Foreign HRC Losing Competitive Edge Over Domestic Prices

The appeal to import cheaper foreign hot-rolled coil (HRC) instead of domestic steel continues to lessen, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic price comparison. For the past two months, domestic steel prices have generally declined at a faster rate than foreign prices, meaning the potential discount on imported products has been shrinking. After taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into consideration, select foreign prices now hold a 2–12% discount compared to domestic prices (down from 12–26% in late May).

The following calculation is used by SMU to identify the theoretical spread between foreign HRC prices (delivered to US ports) and domestic HRC prices (FOB domestic mills). This is only a “theoretical” calculation because freight costs, trader margins, and other costs can fluctuate, ultimately influencing the true market spread. This compares the SMU US HRC weekly index to the CRU HRC weekly indices for Germany, Italy and Far East Asian ports.

Brett Linton

Brett Linton is a digital operations analyst for Steel Market Update, where he began his career. Linton has been in the steel industry since 2010. He has held roles as a category manager and strategic insights director at Reibus before returning to SMU in 2024. He is a graduate of The University of North Georgia with a degree in Finance and Accounting. Brett can be reached at brett@steelmarketupdate.com or 724-314-0179.