The following article is a Premium Level article written by Peter Wright: Each month the Commerce Department issues its construction put in place (CPIP) data on the first working day covering activity two months earlier. May data was released on July 1st and all historical data was revised back to January 2008. This long term […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. We have made two changes this month to try to make this even more representative of the market. Both the long and flat products shipment rows have been changed from “shipments” to […]
Final financing has been approved for Big River Steel in Mississippi County, Arkansas. Construction is expected to begin in July with a formal groundbreaking ceremony in September according to a spokesperson for the Arkansas Economic Development Commission (AEDC). “It’s truly been a team effort between our investors, local and state leadership, our management team, and […]
Worthington Industries announced it had “a great fiscal 2014” in its earnings report on Thursday. The company reported net earnings of $151.3 million for FY 2014. Net sales were up 20 percent year over year to $3,126.4 million due to the consolidation of joint venture Tailor Welded Blanks, higher steel processing volumes and the acquisitions […]
“When the rules are ignored, circumvented or broken, all Americans lose,” said US Steel President and CEO Mario Longhi to the United States Senate Committee on Finance. Mr. Longhi’s testimony on trade enforcement regarding foreign steel imports is reprinted below for our readers. United States Senate Committee on Finance Testimony of Mario Longhi President and […]
“USW members and non-union workers alike know firsthand the pain inflicted by foreign predatory, protectionist and unfair trade practices,” said Leo W. Gerard, International President, United Steelworkers (USW) before the U.S. Senate Committee on Finance on June 25. Gerard told Senate members that the only way the USW wins at its efforts to counter unfair […]
The following is an abridged version of the Chicago Federal Reserve statement plus our own graphical analysis. The Chicago Federal Reserve National Activity Index (CFNAI) is an excellent reality check for much of the economic analysis that we routinely provide in The Steel Market Update. An explanation of the Index is provided at the end […]
Each month the Bureau of Labor Statistics, (BLS) puts out its series of producer price indexes, for thousands of goods and materials. The latest release on Friday reported May results. These statistics are a useful way to evaluate any changes in the competitive position of steel against competing materials and this month for the first […]
Steel Market Update participated in the monthly galvanized steel conference call sponsored by HARDI. Once per month, HARDI (Heating, Air-conditioning, Refrigeration, Distributors International) conducts a call amongst the HVAC wholesalers and supporting companies about the status of the hot dipped galvanized sheet and coil markets. The very first thing which needs to be mentioned is […]
Hello from Chicago, home of our first Managing Price Risk II: Strategies & Execution workshop. We have an excellent group in attendance and the program is going well. Tomorrow (Wednesday) is day 2 when we provide an opportunity to our attendees to do simulated trading based on profiles and directives that they have to meet […]
U.S. light vehicle sales increased in May to nearly 16.8 million units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, (SAAR) up from an average of 15.8 million units in the first five months of 2014 and the strongest rate since February 2007. Light vehicles are autos and light trucks (GVW Classes 1-3, under 14,001 lbs.). Automotive […]
We have two markets developing for flat rolled steel imports: hot rolled imports are expected to actually begin to shrink from here as the offers out of Russia and Turkey for hot rolled pricing are approximately $600 per ton or higher. Since most foreign steel buyers tend to be buyers of large tonnage and thus […]
Design service demand picked up in May according to the American Institute of Architects. The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) picked up 3 points to register 52.6 after two months of contraction. The new projects inquiry index moved up 4.1 points to 63.2. (A reading below 50 indicates contraction and a reading above 50 indicates an […]
HVAC construction equipment won a victory in the passage of “America’s Small Business Tax Relief Act of 2014.” The House approved the bill that previously excluded HVAC equipment from qualified business deductions. Under the amendments to the bill, business owners can expense up to $500,000 in new equipment and property, including HVAC equipment. The bill […]
The Canadian government approved a controversial oil pipeline project that will extend 732 miles from the oil sands in Alberta to British Columbia. The Enbridge Northern Gateway project is expected to carry 525,000 barrels of crude oil to the Pacific coast for shipment to Asia. The $6.5 billion project took on a new urgency with […]
Total service center carbon steel shipments in May declined by 56,600 tons to 3.584 million tons, April was the highest monthly shipping month since March two years ago. Shipping days in May were unchanged from April at 21. Tons per day (t/d) shipments declined from 173,300 in April to 170,600 in May, both on a […]
Total housing starts declined from 1,071,000 in April to 1,001,000 in May but the three month moving average (3MMA) increased from 983,000 in April to 1,007,000 in May. It looks as though April was a bounce back from the severe winter delays and that May reverted to trend. Figure 1 shows total housing starts from […]
Steel Dynamics Inc. (SDI) expects higher profits in second quarter compared to first quarter 2014. In its Second Quarter Earnings Guidance, SDI said steel shipments and metal spreads are improving despite increased import activity. SDI anticipates demand from automotive, manufacturing and construction will continue to trend upward. Residential construction has rebounded with the return of […]
Industry and economic data is always subject to inaccuracies so we at SMU try to compare different data sources to get the best handle on a situation. Housing and non-residential construction starts are examples that come to mind. In the case of steel imports we have three reports produced by the US Department of Commerce: […]
“Following the doubling of steel production from 849 million tonnes in 2000 to 1.6 million tonnes in 2014, we are likely entering a period of consolidation, or at the very least, much reduced growth.” That is the opinion of Becky Hites, analyst and president of Steel-Insights, LLC in a June 7, 2014 report, Fixed Asset […]
As you could probably sense from our last issue of Steel Market Update, we are concerned about the amount of foreign steel imports related to the strength of the overall economy. It is one thing to see imports surging when the economy is hot and steel usage is high like we saw in 2004, 2006 […]
Truckload capacity is tight but trucks are still available according to logistics resource DAT Solutions. The potential port strike on the West Coast, however, and the addition of agricultural shipping may push the situation to a tipping point says DAT. Flatbed demand is high across the country except in North Dakota where it is mostly […]
We included this article in tonight’s issue because we saw evidence of confusion between the defunct Warren Steel of RG Steel fame and that of Warren Steel Holdings which is a long products mill also located in Ohio. Long products producer Warren Steel Holdings, LLC (not to be confused with the former Warren flat rolled […]
A short note to let our Premium Level members know that our Steel Market Update survey results are online and can be accessed on the website. If you need assistance accessing any of the Premium products on our website please let me or Brett@SteelMarketUpdate.com know and we will help you. We are also sharing this […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report on non-farm employment indicated that 217,000 jobs were added in May, April was revised down by 6,000 to 282,000 and March was unchanged. The three month moving average (3MMA) rose from 190,000 in March to 236,000 in April then declined by 2,000 in May, (Figure 1). All numbers […]
The housing bubble in China has popped according to economists. The oversupply of housing and shortage of developer financing will slow China’s GDP growth to less than 6 percent in 2014 says a recent report by Japanese investment company Nomura. Nomura says a “hard landing” may be in China’s future due to a 33 percent […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is at +54 this week and continues to be well within the optimistic range for the index. Even though the index dropped 8 points from the all-time high recorded during the middle of May, the growing optimistic trend continues as our three month moving average improved to […]
Steel Market Update (SMU) Steel Buyers Sentiment Index is at +54 this week and continues to be well within the optimistic range for the index. Even though the index dropped 8 points from the all-time high recorded during the middle of May, the growing optimistic trend continues as our three month moving average improved to […]
The steel storage facilities located at ports around the United States are brimming with foreign steel. We have been advised that companies like Kinder Morgan and Fleetwood Port Services are at maximum capacity in their Houston facilities and struggling with Savannah, Camden and other port facilities. However, that is not the major problem facing the […]
The auto sale roundup for May started out with gusto. Early reporter Chrysler posted US automotive sales at 194,421 units, a 17 percent increase year over year. Chrysler’s Jeep brand set a sales record in May with 64 percent jump in sales. On CNBC this morning, they were reporting Chrysler as saying their forecast was […]