The auto industry is expected to continue its quick pace to recovery with third-quarter retail sales up 27 percent from the second quarter of 2020, forecasts Tru Car and its subsidiary ALG, Inc. Sales in September are forecast to reach 1,221,092 units, down 12 percent from a year ago and down 4 percent from August […]
With steel mills currently having extended mill lead times, steel buyers need to be cognizant of their inventories. If one has two months of inventory and the mills are running seven-week lead times on your products, then you need to be concerned should lead times move out even further. If you are an active buyer […]
Lead times for spot orders of hot rolled and Galvalume steels continued to lengthen a bit over the past two weeks, while lead times for cold rolled, galvanized and plate products were flat to slightly lower. Lead times for hot rolled now average more than five and a half weeks, cold rolled more than seven […]
It’s a seller’s market as the mills hold firm in price talks on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steel orders, while they seek to collect the higher prices announced this week in an improving market, according to respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire. About 77 percent of the hot rolled steel buyers […]
Mills continue to stand firm in price talks on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steel orders as they seek to collect the $40-50 price increases they announced two weeks ago, report respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire. Based on SMU’s latest check of the market, the benchmark price for hot rolled steel […]
Construction spending rose 1.4 percent in August primarily due to a robust residential construction sector, said the Associated General Contractors of America. AGC cautioned that without federal support, nonresidential construction will continue to stagnate. “The August spending report shows a stark divide between housing and nonresidential markets that appears likely to widen over the coming […]
Construction jobs in metro areas fell by two-thirds from August 2019 to August 2020, said the Associated General Contractors of America in their latest analysis of government data. Construction employment decreased in 241, or 67 percent, of 358 metro areas during the period. “Although residential construction is picking up in many areas, public and nonresidential […]
Mill lead times are extended, price increase announcements are being made (with ArcelorMittal USA putting a minimum base price on hot rolled out there of $650 per ton and cold rolled and coated at $850 per ton) and mills are holding the line on spot negotiations. Momentum is clearly on the side of the steel […]
Home prices continued to rise at a modest rate in July. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index reported an annual gain of 4.8 percent, compared to 4.3 percent in June. On a month-over-month basis the National Index grew 0.8 percent in July. The 20-city composite, actually 19 cities in July due to […]
All the integrated steel mills in the United States will soon be controlled by U.S. companies. Cleveland-Cliffs is buying ArcelorMittal USA assets…well, most of the U.S. assets. They did not acquire the ArcelorMittal/Nippon Steel Calvert steel mill located just outside of Mobile, Ala., and they did not purchase the Dofasco plant located in Hamilton, Ontario, […]
For those of you who are new to our newsletter my final thoughts is an area where I get to muse about items I find important, or to provide my opinion, or just random thoughts that I may be having. We are now in the last few days of September with Thursday of this week […]
Consumers continued to snap up new homes in August with sales up 4.8 percent from July and 43.2 percent higher than a year ago. Sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,011,000, reported the U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. It was the first time since 2006 that the […]
There is a lot of catching up that I have had to do over the past few days. In the process I have spoken to steel buyers and sellers, mills, service centers, and traders. Steel buyers should anticipate another flat rolled price increase between now and early October. Scrap is rumored to be going up […]
Ford and Canadian union Unifor have reached a tentative agreement for a new three-year contract. Contract negotiations were extended after the original contract expired yesterday at midnight. Both parties agreed to work through the night to avoid a strike by Canadian autoworkers. Ford was selected by Unifor to set the pattern for automotive negotiations with […]
Existing-home sales in the U.S. rose for the third consecutive month in August to their highest level in nearly 14 years. The National Association of Realtors reports a 2.4 percent increase in sales from July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.0 million and a 10.5 percent leap compared to August 2019. The median […]
I am back. One of the questions I got on this morning’s HARDI steel conference call was if I really did go off the grid and not stay in touch with the market over the 24 days that I was away from my office? The answer was I rented a cottage about as far off […]
Industry sentiment, as measured by Steel Market Update, took a small step back in the past two weeks, but remains at healthy readings well above recent lows as well as this time last year. With demand and steel prices on the upturn, buyers are still feeling relatively positive about the slowly improving market conditions. SMU […]
Service centers and and other buyers traditionally jump into the market to buy ahead of rising steel prices. Steel prices are clearly on the rise, but only about one-third (33 percent) of buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week said they feel it’s time to add inventory. Their comments reveal some disagreement about […]
The year 2020 started out strong for the construction industry, but the latest annual employment figures show the impact of the pandemic. Canceled or postponed construction projects were reflected in new government data on construction employment analyzed by the Associated General Contractors of America. Construction jobs fell in 39 states between August 2019 and August […]
As of Friday, the National Interagency Fire Center was reporting that 80 large fires were still burning across the western United States. Varying reports indicate the flames have consumed anywhere from 4-7 million acres so far and at least 34 people have died. The death and destruction is heartbreaking, no doubt. Viewed in terms of […]
Lead times for spot orders of flat rolled and plate steels continue to extend and are around two weeks longer than in April at the depth of the pandemic as demand recovers and supplies tighten. Lead times for hot rolled now average five and a half weeks, cold rolled and galvanized over seven weeks, and […]
With steel prices on the rise and another round of increases in play, the mills appear to have the upper hand in negotiations. The mills are holding the line in price talks on hot rolled, cold rolled and coated steel orders, as well as plate, according to respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire […]
Flat Rolled = 48.6 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 56.9 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled Service centers’ flat rolled steel supply reached its lowest point of the year in August, as shipments increased and intake remained nearly flat month on month. In August, service centers carried 48.6 shipping days of supply of flat […]
Housing starts fell 5.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.42 million in August due to declines in multi-family construction. Single-family housing starts rose 4.1 percent from July’s annual rate, but multi-family starts plunged more than 20 percent, according to data from U.S. Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department. Building permits […]
Builder confidence was at an all-time high in September, said the National Association of Home Builders. The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) rose five points to 83, exceeding last month’s previous high of 78. The index is a strong signal that housing is leading the economic recovery, said NAHB. “Historic traffic numbers have builders […]
Nothing like a spike in steel prices to give the market a much needed attitude adjustment, one the mills and service centers can really use as the pandemic continues to weigh on day-to-day operations and individuals’ emotions. Steel prices have jumped by nearly $140 per ton in the last month. SMU’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index, […]
We can all agree steel prices are on an upward trajectory right now. How high they will go, and for how long, is another matter. SMU’s check of the market on Monday and Tuesday puts the benchmark price for hot rolled steel at $580 per ton, up about $40 in the past week. U.S. Steel, […]
July heating and cooling equipment shipments totaled 2.11 million units, up 16.6 percent from the same month one year ago, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). Recall that last month, we saw the highest monthly shipment level in SMU’s 12+ year limited history, surpassing the previous monthly high in […]
Auto assemblies in North America have recovered rapidly since April. This report is based on data from LMC Automotive for automotive assemblies in the U.S., Canada and Mexico. The breakdown of assemblies is “Personal” (cars for personal use) and “Commercial” (light vehicles less than 6.0 metric tons gross vehicle weight rating. Heavy trucks and buses […]
Our thoughts and prayers go out to the millions of people on the West Coast who are suffering the threat and devastation of historic forest fires. The loss of life and property is staggering. And the blow to business and commerce in the region has yet to be measured. Face masks are doing double duty […]