Reports of demand easing a bit in some markets and declining scrap prices in August hint at a steel market that may be in transition. But steel prices remained largely unchanged from last week based on Steel Market Update’s latest data. Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: SMU price range […]
Registrations continue for the 2018 SMU Steel Summit Conference. We have broken through 800 and are nearing 825 registered steel and manufacturing executives as of Tuesday, July 31, 2018. To put that into perspective, we had 534 people registered as of July 31, 2017, and we ended up with 650 total attendees, which was a […]
Some quick comments I received as I moved around the market today talking about steel prices: JSW Ohio (Acero Junction mill) just got in 50,000 tons of slabs and is in the market. Credit issues are becoming an issue for companies as their customers are reaching their limits sooner due to the high cost of […]
Imports of foreign steel remain surprisingly resilient despite the 25 percent tariff imposed by the Trump administration. Imports saw a decline in June, but appear to be rebounding in July. Imports of foreign steel declined by about 450,000 tons in June or 15.3 percent from the previous month, according to preliminary Census data released by […]
Many steel buyers, and investors in steel futures, are betting that steel prices will follow the typical seasonal pattern and decline in the last few months of the year, even with the Trump tariffs boosting the market. While that may prove true for flat roll, it will most likely not be the case for steel […]
Scrap is trading lower in August. Steel Market Update sources in the ferrous scrap market report that the price of obsolete grades has declined by about $20 per ton and prime by $10 per ton. Weakness in foreign markets has reduced scrap exports, increasing the domestic supply. “Looking forward, I don’t expect prices to really […]
As of the first week of September, with the market still unsettled, ferrous scrap was expected to trend down for the month by another $20 per ton for obsolete grades and perhaps that much for prime, report Steel Market Update sources. On Friday afternoon, we did hear that prices settled in some of the markets […]
Following on declines in August and September, ferrous scrap prices in October are settling at an increase of $20 per ton for prime grades and $10 per ton for obsolete grades, according to Steel Market Update sources. A dealer in the Northeast reports that the Detroit market has bought Busheling at $390/GT, up $20; Shredded […]
Have China and other nations taken advantage of the United States on the trade front? Nearly three of four respondents to last week’s Steel Market Update market trends questionnaire believe that is true and they support President Trump renegotiating the “bad trade deals” of the past. However, at the same time, only 20 percent of […]
Data from Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire shows current industry sentiment stablizing after a bit of a swoon seen earlier this year due to the uncertainty related to the Section 232 tariffs and surprises regarding exclusions (or lack thereof). From a historical perspective, current sentiment remains at highly optimistic levels, however. SMU’s Steel […]
Nucor’s consolidated net earnings in the second quarter of 2018 jumped to $683.2 million, the second highest quarterly earnings in the company’s history. In comparison, earnings were $354.2 million in the first quarter and $323 million in Q2 2017. Nucor’s Chairman and CEO John Ferriola attributed the successful quarter to an upturn in the steel […]
My life these days is consumed by our upcoming SMU Steel Summit Conference, our brand-new Steel 201: Introduction to Advanced High Strength & Other New Steels workshop and the next SMU Steel 101: Introduction to Steel Making & Market Fundamentals workshop, as well as writing articles and trying to stay on top of the flat […]
We saw either sideways or modest gains in flat rolled steel pricing this week. Lead times continue to be extended by historical standards and, of course, the 25 percent tariff on most of the foreign steel coming into the United States continues and it does not appear it will be withdrawn at any time soon. […]
The market has been relatively quiet this past week with only minor adjustments to the flat rolled indices. Steel Market Update is hearing steel buyers’ concerns about possible price declines. At the same time, there are others who are positive that prices will remain within $50 per ton of today’s levels through the end of […]
How sustainable are the high steel prices in the United States? Steel Market Update sources point to a number of risk factors that buyers should consider. One service center general manager told us flat rolled and plate prices could only be threatened by an increase in imports. “Sharp price declines are caused by sharp increases […]
Is buying foreign steel today a big opportunity, in light of the wide spread between foreign and domestic pricing, or a big risk, in light of the tenuous trade situation in Washington? Steel Market Update canvassed the market and received widely varying views. For some, placing foreign orders is “a no-brainer.” For others, concerned about […]
Premium subscribers to Steel Market Update have access to reports on SMU’s website that break out the import tonnage into district of entry and source nation for six sheet and plate categories. SMU has now developed reports that drill down to provide more product detail on hot rolled and cold rolled coil. We report these […]
This Steel Market Update report examines the import share of sheet, plate, long and tubular products and 16 subcategories through May. Table 1 shows total supply to the market in three months through May and in 12 months through May for the four product groups and the 16 subcategories. Supply to the market is the […]
Manufacturing companies have a different perspective on service center spot pricing than what the service centers themselves reported to Steel Market Update during the first week of July. We are about to survey steel buyers as we work on our mid-July flat rolled and plate steel market trends analysis. Prior to the new survey, we […]
Imports of other metallic coated sheet (OMC) into the U.S. as a whole were down by 17.6 percent in May year to date, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of federal data. The Great Lakes region was up by 10.5 percent and the South Atlantic was down by 35.8 percent. SMU now has a […]
Imports of hot-dipped galvanized sheet into the U.S. as a whole were down by 10.9 percent year to date through May, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Commerce and ITC data. SMU now has a comprehensive series of import reports ranging from the first look at license data to the very detailed look […]
This analysis breaks down the imported tonnage of six flat rolled products into the district of entry and the source country. We believe that misinformation (or lack of) about local import volumes is often used to influence purchase decisions. Our intent with this analysis is to describe in detail what is going on in a […]
Steel buyers are divided on whether prices have peaked, but most would agree that if they do move higher, any increase will be modest. Steel Market Update canvassed sources this week. Said one executive, expressing a common view: “I don’t see prices rising. I feel we are at the top.” Others anticipate a modest uptick […]
U.S. steel exports in May 2018 totaled 857,673 net tons (778,069 metric tons), flat over April but down 14.8 percent from May 2017 (which was at a 30-month high). Total exports have averaged around 860,000 tons the last few months. The total May export figure is a few thousand tons below the three-month moving average […]
Flat rolled steel prices were stable to moderately lower this week. Benchmark hot rolled coil was unchanged and, along with plate, is the strongest of the products followed by Steel Market Update. Cold rolled and galvanized index averages were lower compared to one week ago, while Galvalume was unchanged. September orders for plate delivered to […]
Steel Market Update has adjusted our SMU Price Momentum to Neutral from Higher on all products except plate, which remains at Higher for the moment. We chose to move at this time due to weakness we are seeing in the cold rolled and coated steel markets, with mild price erosion already evident in certain markets. […]
On Friday, July 6, the U.S. Department of Commerce released Final Census Data on foreign steel imports for the month of May 2018. May imports totaled 2,929,652 net tons, which was 824,335 tons less than the prior month. The import license data collected through July 6 shows June foreign steel imports to be on pace […]
Flat rolled steel imports into the United States continue to decline. The three-month moving average (3MMA) for rolled product imports into the U.S. year over year was down by 11.3 percent as of June, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of Commerce Department license data. This is an early look at June’s import volume […]
My understanding is the salespeople at the former CSN Terre Haute, Ind., steel mill will remain with Steel Dynamics. SDI did something similar when they purchased what is now SDI Columbus, Miss. I have heard that Paul Navetta is the sales manager at SDI Terre Haute. I also understand that Jerry Richardson will remain with […]
The data from Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire shows mixed feelings when it comes to Current vs. Future Sentiment. The SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index measures how buyers and sellers of flat rolled and plate steels feel about their companies’ ability to be successful both now (Current) and three to six months into […]