U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer is widely expected to attend the Global Forum on Steel Excess Capacity Nov. 30 in Berlin, though the USTR has made no official announcement of his participation. The forum will include representatives of the G20 nations, as well as other steel-producing countries, gathered to discuss concrete policy solutions to reduce […]
U.S. manufacturing slowed a bit from September but remained robust in October, according to the latest Manufacturing ISM Report on Business from the Institute for Supply Management. The headline PMI registered 58.7 percent, a 2.1 percentage point decrease from September’s score of 60.8 percent. A reading above 50 indicates growth. Comments from respondents suggest that […]
Global manufacturing hit a six-and-a-half year high in October. The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.5 from September’s 53.3. Most components of the PMI rose at faster rates in October. Output and output prices softened slightly during the month. Output charges increased reflecting supply chain constraints and longer vendor lead times. “The global […]
Consumers’ view of the current economy surged in October, reports The Conference Board. Its composite value of consumer confidence in October was 125.9, up from 120.6 in September. The last eight months have each been better than at any time since 2001. The three-month moving average (3MMA) increased from 120.3 in September to 122.3 in […]
Growth of U.S. Gross Domestic Product in the third quarter appears to have maintained the strong performance of the second, according to the first estimate of 3Q GDP growth released Friday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Growth was reported to be 2.98 percent quarter on quarter and 2.26 percent year on year. (At the […]
Kevin Voges, president of The Material Works (TMW), just got back from reviewing a new three-cell EPS coil line installation in China, where the company is finding a receptive audience for its EPS process, an alternative to acid pickling. “The Chinese are more environmentally conscious than anyone else because they’ve messed up their environment so […]
The Chicago Business Barometer hit a six-and-a-half year high in October, rising to 66.2 from 65.2 in September. Demand and output jumped during the month. New orders rose to their highest level since June, and production increased to its highest reading since August 2014. Longer backlogs were attributed to the hurricanes and healthy demand. Backlogs […]
The value of the U.S. dollar has seen a turnaround that began on Sept. 8. From Jan. 3 through Sept. 8, the Broad Index value of the U.S. dollar depreciated by 9.3 percent. But the value rebounded by 2.9 percent from Sept. 8 through Oct. 20. (Please see the end of this report for an […]
Economic indicators of manufacturing activity are still healthy overall and portend well for the balance of this year. This report summarizes seven data sources that describe the state of manufacturing in the U.S. We have reported on most of these separately in our Steel Market Update publications, and therefore will be brief in this summary. […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As the Flack Global Metals Director of Risk Management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled futures market, and we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Besides writing futures articles for Steel […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices (FOB Domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and […]
Two representatives of steel intensive regions will co-chair the Congressional Steel Caucus, Representatives Rick Crawford (R-AR) and Mike Bost (R-IL). Crawford’s 1st Congressional District in Arkansas was a farming region three decades ago when the Caucus was founded. Today, it hosts Nucor-Steel Yamato, Nucor Steel Arkansas and Big River Steel, making it the second largest […]
The U.S. Justice Department wants to know if Americans are at risk as a result of the Kobe Steel quality scandal. The Japanese metal producer’s subsidiary, Kobe Steel USA, Inc., received a request from the Justice Department on Oct. 16 seeking related documents. Kobe officials said they plan to cooperate with the Justice investigation. Kobe […]
After greeting September with increased optimism, metalforming companies are now expecting business conditions to weaken slightly in the next three months, according to the October 2017 Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. Metalforming companies also anticipate declines in incoming orders. “Ebbs and flows in productivity are a part of today’s manufacturing industry,” said PMA […]
Durable goods orders were stronger than anticipated in September, rising 2.2 percent and nearly double economists’ expectations. The volatile transportation sector drove much of the increase. Commercial aircraft orders jumped 64 percent after gaining 52 percent in August. Orders for core capital goods, which exclude defense and aircraft, rose 1.3 percent, and shipments of core […]
Economic conditions are looking positive for fourth quarter and into 2018, according to the latest report from HARDI and ITR Economics. Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called the Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and ITR Economics, an economic forecasting company, work together to gather […]
Stelco President Mike McQuade will retire at the end of 2017, according to the company’s IPO prospectus. McQuade joined Stelco in 1981. He was appointed Vice President and CFO under U.S. Steel management and assumed the position of President and General Manager in 2014. McQuade lead the company through its restructuring and transition from U.S. Steel […]
The volume of light vehicle assemblies in the U.S. and Canada is declining at more than 15 percent per year as Mexico’s volume is increasing by 7.7 percent, according to the latest Steel Market Update analysis of auto production in the NAFTA region. U.S. Vehicle Sales: U.S. new-vehicle sales surged in September to 18.6 million […]
Third-quarter job creation was severely affected by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma in the South Central and South East regions, according to third-quarter employment data by state released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) on Friday. Economy.com summarized it as follows: “Job growth is slowing but wage growth is heating up across much of the […]
The growth in global steel production is surging, driven by construction in the developing world, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of World Steel Association data. WSA’s October 2017 short-range outlook, while painting a generally improved picture over the April update, is no big surprise. Global steel recovery has picked up further, and there are […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI, which stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and economic forecasting company ITR Economics work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members in the United States and Canada. The information shared […]
China’s economy continues to show robust growth, and in August recorded its highest-ever share of total global steel production. Once each quarter, we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. Currently available data is through the third quarter. Many analysts don’t believe these self-serving Party figures, […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel It has been a very active trading week in HR futures along all portions of the curve as over 83,000 ST […]
The Architecture Billings Index reversed course for the first time in seven months, slipping to a score of 49.1 in September from 53.7 in August. A score below the neutral 50.0 mark indicates a decrease in design services. The new projects inquiry index slid to 59.0 from a reading of 62.5 the previous month, while […]
Steel shipments by Canadian service centers in September totaled 356,600 net tons, down 8.0 percent from the previous month, and down 3.8 percent from September 2016, reports the Metals Service Center Institute (MSCI). On a daily basis, total shipments were 17,800 tons per day in September (a 20-day month), up from 17,600 tons per day […]
Those who believe unfairly traded steel imports pose a serious threat to America’s security have a high-ranking ally in retired Brigadier General John Adams. In an Oct. 16 op/ed in The Hill, titled “North Korea is Distracting from America’s Steel Import Crisis,” Adams argues that the Section 232 trade case should rate headlines comparable those […]
Global steel demand growth is expected to moderate in 2018, mainly due to slowing in China, but should maintain its momentum in the rest of the world, according to a generally optimistic short-range outlook from the World Steel Association (worldsteel). The Brussels-based trade association, whose members account for 85 percent of the world’s steel production, […]
Manufacturing activity in New York State has accelerated with the headline index of the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey climbing six points to 30.2. The survey was at its highest level in three years, bolstered by an 11-point gain in shipments, putting that index at 27.5. The new orders index slipped seven points, but was […]
The International Monetary Fund updates its World Economic Outlook (WEO) in April and October each year. The introduction to the WEO released on Tuesday reads as follows: “The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening, with global growth projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and 3.7 percent in 2018. Broad-based upward revisions in […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel import prices (delivered to USA ports) and domestic (USA) hot rolled coil prices (FOB Domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and […]