradually improve this year as […]