Durable goods orders were flat in August after making gains in July. In the latest report by the Department of Commerce, new orders for manufactured durable goods, excluding transportation were down 0.4 percent, and orders excluding defense were down 1.0 percent. Orders for core capital goods, a proxy for business spending which excludes both military […]
We received the following comments from a member of the financial investment community regarding the suits just filed by the domestic mills alleging the transformation of hot rolled to cold rolled or coated from China in Vietnam was just a way for China to circumvent U.S. trade duties. The complaint states that the transformation of […]
According to Baker Hughes data from September 23, 2016, the U.S rig count for the week was 511 rigs exploring for or developing oil or natural gas. This is up 5 rigs compared to last week, with oil rigs up 2 to 418 rigs, gas rigs up 3 to 92 rigs, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: The focus in HR this past week has been primarily in Q4’16 and 1H’17. Futures prices have dropped to the psychological $500 level […]
US Steel Canada has moved closer to a resolution of creditor protection proceedings and a sale of the company. The government of Ontario and Bedrock Industries announced they have signed a Memorandum of Understanding to facilitate the restructuring of US Steel Canada. The MOU terms are confidential but Ontario says it has agreed to support […]
Canadian steel service centers shipped a total of 364,800 tons of steel products during the month of August. Compared to the previous year shipments were 6.1 percent lower and the 364,800 ton level was the second lowest shipping month this calendar year (July was the lowest at 318,700 tons). Year to date the Canadian distributors […]
Friday, the Department of Commerce announced its affirmative preliminary determinations in the antidumping investigations of imports of certain carbon and alloy steel cut-to-length plate (CTL plate) from Brazil, South Africa, and Turkey. CTL plate is a flat-rolled carbon and alloy steel product that is 4.75 mm or more in thickness and that has a defined […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), busheling scrap (BUS), and financial futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As Flack Steel’s director of risk management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market and we believe he will provide insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Index remained below the zero “no growth” level at -2.0 in September for the second consecutive month. Analysts point to weak export orders and sluggish business investment by the manufacturing sector. New orders dropped eight points to -7.5 and shipments plunged 18 points to -9.4. Indexes for unfilled orders and delivery […]
Both these data points are reported in the Federal Reserve G17 data base. The index had an all-time high of 106.70 in November 2014 and trended down until June this year when it experienced a two month turnaround followed by a slight decline in August to 104.402. The three month moving average (3MMA) had positive […]
Manufacturing activity improved in the Philadelphia area in September according to the latest manufacturing Business Outlook Survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. General activity and new orders expanded, surprising economists who expected a flat reading for the month. The headline index increased 11 points to 12.8, marking the first time the index has […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the spread between foreign hot rolled export prices and domestic hot rolled prices. We want our readers to note that we have made a decision to replace SteelBenchmarker as the primary data provider of foreign hot rolled coil prices. We were finding the comparison […]
Brazil will fight the U.S. imposed dumping duties on steel products through a trade dispute at the World Trade Organization, according to Brazilian Trade Minister Marcos Pereira. Reuters reported on Tuesday, that Pereira expects the Brazilian foreign trade office to approve the initiation of cases regarding cold-rolled and hot-rolled steel. “I will defend that position… […]
This report summarizes total steel supply from 2003 through July 2016 and year on year changes. It then compares domestic mill shipments and total supply to the market. It quantifies market direction by product and enables a side by side comparison of the degree to which imports have absorbed demand. Sources are the American Iron […]
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) introduced a new data set for GDP by state and region last year and back dated it to Q1 2005. On Tuesday this week the data was updated through Q1 2016. Even though we might consider this to be historically ‘old’ we think it’s worth reporting because it is […]
According to Baker Hughes data from September 9, 2016, the U.S rig count for the week was 508 rigs exploring for or developing oil or natural gas. This is up 11 rigs compared to last week, with oil rigs up 7 to 414 rigs, gas rigs up 4 to 92 rigs, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged […]
This month as we contemplate the August job creation performance we will lead off with the thoughts of J.G. Collins managing director of the Stuyvesant Square Consultancy. On September 2nd he wrote: The August jobs report released this morning was full of disappointment, with just 151,000 jobs created. Higher wage occupations continued to shed jobs […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) and financial futures markets was written by Andre Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how he saw the financial markets as well as HRC and scrap trading over the past week: The Financial Blah Blah: The U.S has been the bright spot. Just look at […]
Canadian autoworkers selected General Motors as target company as contract negotiations begin for approximately 23,000 union workers Unifor, which represents autoworkers at GM, Ford, and Fiat Chrysler NV in Canada, will use negotiations with GM to set the pattern for talks with the other two manufacturers. Jerry Dias, president of Unifor, called General Motors the […]
Global manufacturing continued to grow in August although falling from an eight-month high of 51.0 in July to 50.8 in August. Growth was sluggish in developed markets but improved in emerging markets. Of the 28 countries surveyed in the JP Morgan Global PMI, only nine reported worsening conditions in August. Manufacturers in China reported no […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), busheling scrap (BUS), and financial futures markets was written by David Feldstein. As Flack Steel’s director of risk management, Dave is an active participant in the hot rolled coil (HRC) futures market and we believe he will provide insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. […]
During the month of August the SMU Price Momentum Indicator was adjusted from Neutral to Lower indicating our belief that flat rolled steel prices would continue to fall during the next 30 to 60 days. Our hot rolled “average” for the month dropped from $618 measured during the month of July to $591 per ton […]
Manufacturing contracted in August after five consecutive months of growth, according to the latest Manufacturing Report on Business from the Institute of Supply Management. ISM reported the August PMI at 49.4, down 3.2 points from July at 52.6 percent. It was the first time the index has slipped since February of this year. New orders […]
Business activity fell in the Chicago area in August. The MNI Chicago Business Barometer, or Chicago PMI as commonly called, dropped 4.3 points to register 51.5. The decline was steeper than expected by economists. “Economic activity slowed down into the summer, suggesting June’s momentum was only a temporary revival in activity. Overall, it wasn’t a […]
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee met on Friday, an event closely watched by currency traders around the world as they try to anticipate the Fed’s future interest rate activity. AllianceBernstein (AB) had this to say on Saturday. While Yellen’s main focus in Wyoming was on the tools needed to ensure a resilient monetary policy […]
The source of this data is the Conference Board with analysis by Steel Market Update. Please see the end of this piece for an explanation of the indicator. Consumer Confidence jumped from 92.4 in May, its lowest value since July last year to 101.1 in August, its highest value since September last year. Included below […]
According to Baker Hughes data from August 26, 2016, the U.S rig count for the week was 489 rigs exploring for or developing oil or natural gas. This is down 2 rigs compared to last week, with oil rigs unchanged at 406 rigs, gas rigs down 2 to 81 rigs, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the spread between foreign hot rolled export prices and domestic hot rolled prices. We want our readers to note that we have made a decision to replace SteelBenchmarker as the primary data provider of foreign hot rolled coil prices. We were finding the comparison […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) and financial futures markets was written by Andre and Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how they saw trading over the past week: Steel We traded 961 lots of hot rolled coil (HRC) futures in the week or 19,220 short tons (ST). With the […]
The following report on steel imports is from the American Institute for International Steel (AIIS ): Falls Church, VA. August 25, 2016. Steel imports showed strong gains in July, growing by 12.3 percent from June to 3.17 million net tons. July imports, which were down 3.5 percent from July 2015, were boosted by a 77 […]