Wiley partner Alan Price will be the featured speaker on Steel Market Update’s next Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, Jan. 26, at 11 a.m. ET (10 a.m. CT). We’ll discuss the big issues facing steel when it comes to trade policy – with a particular focus on Section 232 developments: Will there be a deal […]
SMU’s Community Chat webinar with Wolfe Research metals and mining managing director Timna Tanners last week was our second-best attended ever. With more than 800 registered attendees, Tanners topped her own previous record. Barry Zekelman, executive chairman and CEO of Zekelman Industries, still holds the title. But not by quite as wide a margin. We […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz Tomorrow in Geneva, the U.S., Russia and Ukraine will start talks that could defuse, or not, the threat of war in Europe. Of course, a war has been going on between Russia and Ukraine for a while. In 2013, Viktor Yanukovich, then Ukraine’s president, rejected an agreement that would have […]
Looking for the latest data on the status of the tariff-rate quota (TRQ) with the European Union? SMU is here to help – even if the figures are not as user-friendly as we might like. Recall that the TRQ, which was signed into effect over the holidays by President Joe Biden, replaces blanket Section 232 […]
Even after a 20% decline in U.S. hot rolled coil prices over the past four months, imports still offer buyers a tempting price advantage with potential discounts of 31-38%, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic price comparison. Foreign hot rolled steel prices are now theoretically $483-583 per ton cheaper than domestic steel, […]
Where will hot-rolled coil prices be at the end of the first quarter? That’s what we asked respondents to SMU’s latest survey. And the short answer is that they’ll be lower – but there is little consensus on just how much lower. We asked this: “Hot-rolled coil prices averaged $1,600 per ton at the end […]
U.S. President Joe Biden has officially implemented a tariff-rate quota (TRQ) that will ease Section 232 restrictions on steel from the European Union. “I have determined that specified volumes of eligible steel … imports from the EU will no longer threaten to impair the national security,” Biden wrote in a presidential proclamation. The president did […]
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! Tonight’s issue will be the final one for this year. We will pick up publishing our newsletters again on Tuesday, Jan. 4. The first thing I want to do tonight is to thank every one of our members for their support over this past year. In light of the […]
A&T Stainless – a joint venture between Allegheny Technologies and China’s Tsingshan Group – has filed a request with the Commerce Department asking for a Section 232 tariff exclusion to import hot-band coils from Indonesia. If granted, A&T intends to restart the Midland, Pa., Direct Roll Anneal and Pickle (DRAP) line that was idled in July […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group Legislation passed Dec. 16 by the Senate and now on its way to the White House will all but ban imports connected at any point in the supply chain to materials from China’s Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. However well justified by human rights, this ban will be a challenge for […]
It’s not just domestic steel prices that are falling rapidly, so too are prices abroad. Case in point: South Korean steelmaker Hyundai. Its latest offer for hot-rolled coil for February-March shipment to the West Coast is $1,450 per ton DDP to Los Angeles-area ports. That’s down significantly from prior offers of $1,600-1,640 per ton, according […]
By Philip Bell, President, Steel Manufacturers Association As we approach the holidays, there are some who believe that a swift Section 232 deal with Japan is essential. Some also believe a Japanese deal should be equivalent to the deal reached with the European Union this October. The notion of a Jan. 1, 2022, deal deadline […]
Steel prices fell hard again this week. While the absolute numbers – down $60 per ton ($3 per cwt) on hot-rolled coil – might appear shocking at first glance, one could make the case that we’re being conservative. The development shouldn’t have come as a surprise to those who lived through past ups and downs. […]
On Friday, the Labor Department announced the inflation rate for November. At 0.8%, it was a tick lower than the October inflation rate of 0.9%. But most observers paid more attention to the annual rate of inflation. At 6.8% compared to prices one year ago, the inflation rate was the highest it’s been since 1982. […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Group The massing of Russian troops on the border with Ukraine has raised tensions to a high level on the political scene. It forces us to take another look at the repercussions of new sanctions on the Russian state should Putin decide to invade. 2018 Repeated? In March 2018, sanctions […]
Top U.S. and British trade negotiators appear to be nearing a deal to ease Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum from the United Kingdom. That’s according to recent statements from the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) and the Commerce Department. Case in point: Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo and UK Secretary of State […]
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (CSN) is considering plans to build an electric arc furnace (EAF) long products mill and a galvanizing facility for steel sheet in the United States. That’s according to an investor presentation in which the Brazilian steelmaker said new plants in the U.S. as well as expansions in Europe and in Brazil were […]
Looking for floor plate for Christmas? What about hot-rolled coil for the New Year? You’re in luck. Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s steel mill in Riverdale, Ill., can get floor plate to you by Dec. 25, or just 18 days from now. And most of its sheet mills can get you hot-rolled coil by Jan. 1, or 25 days […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz The global situation is changing under our feet (and noses). There is much to unpack, but the trend is clearly disturbing. First, Russia has massed between 100,000 and 200,000 troops on its border with Ukraine. No one is talking publicly about why that is happening, but the obvious concern is […]
(Editor’s note: This is a corrected version of Final Thoughts. The original misstated a hot rolled peak of $1,995 per ton, not $1,955.) In our questionnaire this week, we asked steel buyers: Do you sense that the market is changing, and in what ways? Not surprisingly, many referenced shortening mill lead times and declining steel prices. […]
By CRU Analyst Tanya Bhaiji, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor, Nov. 29 Galvanized sheet is the biggest first use for refined zinc, constituting around 30% of total refined zinc demand in 2020. The majority of galvanized sheet is consumed in end-use sectors such as construction and automotive while a smaller percentage is also consumed in […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor, Dec. 1 Long product prices again moved higher in the USA m/m following a larger-than-expected scrap price increase and unseasonably strong demand. Mill-announced price increases for wire rod were the largest at $80 /s.ton m/m, while merchant bar and beam prices were also […]
A long-running legal fight over whether former President Donald Trump had legal authority to double Turkey’s Section 232 steel tariff to 50% might be headed to the Supreme Court. Attorneys representing a Turkish mill and consumers of Turkish steel last month filed a request – also known as a “writ of certiorari” – asking the […]
The U.S. Commerce Department has released product- and country-specific information on the tariff-rate quota (TRQ) for individual European Union member states. Among the biggest winners are Dutch hot rolled, Swedish cold rolled, and German plate. A complete list of quotas for individual steel products and countries is below. For steel products, click here. Our friends […]
With steel prices trending downward as 2021 comes to a close, there is a different tone to annual contract negotiations, respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire said. Talks are more contentious, reported many buyers, as mills seek to lock in volume near current prices for 2022, while service centers and OEMs are reluctant to […]
Spot prices might be wobbling. But mill balance sheets are as strong as they’ve ever been – and the cash will continue to pour in as 2022 contracts reset at substantially higher numbers. Here are two opposing trends I’m keeping an eye on: (1) whether mills will use their cash hoards to expand outside of steel […]
South Korea wants the U.S. to start negotiations to ease Section 232 on its steel exports as soon as possible, according to local media reports. The latest call came during meetings this week between U.S. trade officials and their South Korean counterparts in Seoul. “We once again delivered our stance and concerns regarding the Section […]
With 2022 right around the corner, it’s time to reflect back on an unusual and eventful year for the steel industry. Following is Steel Market Update’s Top 10 News Events of 2021: #10 – Economy Rebounds from COVID: No one could have predicted when the virus crippled commerce in the spring of 2020 that the […]
Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial […]
By CRU Senior Prices Analyst Estelle Tran, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service, Nov. 18 In the last several weeks, U.S. sheet prices have started to decline, though prices remain well above global prices. Under pressure from imports and service centers eager to sell high-cost inventory before the end of the year, prices for processed […]