For those of you who are new to Steel Market Update (SMU) the Final Thoughts segment of the newsletter is reserved for me (John Packard, Founder and Publisher) to basically spout off on a wide variety of topics. This is the space I reserve for my opinions as well as in your face marketing (sorry, […]
With iron ore approaching $80 per dry metric ton for spot 62% Fe fines in China (according to our Asian iron ore trading source as well as The Steel Index), I asked John Eckstein, retired metallurgist last with Severstal Sparrows Point and one of our Steel 101 instructors, to comment on the changes the price […]
I am hearing that the closing date for both AK Steel and Steel Dynamics (SDI) on the Severstal Dearborn and Columbus assets could come as soon as next Monday, September 15, 2014. We have two articles in tonight’s edition of SMU regarding imports, One from Peter Wright’s perspective and one that I worked on most […]
The new coating extras are creating a bit of a bumpy ride for some mills/customers while others are adapting and moving forward. This is something we will need to watch over the next few weeks as we transition to the new extras. Our sources are advising us that some mills are making adjustments to base […]
After setting a record optimistic high of +68 at the beginning of August 2014, SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment Index has now declined for the second time and stands at +53. The most recent measurement is still well within the optimistic parameters for our index. Even so, we are concerned with the 15 point dip that […]
Flat rolled steel mill Lead times remained relatively stable compared to those reported during the middle of August. However, when compared to the lead times reported in early September 2013 we are finding the latest lead times to be slightly extended. Hot rolled lead times are averaging 4.37 weeks based on the responses received in […]
Steel Market Update conducted one of our flat rolled steel market surveys this past week. One of the key questions asked during the survey process is regarding the willingness of the domestic flat rolled steel mills to negotiate spot pricing. In last week’s survey our respondents reported a jump in the percentage reporting the steel […]
An explanation of the Key Indicators concept is given at the end of this piece for those readers who are unfamiliar with it. The total number of indicators considered at present is thirty five, the Chicago Fed Mid-West Manufacturing Index is still on hold to enable the staff to complete a major re-vamp of the […]
On Tuesday we will do a complete review of the new zinc coating extras. The last report we provided mistakenly identified the Dofasco extras as those of ArcelorMittal USA. There is a difference in their extras due to the value of the Canadian currency against the U.S. dollar. We already have information on our website […]
The following is a recap of the data compiled during the month of August 2014. For the second month in a row our SMU Price Momentum Indicator remained at Neutral as steel prices have been relatively stable with the $673 average up $6 from the July average. However, by the end of the month our […]
We’ve gone well past hectic as we are literally within a few hours of kicking off our 4th Steel Summit Conference in Atlanta. We exceeded our registration goals and we had to expand both of the rooms we are using at the Georgia International Convention Center to accommodate the extra people. The place is set […]
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. turned negative this week after being in positive territory for the previous four weeks. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is measured as a percentage and shows the relation of the current hot rolled coil (HRC) price movements against the previous 12-week average […]
Due to the Labor Day Holiday, Steel Market Update will not publish our newsletter on Sunday evening. We will publish again on Tuesday evening which is the night prior to the opening of our conference. Thursday we are not planning on producing a newsletter – or, if we do it will be a limited issue […]
This week will be the last week we will use the old USS extras in our .060″ G90 galvanized index and cost calculations. The extra is changing from $3.00/cwt to $3.45/cwt. Please make a note of this. Before the end of this week we will revise our Price Estimator on the website to incorporate the […]
When I think about selling steel what I am actually doing is thinking about the sales process. The process is the various steps needed to identify, qualify, quantify, engage and close business with any prospective account. Successful salespeople, no matter what the industry or product, understand the various steps that they follow as they pursue […]
OMG – It is the last full week before our Steel Summit Conference. Our days (and nights) are cram packed as we work with our speakers to provide their power point presentations, answer any questions that they may have and make sure that as many as possible will be staying for our networking/cocktail party on […]
SMU Steel Buyers Sentiment, which measures how buyers and sellers of flat rolled steel feel about their company’s ability to be successful in the current market environment, continues at very optimistic levels. However, our Index has seen some erosion of enthusiasm as our Index has dropped 9 points since we recorded our record high of […]
Both manufacturing companies and service centers reported similar results regarding the status of spot pricing out of the distributors into their end user customers. Manufacturers reported distributors spot pricing as being either stable (no change) which gathered 73 percent of the responses or rising which attracted 23 percent of those manufacturing companies who responded to […]
Average mill lead times declined ever so slightly across all of the flat rolled steel products being watched by Steel Market Update. We have seen lead times bouncing within a relatively narrow range over the past couple of months as we continue to see a stable market. Hot rolled lead times averaged 4.30 weeks down […]
Based on our latest Steel Market Update analysis of the flat rolled steel markets, we are learning that the domestic steel mills were more willing to negotiate galvanized and Galvalume pricing than hot rolled and cold rolled steel pricing. The largest movement we saw was on Galvalume where 64 percent of our respondents reported the […]
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. remained positive this week for the fourth consecutive week after being in negative territory for the prior six weeks. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is measured as a percentage and shows the relation of the current hot rolled coil (HRC) price movements […]
We will publish our steel survey results tomorrow for our Premium Level members. Look for them to be on the website by early afternoon. The upcoming Steel Summit will be held iat the South side of the Georgia International Convention Center (GICC). The south side is the closest to the SkyTrain and the Marriott Gateway […]
Service center flat rolled shipments rose by 7 percent or, 1 percent more than we had forecast when we last produced our Apparent Excess/Deficit report for our Premium subscribers. Flat rolled shipments in July averaged 108,800 tons per day up from the 101,700 tons per day shipped last July. At the end of June we […]
One of the Steel Market Update proprietary products is our U.S. Service Center Apparent Inventory Excess/Deficit report and forecast. Once per month, SMU analyzes the MSCI flat rolled steel shipments and flat rolled steel inventories and we calculate whether the steel distributors are either over-inventories (excess) or under-inventoried (deficit) based on our proprietary formula. We […]
We are now two weeks away from the opening of our 4th Steel Summit Conference and our first two day conference. I am quite pleased at the response that we have received from a number of different fronts regarding our conference. Our conference is being held on September 3 & 4 which is only two […]
The Metal Service Center Institute (MSCI) reported shipment and inventory data to paid subscribers on Friday. The steel industry media will receive the data on Monday. Steel Market Update will produce a number of reports based on the MSCI data. We will have our normal shipment and inventories for the U.S. and Canada for our […]
The Steel Market Update Price MoMo Index for flat rolled steel in the U.S. remained positive this week for the third consecutive week after being in negative territory for the prior six weeks. MoMo, a trailing indicator, is measured as a percentage and shows the relation of the current hot rolled coil (HRC) price movements […]
I got a note from a manufacturing company regarding the size of the Nucor move on galvanized coating extras. The comment that was made was, “Zinc average for 2014 is up 8.6% since average of 2012. Nucor increase is way too high.” This steel buyer went on to comment, “Aluminum average in same time period […]
We are starting to learn that the holdup on the flat rolled dumping suits has been due to the desire by the domestic mills to protect the automotive companies. If suits are filed look for exclusions on I.F. steels and potentially coils wider than 60 inches. We have heard from both mill and non-mill sources […]
If we start with the premise that the consumer is almost 70 percent of GDP and that steel consumption is closely correlated with GDP, then consumer behavior and, in particular, debt is very relevant to our future businesses. Consumer spending is driven by income and both the perception of current debt and willingness to take […]