
Pig iron market outlook cloudy
The pig iron market in Brazil is currently in flux and there have been few, if any, confirmed cargoes transacted for the US.
The pig iron market in Brazil is currently in flux and there have been few, if any, confirmed cargoes transacted for the US.
The Brazilian-US pig iron market has remained quiet, market sources told SMU.
Most steelmaking raw material prices we track saw little change across the month of August. Iron ore, pig iron, shredded scrap, busheling scrap, zinc, and aluminum prices all held relatively steady,
Prices remain subdued in US pig iron market, sources said.
Prices for four of the seven steelmaking raw materials we track were unchanged from late June through the end of July, while two increased and one declined. Collectively, these material prices rose 1% month over month (m/m), but are down 3% compared to three months ago.
The Brazilian pig iron community is playing defense ahead of the Aug. 1 deadline for a 50% US tariff on imports from the South American country. The moves indicate the Brazilian producers do expect the tariff to go into effect.
The announcement of 50% tariffs on Brazilian imports, including pig iron, could have a dramatic effect on steelmaking raw materials.
President Donald Trump on Wednesday said he would increase the “reciprocal” tariff on imports from Brazil to 50% effective Aug. 1. That could have big implications for pig iron.
Will more DRI investment come to the US?
The resistance Brazilian pig iron sellers had shown to accepting lower prices has proved short-lived, sources told SMU.
Brazilian pig iron prices fail to rise after ferrous scrap market settle.
How is the ferroalloys market in the US faring with the new tariffs.
CRU analysts discuss how downward pressure on the US premium has persisted due to weakness in key consuming sectors, while concerns over zinc supply have been largely alleviated for the time being.
The US mills have managed to reduce pig iron prices to correspond with the sharp declines in domestic scrap prices in May.
Since the US ferrous scrap settlements for May have been finalized, steelmakers are turning their attention to continued pig iron flows with the wind behind their backs.
The pig iron markets have been quiet for the last several weeks, as tariff implementation on imports into the US became a reality. There has been debate on which party will have to pay the tariff. A recent transaction could provide the answer to that question.
Iron ore prices were largely steady in March, hovering around $100–102 per dry metric ton (dmt) in a quiet market.
There are several other tariffs implications concerning the ferrous raw materials sector. In addition to tariffs on DRI/HBI imports, there will be also be a tariff on raw materials imported to domestically based metallics producers.
The imposition of reciprocal tariffs by President Trump as explained on Wednesday afternoon has rattled virtually every market. This policy has some advantages for the steelmaking sector, but there may be some disadvantages that were not considered, especially for the EAF producers of flat-rolled.
The price of pig iron for the US market remains firm despite a potential drop in domestic ferrous scrap prices going into April.
While overall steel demand remains weak in the near term, there are reasons to expect metallurgical coal prices will increase over the course of the year, Ramaco says.
“The next months are going to be good ones for pig iron producers," according to one source.
SMU's Stephen Miller provides an update on the raw materials sector.
There has been considerable upward movement in the US prices paid for future shipment of Brazilian-produced pig iron over the last week.
A comparison of the current cost of pig iron vs. busheling scrap.
On Jan. 18, Teck Resources announced that it expects its Trail smelter in Canada to produce 190,000 to 230,000 metric tons (mt) in 2025, down 10-25% from its 256,000 mt output in 2024. The company announced that the lower output was to maximize profitability and value amid the current tightness in zinc concentrate availability relative […]
There is no doubt pig iron will be needed to fuel the expansion of flat-roll capacity in the US and Canada. Where will it come from? How much will it cost? What will be the quality? Is it a good business to produce merchant pig iron? The US imports between 4-6 million metric tons (mt) per year of […]
Pig iron prices declined in all regions as the EU’s 2025 import quota on Russian pig iron has begun, loosening global supply.
A bleak outlook for steel demand has undermined market confidence, contributing to the drop in prices.
Prices for pig iron imports into the US continue to retreat in the face of regional weakness in demand for ferrous raw materials in South Asia and the Far East.