Final Thoughts
Final Thoughts
Written by John Packard
July 5, 2015
Our ferrous scrap sources told us that Detroit scrap prices were settled earlier today where all of the prices were reported as being sideways (no change from June pricing) with the exception of shredded scrap which was reported as being down $10 to three mills, sideways to another and one mill being undecided. We will have much more on ferrous scrap prices on Thursday as negotiations come to a final resolution.
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Our first keynote speaker will be Dr. Chris Kuehl of Armada Corporate Intelligence. Here is something that they wrote in this evening’s report, “We wrote months ago about the plummeting of iron ore and steel in China and thought at the time that it might be an early indicator of problems mounting in the country at a street level. We also wrote about some small bankruptcies that had started where (for the first time in years); the Chinese Central Bank was not stepping in to bail those companies out. They were letting them go under. The Chinese manufacturing sector has been in contraction for most of 2015 and the Baltic Dry Index hit an all-time low this spring. The evidence was there, if we were willing to pay attention to it. The fact that Chinese manufacturing and output is weak during a time when the US dollar is very strong (which would make acquisition of products from China very cheap), should concern us even further. Something at a fundamental, market level is very wrong in the country.” The world is a crazy place and it does impact the U.S. markets – including the steel industry and end user markets.
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John Packard
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Final thoughts
SMU has heard from some larger buyers who have stepped back into the market to buy at prices that, if not at a bottom, they assess to be close to one. Is it enough to stretch out lead times and send prices upward again? Or do we continue to scrape along the mid-$600s per short ton (st) as we have been doing for most of the last month?
Final thoughts
Cleveland-Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves had some insightful things to say today about the steel market and about a conference we suspect might be Steel Summit.
Final thoughts
They say a picture is worth a thousand words. Well, when you add in some commentary from respected peers in the steel industry to those pictures, that may shoot you up to five thousand words, at least. In that spirit, we’ve added some snapshots from our market survey this week, along with some comments from market participants.
Final thoughts
I thought we’d have more clarity this week on Section 232, Mexico, and a potential carve-out for steel melted and poured in Brazil. As of right now, the only official comment I have is from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR).
Final thoughts
There are just 40 days left until the 2024 SMU Steel Summit gets underway on Aug. 26 at the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC) in Atlanta. And I’m pleased to announce that it's official now: More than 1,000 people have registered to at attend! Another big development: The desktop version of the networking app for the event has officially launched!