Current and future sentiment among flat rolled steel buyers remains high as the New Year begins, much the same as at this time last year, according to the Steel Market Update Steel Buyers Sentiment Index. The SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index measures changes in buyers’ optimism levels, which offers insight into their likely decision-making. Three […]
Six months ago, Steel Market Update began collecting inventory data from a select group of flat rolled and plate steel service centers. Over time, the number of participating distributors has grown and we have been able to expedite the gathering of information from most (not all) of the service centers involved. Our initial goal is […]
So far this month, Steel Market Update has had a strong response rate from the service centers registered as inventories data providers. As of this afternoon, we had 79 percent of the steel service center data providers respond to our inquiry about their flat rolled and plate steel inventories. The headline number is flat rolled […]
Mill lead times on flat rolled steel extended a bit last month, but defied expectations and returned to prior levels despite mill price hikes in December and January, according to the latest data from Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire. Lead time for hot roll remains slightly over four weeks, for cold roll slightly over […]
Despite price increases by the major mills in December, followed by additional increases this week, the majority of buyers of flat rolled steel report mixed results in their negotiations with mill representatives. About 53 percent of respondents to the latest Steel Market Update market trends questionnaire report that some mills are firm and some still […]
The U.S. economy overall has grown for 103 consecutive months, and the manufacturing sector for 16 months, based on the Institute for Supply Management’s latest survey of corporate purchasing executives. In December, ISM’s manufacturing PMI climbed 1.5 percentage points to 59.7, well above the reading of 50 that indicates growth. “This indicates growth in manufacturing […]
Editor’s note: Following is a letter to the editor by Richard Chriss, president of the American Institute for International Steel, responding to comments by Thomas Graham, a long-time steel executive and now consultant with T.C. Graham Associates, published by American Metal Market. In his Nov. 29 AMM commentary on Chinese President Xi’s role in China’s […]
The J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI ended 2017 near a seven-year high as economies improved and new orders and output expanded. The PMI, produced by J.P. Morgan and IHS Markit, rose to 54.5 in December from 54.1 in November, expanding for the 22nd month. Intermediate goods saw the greatest rate of growth in December followed […]
Strengthening its position as a supplier of high-value-added metals to the aerospace sector, Toronto-based Samuel, Son & Co. has acquired Metal Spinners Holdings. Metal Spinners will operate as a separate group within Samuel’s manufacturing division. The group will include Missouri Metals of St. Louis, Mo., and Metal Spinners’ production facilities in Angola, Ind., Rock Falls, […]
Key market indicators bode well for business conditions in the first quarter of 2018. Steel Market Update’s view of the present situation based on our examination of data released in December shows that 47.2 percent of the 36 indicators are historically positive with only 19 percent negative. The balance is within the historically normal band. […]
Global steel production grew by 4.6 percent in the three months through November year over year with negative momentum, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of World Steel Association data. The reduced growth rate was driven by pollution control cutbacks in China. Production in the month of November totaled 136,280,000 metric tons, down from 144,972,000 […]
The growth of U.S. Gross Domestic Product in the third quarter of 2017 maintained the strong performance of the second quarter. On Dec. 20, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter. Growth was reported to be 3.16 percent quarter-on-quarter and 2.3 percent year-on-year. At the end […]
The following industry data, current through the end of the month of December 2017, covers a number of important indices and drivers of steel prices, as well as supply and demand. As the month ended, the Steel Market Update (SMU) Price Momentum indicator was referencing higher flat rolled steel prices over the next 30 to […]
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer reached a six-and-a-half year high in December. The Barometer rose to 67.6 from 63.9 in November. The indicator also had its best quarterly performance since Q1 2011, rising to 65.9 in the fourth quarter from 61.0 in the third. Production hit a 34-year high in December, while new orders were […]
Current and future sentiment among flat rolled steel buyers improved further in December, according to the Steel Market Update Steel Buyers Sentiment Index, mirroring the pattern at this time last year that heralded a strong first quarter. The SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index measures changes in buyers’ optimism levels, which offers insight into their likely […]
Flat rolled steel inventories ended November in approximate balance with current activity levels, based on the proprietary Steel Market Update Apparent Excess/Deficit model, which SMU applies to MSCI inventory and shipment data. Comparing shipments and inventory on a historical basis allows SMU to forecast if the distribution channel is likely to be over- or under-supplied […]
The Fed rate increase in December was a non-event as far as the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar was concerned. From Jan. 3 through Sept. 8, 2017, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar depreciated by 9.3 percent. The value rebounded by 2.97 percent from Sept. 9 through Dec. 15. Please see […]
Steel Market Update performs this analysis of global scrap trade each quarter to help readers understand the gyrations of the domestic scrap market and where the U.S. stands as a global player. This data is not very current because some nations are slow to report, but we still believe it gives a valuable perspective on […]
Since the Chinese government put a stop to all exports of steel scrap, analyzing the global scrap trade has become a bit more complicated. Steel Market Update performs this analysis of the world scrap market each quarter to help readers understand the gyrations of the domestic scrap market and where the U.S. stands as a […]
In addition to the tax overhaul passed by the Republicans this week, President Trump has promised a trillion-dollar infrastructure overhaul. Given the possible $1.5 trillion cost of the tax cuts, will the public have the stomach for another big bill to fix the nation’s aging roads and bridges? Respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends […]
Mill lead times have inched up slightly in the past two weeks following price hikes announced by the major mills earlier this month, according to the latest data from Steel Market Update’s flat roll market questionnaire. One of the key indicators tracked by SMU, lead times reflect the activity at the mills and the order […]
Buyers of flat rolled steel report that more mills are holding the line on pricing following the price increases announced earlier this month. Mill order books are firm and there’s no negotiating for a better price, according to 28 percent of respondents to SMU’s latest steel market questionnaire. About 22 percent say they still find […]
More than nine out of 10 respondents to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire see steel prices heading higher in the first quarter. Seven percent say they see no clear direction for prices. Virtually no one expects prices to decline in the wake of price hike announcements by the major mills earlier this month. […]
The American Institute of Architects’ Architecture Billings Index (ABI) rose to 55.0 in December from a reading of 51.7 in November, reflecting an increase in design services provided by U.S. architecture firms. The new projects inquiry index was 61.1, up from a reading of 60.2 the previous month, while the new design contracts index rose […]
Following is an edited excerpt of a new monthly publication, “The GOES Chronicle,” from Steel-Insights. For further details, contact Becky E. Hites at becky.hites@steel-insights.com. Production of Grain Oriented Electrical Steel (GOES) has undergone a tectonic shift in the past decade. The market historically has been supplied through a controlled group of companies protected from outside […]
Sectors closely associated with the steel industry have generally reacted favorably to the tax reform legislation passed on Wednesday. The Steel Manufacturers Association hopes the bill will “result in significant economic growth that improves the fiscal situation for individuals, small business and corporations.” SMA President Philip Bell said it is now time to turn to […]
On Nov. 3, the spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) closed above $55 per barrel and hasn’t fallen below that level through the latest data on Dec. 11. The total number of operating rigs exploring for oil and gas increased every week from Nov. 10 through Dec. 8, though at a declining rate, and […]
Business activity in New York State continued to expand in December. The Empire State General Business Conditions Index registered a healthy 18.0, down slightly from 19.4 in November. The new orders index posted 19.5 and shipments rose four points to a reading of 22.4, indicating solid growth. Unfilled orders declined and delivery times lengthened during […]
Service centers continue to hold flat rolled inventories steady at 2.89 months of supply at the end of November, according to the proprietary Steel Market Update Service Center Inventories Index (SSII). This is now the third consecutive month we have found flat rolled steel distributors’ inventories close to the three months of supply level. Contrast […]
Both flat rolled and plate steel distributors saw only a very modest drop in inventories as of the end of July. Inventories continue to be “balanced” at 2.7 months of supply on flat rolled and 2.1 months of supply on plate, according to Steel Market Update’s proprietary inventory data. Flat Rolled Spread Tightens Although our […]