North American auto assemblies grew by 18.1% in March, expanding for the third straight month despite ongoing supply hurdles. Though North American production has improved since last December, March’s recovery was just 1% higher year on year. And it’s still 13.5% below the pre-pandemic period of March 2019. At the onset of 2022, the global auto […]
I shouldn’t say put a fork in this market and call it done. It’s probably too early for that. But some of the anecdotal indicators I mentioned last week are increasingly showing up in the data we and others collect. Take a look at today’s issue: Lead times are still rising, for the most part. […]
The competitive advantage foreign import prices hold over domestic steel is relatively unchanged from our previous update, with most prices moving just $10-$20 from last week, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) price comparison. Select foreign HRC prices range from $305 per ton cheaper than domestic prices to $27 per ton more expensive, […]
Steel mill lead times appear to be steadying this week for four of the five sheet and plate products we track. They are also rising at a slower rate compared to the big gains seen in March. Steel Market Update’s latest check of the market indicates sheet lead times increased by an average of 0.2 weeks […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group It is natural to speculate about how well demand for aluminum can hold up given the effects of dramatically higher prices, both on aluminum itself and the broader economy. Conversations with many of our clients’ center on concerns about demand destruction. The logic is simple: With gasoline, food and interest […]
Sheet and plate prices are flat or modestly down. I didn’t expect to write that this week. But the data we collected and our methodology indicated that it was the right decision. I’ve had a lot of experience with pricing over the years. And in my experience, that data often moves before the words. In […]
Sheet prices were flat or fell modestly across this board this week for the first time since late February. Case in point: SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price slipped to $1,450 per ton, down $10 per ton from last week. The decline, while negligible in absolute terms, marks the first time HRC prices have not risen […]
If you’re feeling whiplash from the current market, I’d take some comfort in the fact that you’re not alone. I remember attending Great Designs in Steel, one of my favorite events, in Livonia, Mich., back in May 2018. My absolute favorite part of GDIS is seeing the latest vehicle models dissected – and all the […]
Despite economic and geopolitical headwinds, there remains tremendous opportunity for steel and industrial metals distribution, Ryerson president and CEO Eddie Lehner during the most recent Steel Market Update Community Chat webinar. There might be debate over where rising finished steel prices will settle. But gone are the days of hot-rolled coil averaging around $600 per ton ($30 […]
Matthew Abrams, Analyst, CRU Group The US Midwest premium on aluminum P1020 has seen consistent upward movement since the recovery from the pandemic started. Last week, it touched $0.40 per pound, a level once heavily fought. The fundamentals of the market indicated room for further upward moves, yet it is pausing here. Markets are getting […]
Foreign import prices are slowly gaining back their competitive advantage over domestic steel, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price comparison. Select foreign HRC prices range between $327 per ton cheaper than domestic prices to $46 per ton more expensive, after taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into consideration. Recall that the price differentials between […]
Steel prices rose again this week on continued strong demand (outside of automotive). But hot-rolled coil price gains moderated for the second week in a row. SMU’s benchmark hot-rolled coil price rose to $1,460 per ton this week, up $25 per ton from $1,435 per ton last week and marking the smallest week-over-week gain since […]
I gave the keynote address at The FABRICATOR’s Manufacturers & Suppliers Event in Schaumburg – just outside of Chicago – earlier today. And I want to thank the organizers who invited me, everyone who attended and especially those who asked questions. My presentation focused on the factors we’ve all been following closely over the last […]
Steel prices rose each week in March, and the increases were the first in six months. Hot rolled prices were down to $1,000 per ton ($50 per cwt) the first week of March, the lowest level seen since December 2020. Prices then surged $435 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,435 per ton […]
The outlook among purchasing managers surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management remains optimistic, showing continued expansion in March despite a slight month-on-month decline in growth rates. Last month’s Manufacturing PMI edged down to a reading of 57.1% versus 58.6% in February. The index reading above 50% indicates growth in the manufacturing sector, and March’s […]
Steel mill lead times continue to extend, but they are rising at a more moderate pace compared to early March. Steel Market Update’s latest check of the market indicates that lead times for sheet and plate increased by an average of 0.6 weeks, compared to an average jump of 1.2 weeks two weeks prior. Buyers surveyed […]
Sheet prices continue to rise with new, higher offers from some domestic mills: as much as $1,500 per ton for hot-rolled coil and $1,900 per ton for cold-rolled and coated product. Despite those higher pricing levels, gains on the hot-rolled side have moderated. SMU’s benchmark hot-rolled coil price now stands at $1,435 per ton ($71.75 […]
The market has worked itself into a frenzy about rising costs: for fuel, for labor, and for raw materials. All that translates into sharply higher prices for steel. There is a good case to be made that these factors – especially when it comes to fuel and raw materials – won’t go away anytime soon […]
Steel prices around the globe continue to surge in response to the war in Ukraine, and the brief competitive advantage domestic prices held over foreign steel in early-March has faded, according to SMU’s latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price comparison. Select foreign HRC prices range anywhere from $267 per ton cheaper than domestic prices […]
Steel prices continued to shoot upward at a breakneck pace as mills raced to keep ahead of spiraling raw material costs. Supply chain shocks caused by Russian forces’ invasion of Ukraine have led to higher pig iron prices, expectations of big gains in scrap prices next month – and all that comes on top of already […]
Distributors who sell galvanized steel products have some recent experience at managing purchasing and inventory in a rapidly rising price environment. In their monthly conference call earlier today, members of the Heating, Air-Conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International (HARDI) drew some comparisons between the spike in steel prices prompted by the pandemic last year and the […]
The war in Ukraine continues to impact the volatility in steel markets around the world. Here in the United States, we have seen steel buyers coming off the sidelines as they look to protect themselves against the possibility of being short steel. This despite flat-rolled steel inventories being at 2.72 months’ supply at the end […]
By Matthew Abrams, Analyst, CRU Group Over the past week, there have been a few noteworthy updates to new Russian sanctions. First, the big news was Russia’s removal from the list of Most Favored Nations. This allows room for new duties to be imposed on the imports of Russian goods. The U.S. does not import […]
Steel mill lead times appear to be extending again. Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week shows lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate products increasing by an average of 1.2 weeks. Buyers polled this week by SMU reported mill lead times ranging from 4-8 weeks for hot rolled, 5-8 weeks […]
Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) expects modestly higher first-quarter earnings despite lower average flat-rolled steel selling prices over the last three months. The Fort Wayne, Ind.-based steelmaker expects earnings of $5.55-5.59 per diluted share in the first quarter, according to figures released after the close of markets on Wednesday, March 16. That’s up from $5.49 per […]
Sheet prices saw their biggest week-over-week gains – and by a wide margin – since Steel Market Update’s foundation in 2008. Case in point: SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price jumped to $1,260 per ton this week ($63 per cwt), up $210 per ton (20%) from $1,050 per ton last week. That is more than double […]
Sheet prices saw their biggest week-over-week gains – and by a wide margin – since Steel Market Update’s foundation in 2008. Case in point: SMU’s average hot-rolled coil price jumped to $1,260 per ton this week ($63 per cwt), up $210 per ton (20%) from $1,050 per ton last week. That is more than double […]
Flat Rolled = 54.4 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 51.1 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories continued to recede in February, indicating that inventories may be near balance. At the end of February, U.S. service centers carried 54.4 shipping days of supply on an adjusted basis, according to […]
Total mill shipments of steel products fell in January to 8.153 million tons, a 9.4% decline from December’s 8.995 million tons, 2021’s strongest monthly performance. Apparent supply also fell in January, down 7.6% versus the prior month, and unable to keep the upward trajectory seen during the final quarter of 2021. This analysis is based on steel […]
Everyone is searching for clarity. We are searching for clarity as well. There are many moving parts affecting the current market, and we are not sure what the future is going to look like just a few months from now. With Putin’s war against Ukraine, and the sanctions imposed by the United States, Europe, and […]