Manufacturing firms in 2021 will see a continuation of the growth trend that began last June, says a new forecast by the Institute for Supply Management. The December 2020 Semiannual Economic Forecast offers an optimistic outlook for revenues, operating capacity, capital expenditures and employment levels in 2021. “Manufacturing’s purchasing and supply executives expect to see strong […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook This month has brought good and bad news. On the one hand, vaccines are being rolled out, and further U.S. fiscal stimulus looks increasingly likely. On the other hand, the growing severity of the second wave of COVID-19 means […]
The upward trend in mill shipments and supply of sheet products continues, although the pace fell off as the fourth quarter carried on. After reaching bottom in June, as a result of the global pandemic, mill shipments and supply maintained a slow but steady upward trajectory through November 2020. This analysis is based on steel […]
This report is an analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data and is intended to provide subscribers with a view of the competitive positions of sheet steel, aluminum, plastic and wood. The analysis includes some downstream products and a comparison of truck and rail transportation. On Jan. 15, the BLS released its series of […]
“It’s not how much it cost, it’s do I have steel to make my parts…?” That was one of the comments discussed this morning during our HARDI galvanized steel conference call. Some of the mechanical contractors have jobs to complete, and they need steel to finish. However, others are trying to hold back on buying […]
The Biden administration could act fast on a big infrastructure bill if the Senate is quick to approve the president-elect’s Cabinet, the head of the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) said. “By sometime this spring, I think we could have a major infrastructure bill done,” AISI President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin Dempsey said […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicated sluggish growth in January. The general business index slipped to 3.5 from 4.9 in December. Economists were expecting the index to come in at 6.0. The index for new orders rose three points to 6.6 while the shipments index dropped to 7.3 from 12.1 in the previous month, indicating […]
By CRU Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen and CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor After years in which inflation has been low in major economies, financial markets are becoming increasingly concerned about high future inflation. In this Special Feature, we examine a number of factors which could be inflationary over the […]
By CRU Chief Economist Jumana Saleheen and CRU Economist Yingrui Wang On March 5, the Chinese government announced its macroeconomic targets for 2021 and beyond. It reaffirmed our broad view that China is keen to withdraw policy support gradually and deliver a steady economic slowdown over the next five years. What we learned is that […]
By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Sheet order volume decreased in the last week across regions as several buyers have recently placed forward orders and are now covered for deliveries. Prices remain stable at a high level because mills are well-booked and lead times are long. China is slowing down ahead of its New Year holiday next week. […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Higher steel sheet prices continue to be assessed across most global markets. Reflecting this, CRU’s Global Flat Products Steel Price Indicator (CRUspi flats), has risen for the seventh consecutive month, reaching 238.2, its highest reading since September 2008. This indicator is now 56% […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Matthew Watkins, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Prices in Europe have surged higher once more over the past month, though the pace of weekly increases is showing signs of changing. Overall, our 2nd Wednesday price in February is much higher m/m for all sheet products across Europe. This continues what is […]
By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Chinese sheet prices reached a new high this week after a government policy notice on March 2 notifying of emissions production cuts in Tangshan province in late-February to late-March. We expect the impact of this announcement to be lower than the initial price rise suggests. In other regions, sheet prices globally have continued to rise, […]
By CRU Analyst Kevin Bai from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor China has announced that it will remove the value-added tax (VAT) rebate it has historically applied to steel exports, alongside changes in import and export tariffs. This will increase the cost of exporting and discourage export volumes, which will help loosen a tight domestic […]
By CRU Principal Analyst James Campbell, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor Global long product prices have increased to the highest level since 2008. Global supply has tightened due to production cuts and changes to export tax rebates in China. Demand is strong in many regions, but Covid-19 outbreaks and seasonal patterns mean some weakness […]
By Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor One year ago, the title of our May Steel Sheet Products Monitor was “Global sheet markets move past bottom of demand cycle.” Today, global sheet consumption continues to rise, reaching levels where current global production cannot keep pace. In addition to the continued demand rebound from […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Monitor Global steel prices, as measured by the CRUspi index, have increased for the 10th consecutive month, gaining 9.4% m/m and 116% y/y. This index now stands at 301.1, a new record high. This index continues to be supported by higher finished steel prices across all regions. […]
Economic activity rose modestly for most Federal Districts as 2020 came to a welcome end. Two Districts reported flat activity while two others noted a decline, said the Federal Reserve its January 2021 Beige Book. The recent surge in COVID-19 cases resulted in another decline for retail sales and leisure and hospitality services. More Americans […]
The U.S. electric-arc furnace steelmaking industry is eager to work with the administration of President-elect Joe Biden to craft better trade, infrastructure and manufacturing policies, the head of the Steel Manufacturers Association said. And those efforts could be fruitful given Biden’s moderate positions on those issues and the moderation that will be necessary to effectively […]
U.S and Canadian active rotary drill rig counts increased this week, according to data released by oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The rig count is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods demand. The number of active U.S. rigs rose by 9 this week to 360, […]
U.S. consumer confidence continues to fall as global pandemic fatigue sets in and genuine relief still seems far away. Despite a slight correction and stability throughout the summer months, the composite value of consumer confidence, reported by The Conference Board, has now slipped repeatedly during the fourth quarter from 101.8 in September to 88.8 in […]
The economy lost 140,000 jobs in December after seeing repeated gains month on month since May, reported the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The pace of job additions had slowed significantly in November compared to October when additions were 245,000 and 638,000, respectively. The change in direction comes as the market enters the winter months and […]
Employment gains have slowed each month since June, and after a marginal increase in November, December employment numbers retracted for the first time since March, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data. The net change in employed persons in December was a negative 140,000, following a disappointing […]
Overall, steel product shipments continued to improve through November, reporting an increase for the seventh consecutive month. Despite the gains, the improvement continues at a slower pace than the overall manufacturing economy. The market is still working to recover from the initial effects of the Covid-19 shutdowns back in April. As a result, despite the steady […]
2021 will be a year of hope for recovery after the coronavirus pandemic left its mark on the world in 2020. Monitoring the speed and nature of the recovery will be vital to understanding all markets. Drawing on conversations between market experts and people across commodity value chains, CRU expects interest in three topics to […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Sheet prices in the U.S. Midwest market have not only continued to rise, but the m/m gains have come so fast that our second Wednesday price assessment completely skipped the $900 /s.ton level. Our Jan. 12 price assessment for HR coil is $1,044 […]
Esmark Steel Group has a new chief executive officer as of Jan. 1. Roberto M. Alvarez has been appointed CEO after serving as executive vice president and a member of the Esmark Board of Directors. “We believe that Roberto’s years of experience, not only with Esmark but also within the broader steel industry, position him […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled HR and scrap prices had a very strong move in the last month. All eyes focus on lead times for […]
The Canada Border Services Agency has hit heavy plate from Germany and Taiwan with dumping margins as high as 80.6%. CBSA slapped German steelmaker AG der Dillinger Hüttenwerke with a dumping margin of 6.3% on its exports of heavy plate to Canada. All other German exporters face a dumping margin of 68.6%, according to a […]
Steel Market Update’s latest foreign vs. domestic hot rolled steel price comparison shows that foreign producers continue to hold a price advantage over domestic HRC. With U.S. HRC prices now over $1,000 per ton, foreign HRC prices are theoretically between $10-$171 per ton cheaper than domestic steel prices. Recall that the price differentials between domestic […]