Steel Market Update will not publish on Sunday due to the Labor Day holiday. We will resume our normal publishing schedule on Tuesday. We will be sending out our market trends questionnaire on Monday and Tuesday as usual, however. Please take the time to share your views on steel prices and other factors affecting the […]
The Chicago Business Barometer declined to 66.8 in August, according to MNI Indicators, the fourth-highest pandemic-era reading. The August PMI is down 6.6 points from the month prior. MNI reports that order backlogs rose significantly in August, while production decreased. Firms say they are unable to keep up with new orders due to limited raw material availability […]
In mid-August, when lead times registered their first significant decline of the year, some interpreted it as a sign the pendulum had finally begun to swing the other way. Lead times have long been expected to shorten as the mills’ ability to supply the market finally catches up with demand. But any predictions of a […]
The U.S. manufacturing sector saw significant improvement in August, supported by steep upturns in production and new orders, according to the latest U.S. Manufacturing PMI data from IHS Markit. “U.S. goods producers continued to register marked upturns in output and new orders in August, as demand flourished once again. That said, constraints on production due […]
New orders, production and prices grew in August, while employment contracted and supply backlogs expanded, said the Institute for Supply Management in its August 2021 Manufacturing ISM Report on Business. The Manufacturing PMI rose 0.4 percentage point in August to 59.9%, edging higher and indicating expansion in the overall economy for the 15th consecutive month […]
World crude steel production contracted for the second straight month in July after repeated months of record-breaking output, according to World Steel Association (worldsteel) data. Global production in July, at an estimated 161.7 million metric tonnes, declined 3.7% from June, but was still 4.0% higher than the same period last year. Since March’s historic 12.7% […]
U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew by an estimated 6.6% in the second quarter of 2021, slightly faster than the 6.5% annual rate previously forecast, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of growth for the U.S. economy since the pandemic downturn, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The second estimate was adjusted higher thanks […]
U.S. consumer confidence declined for the second straight month in August, following a downward revision for the month prior, according to the latest data from The Conference Board. The August index fell by 11.03 points month on month after slipping 3.8 points in July. “Consumer confidence retreated in August to its lowest level since February 2021 […]
The number of active oil and gas drill rigs increased in the U.S. this past week, while Canadian rigs declined, according to data released on Friday afternoon by oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The rig count is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods demand. The […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook The spread of the Delta variant, plus some disappointing data from the U.S., have led us to slightly revise down our forecast for 2021 GDP growth from 6.1% to 5.9%. Growth in industrial production […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett and CRU Chief Economist and Head of Sustainability Jumana Saleheen A disappointing outlook for U.S. Q3 growth, and the problems in China’s construction sector, have led us to downgrade our forecast for 2021 world growth from 5.8% to 5.4%. Our forecast for 2021 growth in Industrial Production has been revised […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Steel Trade Service, Nov. 18 The world economy is facing multiple headwinds. Supply-chain problems continue to hold back industrial sectors and elevate inflation. Meanwhile, an energy crisis is adding to the pressure on manufacturers and consumers. On the demand side, the biggest risk remains the Chinese […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook, Jan. 31 2022 has begun with tentative signs that supply chains are slowly normalizing. Business survey measures of delays, bottlenecks and price pressures in the U.S. and Europe are moderating. PPI inflation looks to have peaked. This is essential to our view that consumer price inflation […]
Felux has raised $5.1 million in seed funding for its B2B marketplace and supply chain logistics platform, according to a press release dated Aug. 23. Felux aims to transform the steel industry by bringing commerce and inventory online for a digital solution to manage supply chains. The Felux platform allows users to connect directly with thousands of potential […]
Despite the uncertainty of the pandemic year, Crowe’s 2021 Technology in Metals Survey indicates that technology remains a strategic imperative for a majority of metals industry executives. In fact, 59% of respondents increased technology spending in 2020 and 56% planned to increase spending on computers, software and other systems again in 2021. Crowe LLP, the […]
The infrastructure bill passed by the Senate last week is important not just for what’s in it, but also for what’s not. What’s not is a much needed increase in the fuel tax that feeds the federal Highway Trust Fund, said Jim Burg, president of James Burg Trucking Co., Warren, Mich. Burg is also co-chairman […]
If steel buyers are concerned about lead times that are beginning to shorten and price increases that are beginning to slow, there is no sign of it in this week’s Steel Buyers Sentiment readings. The Current and Future Sentiment indexes remain at or near record highs as steel producers and distributors continue to enjoy record […]
Steel Buyers Sentiment, as measured by Steel Market Update, has never been higher despite concerns over the latest COVID variant and signs that the rate of rise in steel prices is beginning to slow. SMU’s Current Sentiment Index registered a new all-time high of +84 this week – the first time the index has broken […]
Roughly half of the steel executives responding to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week believe the infrastructure legislation now working its way through Congress will have a significant impact on steel demand in the next year or two. The other half are unsure if the two parties in Washington can reach agreement even […]
With the exception of coated products, lead times for delivery of flat rolled and plate steel have shortened by a week or more – the first significant decline this year and a possible sign that rising steel prices are losing momentum. Lead times for spot orders of steel have extended continuously since the market bottomed last […]
Manufacturing growth in New York State expanded slightly in August but at a far slower rate than the record-setting pace seen the month prior, according to the data collected in the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The general business index fell 25 points to 18.3. Indices for new orders and shipments fell by double digits from […]
Flat Rolled = 51.3 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 49.6 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories spiked in July with better on-time delivery from domestic mills, the arrival of imports and a slowdown in shipments. At the end of July, service centers carried 51.3 shipping days of supply, […]
Mill shipments of steel products rose in June by 1.7%, following an increase of 1.9% the month prior. Apparent supply jumped 6.0% in June after a 1.3% increase in May. June’s gains were the fourth in as many months after February’s double-digit contraction. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment data from the American […]
Mild weakening of monthly Key Market Indicators, as analyzed by Steel Market Update, may reflect the usual summer slowdown or perhaps growing concern over the latest COVID variant and its possible effects on the economy. Markers for the Present Situation have contracted for the second straight month and Trends have now followed after a small but positive […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with our Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Producer prices accelerated into midsummer, showing no signs of slowing down. The index and subcategories for final demand have fully recovered from the COVID-driven collapse and have overtaken pre-pandemic […]
By Phil Bell, President, Steel Manufacturers Association Editor’s note: Phil Bell and SMA are now periodic contributors to Steel Market Update. Look for Phil’s insights on steel and events in Washington in future issues of SMU. Even as the United States has sought closer cooperation with allies to confront non-market actors like China, many of […]
By Philip Bell, President, Steel Manufacturers Association Editor’s note: Phil Bell and SMA are now periodic contributors to Steel Market Update. Look for Phil’s insights on steel and events in Washington in future issues of SMU. Many people often mischaracterize the American steel industry as dirty and struggling to cut carbon emissions. This all-too-common misperception […]
What does the infrastructure spending plan passed this week by the Senate mean for steel? On Tuesday, in a bipartisan vote, the Senate passed a $1 trillion infrastructure package that includes $550 billion in new federal spending. That measure now moves on to the House for consideration. Around 44% of total U.S. steel demand is […]
The number of active oil and gas drill rigs increased in both the U.S. and Canada this past week, according to data released on Friday afternoon by oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The rig count is important to the steel industry because it is a leading indicator of oil country tubular goods demand. The number […]
The Energy Information Administration’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty related to the ongoing economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. That big caveat aside, the increase in economic activity continues to contribute to rising energy use. EIA anticipates a mostly balanced global oil market for the remainder of 2021. Crude oil […]