The value of the U.S. dollar has seen a turnaround that began on Sept. 8. From Jan. 3 through Sept. 8, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar depreciated by 9.3 percent. But the value rebounded by 2.9 percent from Sept. 8 through Oct. 20. (Please see the end of this report for an […]
Economic indicators of manufacturing activity are still healthy overall and portend well for the balance of this year. This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing in the U.S. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, and therefore will be brief in this summary. […]
Twice per month, Steel Market Update conducts an analysis on the flat rolled steel market. Our focus is on pricing and price direction, demand, inventory management, international steel, buyers’ sentiment, service center spot price direction, mill lead times and negotiations, and more. We have been conducting our market analysis going back to late 2008. The […]
Two representatives of steel intensive regions will co-chair the Congressional Steel Caucus, Representatives Rick Crawford (R-AR) and Mike Bost (R-IL). Crawford’s 1st Congressional District in Arkansas was a farming region three decades ago when the Caucus was founded. Today, it hosts Nucor-Steel Yamato, Nucor Steel Arkansas and Big River Steel, making it the second largest […]
The U.S. Justice Department wants to know if Americans are at risk as a result of the Kobe Steel quality scandal. The Japanese metal producer’s subsidiary, Kobe Steel USA, Inc., received a request from the Justice Department on Oct. 16 seeking related documents. Kobe officials said they plan to cooperate with the Justice investigation. Kobe […]
After greeting September with increased optimism, metalforming companies are now expecting business conditions to weaken slightly in the next three months, according to the October 2017 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. Metalforming companies also anticipate declines in incoming orders. “Ebbs and flows in productivity are a part of today’s manufacturing industry,” said PMA […]
Durable goods orders were stronger than anticipated in September, rising 2.2 percent and nearly double economists’ expectations. The volatile transportation sector drove much of the increase. Commercial aircraft orders jumped 64 percent after gaining 52 percent in August. Orders for core capital goods, which exclude defense and aircraft, rose 1.3 percent, and shipments of core […]
Last week, Steel Market Update (SMU) conducted one of our flat rolled steel market trends analyses, sending invitations to 655 executives associated with the manufacturing, steel distribution, steel mills, trading companies and toll processor segments of the industry. The majority of respondents completed the questionnaire prior to the ArcelorMittal USA price increase announcement. One of […]
Economic conditions are looking positive for fourth quarter and into 2018, according to the latest report from HARDI and ITR Economics. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called the Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and ITR Economics, an economic forecasting company, work together to gather […]
Third-quarter job creation was severely affected by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in the South Central and South East regions, according to third-quarter employment data by state released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. Economy.com summarized it as follows: “Job growth is slowing but wage growth is heating up across much of the […]
The growth in global steel production is surging, driven by construction in the developing world, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of World Steel Association data. WSA’s October 2017 short-range outlook, while painting a generally improved picture over the April update, is no big surprise. Global steel recovery has picked up further, and there are […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, which stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and economic forecasting company ITR Economics work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members in the United States and Canada. The information shared […]
China’s economy continues to show robust growth, and in August recorded its highest-ever share of total global steel production. Once each quarter, we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Currently available data is through the third quarter. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, […]
SMU Note–The Kobe Steel scandal regarding falsifying test certifications has had a ripple effect. Steel Market Update asked those responding to our flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire if the Kobe scandal is raising some concerns that other mills may cut corners with testing and falsify documentation. Twenty-nine percent of our respondents had concerns. From […]
On Tuesday of this week, ArcelorMittal USA announced new “minimum” base pricing on hot rolled, cold rolled and galvanized products. On Wednesday, Nucor and North Star BlueScope followed with increase announcements of their own of $40 per ton ($2.00/cwt). This morning (Thursday), NLMK USA emailed a letter to their customers advising of their intention to […]
The Steel Market Update (SMU) Steel Buyers Sentiment Index market cycle appears to have bottomed as buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel were slightly more optimistic than what we collected at the beginning of the month. We measured the single data point for those responding to our flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire this […]
Flat rolled steel lead times continue to shorten up, a trend under way since early August, according to the service centers and manufacturers who responded to Steel Market Update’s flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire this week. On average, lead times have dipped to nearly three weeks for hot rolled, slightly less than six weeks […]
On Monday of this week, Steel Market Update began collecting data for our mid-October flat rolled steel market trends analysis. We invited over 600 companies to participate in our questionnaire. The vast majority of the respondents are either service centers or manufacturing companies. Based on the data collected we found that prior to any of […]
Does the Kobe Steel scandal raise the question that other steel mills, including those in the United States, might cut corners with testing and falsifying documentation? About 70 percent of buyers and sellers of steel responding to Steel Market Update’s flat rolled steel market trends questionnaire this week say no, they remain confident about the […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) has a proprietary model that analyzes the Metals Service Center Institute (MSCI) carbon flat rolled shipment and inventory data, from which we calculate whether distributor inventories are in Excess/Balance/Deficit. We ended the month of August with steel service center inventories as essentially balanced (-26,000 tons). The month of September saw a […]
The Architecture Billings Index reversed course for the first time in seven months, slipping to a score of 49.1 in September from 53.7 in August. A score below the neutral 50.0 mark indicates a decrease in design services. The new projects inquiry index slid to 59.0 from a reading of 62.5 the previous month, while […]
Those who believe unfairly traded steel imports pose a serious threat to America’s security have a high-ranking ally in retired Brigadier General John Adams. In an Oct. 16 op/ed in The Hill, titled “North Korea is Distracting from America’s Steel Import Crisis,” Adams argues that the Section 232 trade case should rate headlines comparable those […]
Global steel demand growth is expected to moderate in 2018, mainly due to slowing in China, but should maintain its momentum in the rest of the world, according to a generally optimistic short-range outlook from the World Steel Association (worldsteel). The Brussels-based trade association, whose members account for 85 percent of the world’s steel production, […]
Manufacturing activity in New York State has accelerated with the headline index of the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey climbing six points to 30.2. The survey was at its highest level in three years, bolstered by an 11-point gain in shipments, putting that index at 27.5. The new orders index slipped seven points, but was […]
Demand for steel sheet products continued to expand through August. This report summarizes total steel supply by product from 2003 through August 2017 and year-on-year changes. It then compares domestic mill shipments with total supply to the market. It quantifies market direction by product and enables a side-by-side comparison of the degree to which imports […]
The International Monetary Fund updates its World Economic Outlook (WEO) in April and October each year. The introduction to the WEO released on Tuesday reads as follows: “The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018. Broad-based upward revisions in […]
The weekly U.S. rig count took a slight dip this week, according to Sept. 8 data from oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The number of active U.S. drill rigs declined by 8 to 928 rigs, oil rigs declined 5 to 743 rigs, gas rigs fell 2 to 185 rigs, and miscellaneous rigs were down 1 […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) has been working with 40 flat rolled steel service centers as we develop a new index regarding flat rolled steel inventories being held at steel distributors in the United States. Based on the data collected through this afternoon, we are finding a modest increase in the inventories being held by the […]
What goes around comes around, as they say. In the case of the ferrous scrap market, what goes around and comes around again and again are residuals such as copper that complicate the steelmaking process and threaten to erode some of the competitive cost advantage now held by minimills. Minimill steelmaking has transformed the steel […]
Tight supplies of graphite electrodes used in the electric arc furnace steelmaking process have raised electrode prices to the point that at least two stainless steel mills have increased their surcharges. Outokumpu was the first with a surcharge of 30 euros (about $35.50) per metric ton on Sept. 27 in most markets except the U.S. […]