Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
November 13, 2017
As I move around the flat rolled steel industry, communicating with manufacturing companies, service centers, traders and steel mills, I am receiving mixed messages about the market. A good example is the HARDI steel committee conference call that was held earlier today. HARDI wholesalers, the companies who supply the HVAC mechanical contractors in the building industry, reported a tightening at the bottom of the market while at the same time reporting prices that were a long way away from what the domestic mills were touting when price announcements were made. The wholesalers also reported a weak to weakening price market coming out of the service centers. One wholesaler told the group about service center pricing to contractors, “They are cheaper now than two to three weeks ago. The contractors believe they can get a lower price by playing one [service center] off another.”
Tim Triplett of SMU listened in on the call and reported on it in an article in tonight’s issue.
I am working with a new steel data analysts on expanding Premium content. We are working with some new data that is produced daily as steel shipments clear U.S. customs. I hope to have a report on galvanized for everyone to view on Thursday, and we are working on a slab report for later this week or early next week. If we find the data valuable and interesting, we are looking at potentially producing bi-monthly and even weekly reports regarding flat rolled, plate and slab imports (and other products as needed).
We are also expanding our Steel 101 instructor base. A couple of months ago, we added Steve Murphy, a metallurgist and long products expert with over 30 years of operational experience. We are now adding Chuck McDaniels as a new instructor who is also a metallurgist, as well as a quality, sales and marketing expert at the mill level for flat rolled steel. Chuck has more than 35 years of experience.
SMU is working on hosting five Steel 101 workshops during 2018. Our first workshop at the end of January is already sold out (Mobile, Ala., with tour of SSAB’s minimill) and we are now taking registrations for our March 28 & 29, 2018, workshop, which will be held in Merrillville, Ind., (just outside of Chicago) where we will tour the NLMK USA Portage, Ind., minimill. Details on the March program can be found here on our website.
We are working with three more mills to fill out our 2018 Steel 101 calendar. Details will be coming once we have finalized mill and hotel arrangements.
I am also working on the framework for our 2018 SMU Steel Summit Conference program. Every year, I spend weeks agonizing over areas that need to be covered and, at the same time, looking for new topics that have not yet been discussed but are important to the industry. One of the ways I find interesting topics and speakers is through conversations and recommendations that I get from people like you. If you have any thoughts as to topics you feel should be covered during the two and a half days of our conference, please send me a note: John@SteelMarketUpdate.com or give me a call: 800-432-3475. I am always looking for new quality speakers that can add value to our program.
On a side note, we continue to collect responses to our mid-November flat rolled steel market trends survey. If you received a request to participate please take a moment to click on the button contained in the email which will take you to our questionnaire. we will begin publishing the results in Thursday evening’s issue of SMU. Our Premium members and survey participants will have access to our Power Point presentation with the results on Friday afternoon of this week.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, Publisher
John Packard
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It’s official. U.S. Steel has made the first coil at Big River Steel 2 (BRS2). We congratulate the company and all the hard work that went into achieving that milestone. USS said BRS2 would begin shipments to customers this quarter. And we’re assuming those volumes will increase into Q1'25.
Final Thoughts
Nucor said it is seeking $740 per short ton (st) for hot-rolled (HR) coil this week, up $20/st from last week. USS, meanwhile, is shooting for up $30/st for sheet products in general. (USS did not announce a target price for HR.)
Final Thoughts
We all know the American news cycle moves pretty fast. Viral today, cached tomorrow. So it is with the US presidential election on Tuesday, Nov. 5. People have election fatigue. They've moved on to other things like planning holiday parties, debating Super Bowl hopefuls, or even starting to look forward to our Tampa Steel Conference in February.
Final Thoughts
U.S. Steel plans to increase sheet prices by at least $30 per short ton (st). That's something we haven't seen for a while.
Final Thoughts
SMU's hot-rolled (HR) coil price slipped this week to $685 per short ton (st) on average. We also adjusted our sheet momentum indicators to lower for the first time since July.