Once a quarter the Federal Reserve surveys the senior loan officers of 73 domestic banks and 22 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. Questions cover changes in the standards and terms of the banks’ lending and the state of business and household demand for loans. The survey preamble was as follows. “The October 2013 […]
Global manufacturing picked up in October with production, new orders and international trade volumes all improving. The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.1 in October from 51.8 in September. Expansion was seen all regions of the PMI composite except France, India and Greece which were still in the negative growth range below a […]
ISM steel buyers reported shipping levels are higher than three months ago and about the same or higher compared to 12 months ago. Inventory decreased slightly in October with most (46.2 percent) saying they have tons on hand to cover 0-1 months; 38.5 percent said they have enough for 1-2 months. Tons on hand are […]
Review of Manufacturing. October 31st 2013 Each month the Steel Market Update publishes a table of what we believe to be the most significant indicators of the state of the steel market and current results in the long and flat rolled sectors. We will be discussing one section of this table in detail each month, […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Index indicated steady business conditions for New York manufacturers in October. The general business index fell 5 points to 1.5 but remained in growth status. The new orders index rose 5 points while shipping fell 3 points, suggesting modest increases for both indexes for the month. The prices paid index remained […]
The ISM Manufacturing Index surprised economists with a PMI reading of 56.4 in October—the highest level in 2013. Expectations were for the index to fall to 55 this month but instead the PMI increased 0.2 percentage points from September’s reading of 56.2. The indexes for new orders, production, inventories and employment all indicated growth. Of […]
The Chicago Business Barometer surged 10.2 points to 65.9 in October—it’s highest reading since March 2011 and its biggest monthly gain in 30 years. Double digit growth was seen in New Orders, Production and Order Backlogs. The October government shutdown seemed to have little effect on Chicago area businesses. New orders shot up to their […]
Consumer Confidence is a Strong Leading Indicator of Future Steel Demand As expected because of the shenanigans in Washington, consumer confidence declined strongly in October, particularly as regards consumer’s future expectations. The Conference Board composite measure of consumer confidence decreased to 71.2 from 80.2 in September. The three month moving average, (3MMA) fell from 81.0 […]
New orders for manufactured durable goods in September came in slightly above trend at $233.411 billion, (Fig 1). This monthly data is very spiky mainly due to erratic orders for civil aircraft. However it is one of the earliest indicators for US manufactured goods and though we are not involved in aviation the overall trend […]
Net job creation in September was 148,000 of which 122,000 was service providing and 22,000 goods producing. Of the service providing 22,000 was in government. Of the goods producing, 2,000 were in manufacturing and 20,000 in construction (Table 1). Expectations had been for a gain of 180,000. Digging into the September numbers reveals weak growth […]
The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) increased yet again for September, reaching its second highest level in 2013, just behind February. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The American Institute of Architects reported on Wednesday that the […]
A decline in business activity is forecast for the next three months by metalforming companies participating in the October Precision Metalforming Association (PMA) Business Conditions Report. Survey participants also expect incoming orders to decline over the next three months. The forecast was similar to September’s predictions but PMA President William E. Gaskin indicated the pessimism […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning, Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United States […]
Steel Market Update is a member of an association connected to the construction industry called HARDI. HARDI stands for Heating, Air-conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors International. HARDI and The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), an economic forecasting company, work together to gather economic data to provide a forecast to the HARDI members located in the United […]
Global steel production, September 2013 rose 1.05 percent from August to 132,154,000 tonnes and a capacity utilization rate of 76.8 percent. The annualized three month moving average production was 1.581 billion tonnes in the third quarter (Figure 1). Capacity is now 2.076 billion tonnes. Global production this year is following the same pattern as the […]
The Chinese economy grew 7.8 percent in the third quarter, compared to 7.5 percent in the second quarter and 7.7 percent in the first quarter. Growth for the first nine months of 2013 was 7.7 percent keeping China on target for a 7.5 percent GDP for the year. According to the China National Bureau of […]
September rose slightly from end of August numbers. The 8,031,400 tons reported by the Metal Service Center Institute (MSCI) is still 8.4 percent below the levels held by the distributors at the end of September 2012. The number of months of inventory on hand was reported to be 2.4 months on an unadjusted basis and […]
Canadian shipments for all steel products in the month of September were 474,900 net tons, a decrease of 0.8 percent from the month before but an increase of 1.1 percent from September 2012. Inventories at the end of the month stood at 1,297,700 tons, a decrease of 6.6 percent from last month and a decrease […]
Last week the International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised its forecast for global / regional and national Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth through 2018. For 2013 the projection for global growth was reduced by 0.3 percent to 2.9 percent and for 2014 was reduced down by 0.2 percent to 3.6 percent. As it stands 2013 will […]
Business conditions held steady for New York manufacturers according to the October Empire State Manufacturing Index. The general business index fell 5 points to 1.5 but remained in growth status. The new orders index rose 5 points while shipping fell 3 points, suggesting modest increases for both indexes for the month. The prices paid index […]
The Certified Steel Stud Association (CSSA) recently squared off against the Steel Framing Industry Association (SFIA) over galvanized coatings for steel stud. CSSA released a warning that G40e or G40EQ coated steel products are not a substitute for G40 coated steel studs. G40 is a hot-dipped galvanized coating (99 percent zinc) that is used to […]
The U.S. Treasury defines the debt ceiling or limit as “the total amount of money that the United States government is authorized to borrow to meet its existing legal obligations, including Social Security and Medicare benefits, military salaries, interest on the national debt, tax refunds, and other payments.” The current debt ceiling is set at […]
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Research metals and mining analyst, Timna Tanners was recognized by Institutional Investor as the top analyst in the space. Last year, Institutional Investor ranked Ms. Tanners as the second best analyst in the metals and mining space which includes the steel industry. Tanners has been with Bank of America Merrill […]
The Board of Directors of the World Steel Association (worldsteel) has elected the following new officers for 2013/2014: Chairman: POSCO Chairman and CEO Joon-Yang Chung Vice Chairmen: Severstal JSC CEO Alexey Mordashov, voestalpine AG CEO and Chairman Wolfgang Eder Treasurer: JFE Steel Corporation CEO and President Eiji Hayashida The new chairman takes office from Wednesday […]
The Federal Reserve publishes a trade weighted index of the value of the US$ (dollar) against a basket of the currencies of our major trading partners on a daily and monthly basis. As a result of the government shut-down we don’t have the very latest data for this index. The latest data we do have […]
On the Far East Asia side, market for finished products is still weak and in an oversupply situation. Most Asian mills coming into October will resume full production schedules after the summer time electricity curtailments. However, this added production is going into a weak finish demand situation. Consequently, even with the recent slide in the […]
Canadian building permits in August declined for the third month in a row, dropping 0.7 percent to 209,652 units from 211,080 in July, according to data released Oct. 8 by Statistics Canada. Total value of permits in August was $6.3 billion, down 21.2 percent from July following an increase of 21.4 percent the previous month. […]
Steel buyers surveyed in the September Institute for Supply Management’s Steel Buyer’s Forum are expecting orders to remain flat or drop in the next three months. Buyers who felt orders would remain the same increased to 53.3 percent from 41.2 percent in August; those who predicted a drop increased to 20 percent from 11.8 percent […]
Chinese pig iron steel production in August 2013 was 59,931,000 metric tons, a slight decline of 0.15 percent over July figures but an 11.1 percent increase over the same month one year ago. Total crude steel production was 66,277,000 tons in August, a slight increase from the 65,474,000 tons reported for July but a large […]
Apparent steel use is expected to grow around 3 percent for both 2013 and 2014 says the World Steel Association in its Short Range Outlook. lobal steel demand is expected to increase to 1.475 billion metric tons in 2013, up 3.1 percent over 2012. WSA says steel use will continue its growth trend in 2014 […]