The annualized GDP growth rate in the first estimate of the third quarter of 2016 was 2.91 percent which was the best result since the Q3 of 2014. Economy.com had this to say: “Prospects remain bright. Consumers are doing their part and spending growth will remain strong as labor markets tighten and wage increases accelerate. […]
In October net job creation was 161,000. August was revised up by 9,000 and September revised up by 35,000. Using a three month moving average (3MMA), the result for October was 176,000 down from 233,000 in August and from 206,000 in September. Figure 1 shows the 3MMA of the number of jobs created as the […]
Once per month HARDI* wholesalers conduct a galvanized steel conference call so they can better understand what is happening in the broader markets as they deal with steel pricing, demand and inventory issues. The HARDI monthly call was held on Wednesday, November 9, just one day after the presidential election. Not surprisingly, the future of […]
Each month the Commerce Department issues its Construction Put in Place (CPIP) data, usually on the first working day covering activity two months earlier. September data for CPIP was released on Tuesday November 1st. On a rolling 3 months basis year over year total construction has declined every month since March when growth was 12.4 […]
The Premium article below was originally produced for our Premium members on Wednesday afternoon. Over the last couple of days SMU has had conversations with a number of our members regarding our views on the construction markets. This is an analysis which was shared with our Premium level members yesterday and we have decided to […]
The Department of Commerce announced on Monday its affirmative preliminary determinations in the antidumping investigations of imports of certain carbon and alloy steel cut-to-length plate (CTL plate) from Austria, Belgium, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan. CTL plate is a flat-rolled carbon and alloy steel product that is 4.75 mm or more in […]
Nonresidential construction planning took a jump in October, according to the latest survey by Dodge Data and Analytics. The Dodge Momentum Index grew 4.1 percent in October to 133.6, nearly reversing September’s loss. Commercial planning increased by 6.1 percent sequentially and by 20 percent year-over-year. “This suggests that despite being in a more mature phase […]
Construction demand in the private sector is driving increases in construction employment and offsetting declines in public sector jobs, said the Associated General Contractors of America in their November press release. Residential construction employment grew 5.4 percent year-over-year in October while nonresidential construction jobs grew 1.4 percent. AGC notes that public construction needs the support […]
Gibraltar Industries, as a leading manufacturer and distributor of building products, has close ties to the steel industry. In the third quarter earnings call, Gibraltar Senior Vice President and CFO Ken Smith was asked about how the company is handling the recent steel price increase. Steel increases are monitored multiple times day across the Gibraltar […]
Home prices in August rose by 5.3 percent annually in August according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. The 20-city composite gained 5.1 percent annually. Portland, Seattle and Denver drove gains during the past seven months. On a month-over-month basis the National Index showed a 0.5 percent increase in August. […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and the Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United […]
With the end of October at hand, it is time for SMU to take another look at shipping conditions around the U.S. Seaborne MID-SHIP is seeing improvement in freight rates and fuel prices and an increase in period chartering activity for seaborne cargo. A surge in coal pricing in the past few weeks has resulted […]
Steel Dynamics reported higher flat rolled prices resulted in an 11 percent increase in earnings in the third quarter. Net earnings were $284 million on net sales of $2.1 billion. Adjusted net income, including a $5 million litigation settlement charge, was $157 million for the quarter. SDI steel production was at 85 percent capacity in […]
Reliance Steel & Aluminum reported sales of $2.19 billion, down 0.8 percent from Q2 and down 4.4 percent from Q3 2015. Tons sold were down 4.9 percent from the previous quarter to 1,445,500 tons with average selling price per ton up 4.4 percent, sequentially. Reliance was able to maintain during most of the quarter the […]
The Architecture Billings Index posted two months of decline with September’s score of 48.4 dipping from 49.7 in August. The American Institute of Architects report this is the first time since Summer 2012 that the index posted consecutive months of decline. The new projects inquiry dropped to 59.4 from 61.8 and the design contracts index […]
EVRAZ North America increased third quarter crude steel production 5.7 percent to prepare for scheduled maintenance outages at its Regina and Pueblo mills. Regina will be out for three weeks for upgrades to the steelmaking and rolling mills while Pueblo is scheduled for a two week maintenance outage. Flat rolled production dropped 25.7 percent in […]
Housing starts dropped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,047,000 in September, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce. The decline was 9 percent below August’s revised estimate and 11.9 percent below the September 2015 rate. Single family housing starts increased from August by 8.1 percent to 783,000. Starts for apartment housing of five […]
September was another month in which shipments by service centers failed to live up to long term expectations. Carbon steel shipments decreased by 317,800 tons, mostly as a result of the number of shipping days declining from 23 in August to 21 in September. However tons per day shipments also declined being down from 139.7 […]
On Friday this week the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its series of producer price indexes, for more than 10,000 goods and materials. For an explanation of this program see the end of this piece. The latest release this week reported results through September. We run this analysis every three or four months to […]
The conversation has begun regarding when flat rolled steel prices will end their slide and reverse course. Flat rolled steel prices have been in a steep decline since mid-June 2016 when benchmark hot rolled prices peaked at $635 per ton ($31.75/cwt, SMU index average) FOB domestic mill. Since then steel prices have retreated $145 per […]
The Vietnam steel industry is between the proverbial rock and hard place. U.S. steel manufacturers claim that Vietnamese exporters are party to China’s circumvention of antidumping and countervailing duties on cold rolled steel and are calling for AD duties to match those on China products. Vietnam’s influx of Chinese steel is also a concern for […]
In September net job creation was 156,000 July was revised down by 23,000 and August revised up by 16,000. Using a 3MMA, the result for September was 192,000 down from 230,000 in August. Figure 1 shows the 3MMA of the number of jobs created as the brown bars since 1990. These numbers are seasonally adjusted […]
The Dodge Momentum Index dropped 4.3 percent in September to a reading of 129.0 after making gains for five consecutive months. A reduction in institutional planning drove the decline, falling 5.3 percent last month. Planning for commercial construction projects declined 3.6 percent from August. Writes Dodge Analytics: “Even with the recent volatility on a month-to-month […]
Each month the Commerce Department issues its Construction Put in Place (CPIP) data, usually on the first working day covering activity two months earlier. August data for CPIP was released on Monday October 3rd. Overall this was a disappointing report with the growth of total construction having declined for five consecutive months and continuing to […]
Construction sector recovery may be at a plateau, says Stephen Sandherr , CEO of the Associated General Contractors of America. The press release from AGC for August construction spending follows: Construction spending held steady in August compared to July but is up nearly five percent for the first eight months of the year compared to […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. This will explain the difference between our view of the present situation which is subjective and our analysis of trends which is based on the latest facts available. At the end of […]
Ryerson Holding Corp., a leading distributor and processor of metals, provided guidance for its third quarter ending September 30, 2016. The Company expects third quarter 2016 net income in the range of $8 million to $12 million and adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $46 million to $50 million. In Q3 2015, Ryerson […]
After running on provisional licenses for the past six years, Thyssenkrupp’s CSA steel mill in Brazil has finally been granted a definitive operating license by the state environment authority. Companhia Siderúrgica do Atlantico (CSA) has faced environmental problems ever since it began production. Numerous fines and shutdowns were ordered by the court in relation to […]
The annualized GDP growth rate in the third estimate of the second quarter of 2016 was 1.41 percent which was slightly above the consensus expectation of 1.3 percent and an improvement from the first estimate which was 1.2 percent. GDP is measured and reported in chained 2009 dollars and in the third estimate of Q2 […]