Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
December 6, 2019
On Friday, SSAB announced another plate price increase. Plate buyers were putting the new “aim to” base price around $700 per ton. Plate prices have been stubborn to move higher. SMU will watch momentum carefully this week to see if prices have finally turned the corner. This weekend I am in New Orleans attending HARDI’s annual conference. I spoke to the sheet metal council this morning about the market and risks that the wholesalers need to consider.
One item I discussed was the spread between hot rolled base pricing and that of galvanized steel. The current spread based on our indices is $190 per ton–well above the historical norms of $100-$140 per ton. We saw huge spreads in the recent past only to have them crash to under $100 per ton.
I also spoke about our Service Center Inventories Flash Report, which was provided to data providers on Friday. There are some definite movements in inventories, and we expect them to continue. To learn more, you will need to become a data provider. You can make a request by contacting Estelle Tran at Estelle.Tran@crugroup.com or myself at John@SteelMarketIpdate.com
I saw an exceptional speaker on leadership and maintaining millennials in your company. I hope to attract him to one of our 2020 conferences.
Speaking of which–mark your calendars as our 2020 SMU Steel Summit Conference will be held on Aug. 24-26. We will begin our pre-summit workshops at 10 a.m. on Monday, Aug. 24. More details will be coming out soon.
As always, your business is truly appreciated by all of us here at Steel Market Update.
John Packard, President & CEO
John Packard
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Final thoughts
SMU has heard from some larger buyers who have stepped back into the market to buy at prices that, if not at a bottom, they assess to be close to one. Is it enough to stretch out lead times and send prices upward again? Or do we continue to scrape along the mid-$600s per short ton (st) as we have been doing for most of the last month?
Final thoughts
Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves had some insightful things to say today about the steel market and about a conference we suspect might be Steel Summit.
Final thoughts
They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Well, when you add in some commentary from respected peers in the steel industry to those pictures, that may shoot you up to five thousand words, at least. In that spirit, we’ve added some snapshots from our market survey this week, along with some comments from market participants.
Final thoughts
I thought we’d have more clarity this week on Section 232, Mexico, and a potential carve-out for steel melted and poured in Brazil. As of right now, the only official comment I have is from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR).
Final thoughts
There are just 40 days left until the 2024 SMU Steel Summit gets underway on Aug. 26 at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta. And I’m pleased to announce that it's official now: More than 1,000 people have registered to at attend! Another big development: The desktop version of the networking app for the event has officially launched!