Future Sentiment, measured as both a single data point and as a three-month moving average (3MMA), is near its low point of the year as conflict on the trade front keeps buyers guessing. Future Sentiment registered +55 in Steel Market Update’s latest Steel Buyers Sentiment Index, down from +67 in mid-August. Current Sentiment registered +63, […]
Gaurav Chhibbar is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this new role, he and his firm design and execute risk management strategy for clients along with providing process and analytical support. In Gaurav’s previous role, he was a Trader at Cargill spending time in Metal […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce released Final Census Data today for July steel imports. The final number for July was 2,987,565 net tons. This is approximately 500,000 net tons more than June of this year. It was close to the 12-month moving average and slightly higher than the 3-month moving average (see table below). At […]
Are the Section 232 tariffs affecting the volume of steel imports? We will look at this several different ways, as the answer depends on what time frame is chosen for comparison. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said on Aug. 10 that since the imposition of Section 232 tariffs in March, imports to the U.S. have declined […]
The Trump administration tariffs have had the expected effect on steel imports and steel pricing this year, but prices for hot rolled coil and plate could moderate a bit next year as economic growth slows and the cost of steelmaking raw materials begins to decline, forecasts Josh Spoores, principal steel analyst for the CRU Group. […]
What is in the nation’s best interest when it comes to international trade? Are the Trump administration trade policies the best approach? Speaking at the Steel Market Update Steel Summit Conference in Atlanta on Aug. 27, a spokesperson for the domestic steel industry and a Washington trade attorney offered sharply contrasting views. The Steel Manufacturers […]
The ISM Manufacturing Index reached a 14 year high as new orders, production and employment made strong gains in August. The Index issued by the Institute for Supply Management, jumped 3.2 points to a reading of 61.3, far exceeding the consensus for a posting of 57.6. New orders increased 4.9 points to 65.1, production 4.8 […]
Austrian steelmaker Voestalpine will move part of U.S. automotive parts production to Mexico to avoid steel import tariffs. Voestalpine has 48 U.S. sites that primarily use domestic steel but about one third of company revenue relies on plate and specialty imported steels that are not produced in the United States. U.S. production accounts for one […]
Lewis Leibowitz, trade attorney and contributor to Steel Market Update, offers the following commentary on the latest developments in Washington: After months of complaints, hearings, letters, denials, approvals and delay, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Industry and Security published new rules on processes, criteria and time limits for specific product exclusions under the President’s Proclamations […]
Those hoping for the inside scoop on Nucor’s plans to purchase Big River Steel were left to speculate following comments by Nucor Chairman and CEO John Ferriola during Steel Market Update’s steel summit this week in Atlanta. Ferriola neither confirmed nor denied Nucor’s rumored interest in BRS, but his posture suggested it’s a possibility. Nucor […]
Earlier this week, the U.S. Department of Commerce released preliminary license data for July foreign steel data and license data for August. The latest data suggests July imports will rebound from June’s dip to almost reach 3.0 million net tons, and August levels will be in the 2.85 million ton ballpark. Semi-finished imports (slabs/billets) continue […]
Results from live polling during Steel Market Update’s Steel Summit Conference this week in Atlanta produced a few surprising results. Using the SMU App, Steel Market Update was able to capture the views of more than 450, or about half, of the steel industry executives in attendance at the event. For the most part, the […]
U.S. gross domestic product grew in every region of the country in the last quarter of 2017 and the first quarter of 2018, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis data. The BEA introduced a new data set for GDP by state and region in 2014 and backdated it to Q1 2005. This week, the data […]
The steel market is watching and waiting to see if President Trump will hit other countries with higher tariffs as he did with Turkey. If he does, the majority of observers will not be surprised. Indeed, more than 60 percent of the steel executives responding to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire expect further […]
Mexican steel association Canacero said it has been called to Washington to discuss replacing the 25 percent tariff on steel imports to the U.S. with quotas. A spokesperson for Canacero President Maximo Vedoya verified the request by Washington in a statement to Reuters. “Talks are taking place now and the most important thing for the […]
The United States and Mexico have agreed on changes to the rule of origin for NAFTA automobiles during bilateral discussions. The percentage of North American content for NAFTA autos will be increased from 62.5 percent to 75 percent. In addition, 70 percent of steel, aluminum and glass used in production of autos must be sourced […]
Earlier this week, the U.S. Department of Commerce released the latest license data on foreign steel for the months of July and August. As SMU reported last week, the August trend has been for imports to be at, or above, 3 million net tons. This week the trend suggests August will be closer to 2.9 […]
Chinese steel trade data was recently released for the month of July 2018, providing updated data on iron ore imports, scrap imports and flat rolled imports and exports. Chinese imports of iron ore in July totaled 89,960,000 metric tons, an increase of 8.1 percent from the previous month, and an increase of 4.3 percent from […]
Editor’s note: The following was contributed by Analyst Ryan Cochrane of the CRU Group. Global concentrate inventories first reached critical levels in 2017 Q1, leading to Chinese smelter utilization rates falling below 90 percent and remaining at depressed levels since. Without much buffer concentrate stock remaining, the relationship between mine supply and Chinese smelter output […]
Distributors of secondary steel report generally positive market conditions, though the nonprime sector has experienced a bit of a lull in recent weeks. Secondary steel is nonprime or excess material that did not meet the specifications for its original intended use, but is acceptable to other buyers for other applications. The spot market on nonprime […]
A group representing the United States’ leading auto manufacturers, parts suppliers, auto dealers, parts distributors, retailers and vehicle service providers have formed the Driving American Jobs Coalition to oppose potential new Trump administration tariffs on imports of autos and auto parts. The coalition argues that imposing new auto tariffs will cause “massive job losses and […]
Editor’s note: The following was contributed by analysts at the CRU Group. The Turkish-U.S. political relationship has soured sharply in the past week. U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted relations were “not so good” on Friday, Aug. 10, and doubled tariffs on U.S. imports of Turkish steel. Turkish President Erdogan responded with anger, suggesting the country […]
U.S. Steel announced on Thursday that it will invest a minimum of $750 million for asset revitalization at its Gary Works facility in Indiana. “We are pleased to be making this significant investment at Gary Works, which will improve the facility’s environmental performance, bolster our competitiveness and benefit the local community for years to come,” […]
There are big differences in the year-to-date increase of hot rolled coil imports on a regional basis, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of government data. Imports of hot rolled coil into the U.S. as a whole were up by 21.4 percent in June year to date, but the Pacific South was up by […]
The Great Lakes and Gulf dominate as entry points for cold rolled imports. There are big differences in the year to date decreases on a regional basis, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of government data. Imports of cold rolled coil into the U.S. as a whole were down 23.1 percent year to date […]
Canada is considering provisional safeguard measures on seven classes of steel imports to prevent foreign steel shipments from being diverted into Canada as a result of U.S. trade actions. “We know that because of the unfair tariffs imposed by the United States, other countries will be seeking alternative markets for their steel products,” said Canadian […]
This analysis breaks down the imported tonnage of six flat rolled products into the district of entry and the source country. We believe that misinformation (or lack of) about local import volumes is often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis is to describe in detail what is going on in a […]
Premium subscribers to Steel Market Update receive reports on imports broken down into district of entry and source nation. This new report from SMU takes the analysis to the product detail level. Our rationale is that the more information steel buyers have about the fine detail of what is coming into their region, the better […]
A couple of months ago, Steel Market Update was speaking in front of a group from the financial community. We were asked, “What do you look for as a sign when prices are about to change direction?” Our answer was a mill price increase announcement. Earlier this week, ArcelorMittal USA announced a $30 per ton […]
Gaurav Chhibbar is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this new role, he and his firm design and execute risk management strategy for clients along with providing process and analytical support. In Gaurav’s previous role, he was a Trader at Cargill spending time in Metal […]