Steel price negotiations have been wide open for the past two months and there is no sign of that changing in Steel Market Update’s latest data. More than nine out of 10 steel buyers responding to SMU’s market trends questionnaire this week reported that the mills are still willing to negotiate on flat rolled and […]
The market is keeping a close eye on mill lead times, hoping for some sign they are extending and perhaps signaling a pickup in order activity at the mills. Steel Market Update’s latest numbers, which show little change in lead times, are sure to disappoint. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand […]
By CRU Prices Analyst Estelle Tran Hundreds of steel executives from around the world gathered in New York City this week to hold meetings and learn about what will drive the steel markets in the second half of the year. The CRU Steel Briefing on Monday, June 17, provided attendees with our views on sheet […]
Last night, Steel Market Update participated in the annual Bank of America Merrill Lynch dinner hosted by metals and mining analyst Timna Tanners. We also spoke at the CRU Steel Briefing a little earlier in the day. Here are some of the key takeaways from those meetings. Mill Lead Times Short Flat rolled steel mill […]
Producing, processing and transporting steel are all hazardous undertakings—arguably made even more hazardous by the widespread legalization of marijuana. Trade associations and steel companies seem reluctant to comment on this subject. Some may see it as a minor issue as marijuana use is already so commonplace and relatively benign compared to other drugs. For others, […]
Most indicators of manufacturing activity are still positive, but if trends continue growth could become negative by late summer, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis. This report summarizes 11 data streams that describe the state of U.S. manufacturing in general and the steel industry in particular. We have reported on most of these separately […]
The Empire State Manufacturing Index plunged 26 points in June to register -8.6 for its first negative reading in two years. Manufacturing growth in New York did an about face from May’s six-month high with the new orders index plummeting 22 points and shipments 7 points. The employment index fell to -3.5, while the average […]
The U.S. active rotary rig count, an indicator of oil country tubular goods demand, decreased this week, according to oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The number of active U.S. rigs fell by 6 to 969, with oil rigs down 1 and gas rigs down 5. Compared to this time last year, the 969 count is […]
Steel Market Update Briefs: ArcelorMittal, JSW Steel, Reibus in the news: JSW Steel Output Up 4.0 Percent in May JSW Steel announced that its steel output grew to 1.45 million metric tons in May 2019, a 4 percent increase year-over-year. Flat rolled products increased 6.0 percent to 1.02 million metric tons and long products increased […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive-level members. For more information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Demand for long products is strong, driven by construction, while demand for sheet is declining, according to this SMU analysis of the latest data from the American Iron and […]
XOM Marketplace—the latest online solution for buying and selling materials such as steel, stainless steel, aluminum and plastics—has gone live in the United States. Active in Europe since 2018, XOM Materials, the Berlin-based company behind the new online marketplace, already claims success in Germany and other European markets. Expansion into the U.S. marks a major […]
A higher percentage of manufacturing companies and flat rolled steel service centers are reporting distributors as continuing to lower spot pricing to their customers. We have now passed through the mythical “capitulation” level and we will explain what that means in a moment. First, we saw 79 percent of the manufacturing companies responding to our […]
The rate of job creation in the U.S. in 2019 is slowing, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Net job creation in May was an unexpectedly low result of 75,000. To make matters worse, March was revised down by 36,000 and April was revised down by […]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued a dismal employment report for May with the U.S. economy seeing a net gain of just 75,000 nonfarm jobs. Last month, 90,000 jobs were created in the private sector while government lost 15,000 positions. To put these figures in perspective, they should be considered over a longer time frame, […]
Steel Market Update data supports the widespread view that steel demand is unusually sluggish for this time of year. Nine out of 10 steel buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this past week characterized demand as flat or declining. Only a small single-digit percentage see improving demand. About 35 percent of the […]
Industry sentiment has continued to erode this month as the attitudes of steel executives appear to be suffering from the relentless uncertainty over steel pricing, demand and Trump administration trade policies. The goal of the index is to measure how buyers and sellers of steel feel about their company’s ability to be successful today (Current […]
It’s nearly unanimous that steel prices are in play. More than nine out of 10 flat rolled steel buyers responding to SMU’s market trends questionnaire this week reported that the mills are willing to negotiate price in order to secure the order. The vast majority even reported the mills willing to talk price on plate. […]
Lead times for spot orders of all types of steel products continued to shorten in the past two weeks with demand falling below the pace of steel production. The average lead time for hot rolled is now below three and a half weeks, cold rolled is nearing five weeks, galvanized is less than six weeks […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison April reports related to manufacturing indicate a potential softening in the sector going forward. Since total IP growth for Q1 was revised down to register a decline of 0.5 percent q/q, we have reduced our forecast for 2019 IP growth to 2.0 percent from 2.7 percent previously. The ISM […]
Global manufacturing activity sank into contraction in May. The JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.8 last month for its lowest level since October 2012. International trade concerns dampened new export orders, which fell for the ninth month in a row. Business optimism fell to a level not seen since October 2012. Said JP Morgan […]
The Steel Market Development Institute (SMDI), a business unit of the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI), presented awards for achievement and service to the North American steel industry at the institute’s General Meeting in Washington this week. Recipients were Dr. Grant Thomas of AK Steel, Eric Petersen, formerly of AK Steel, and Edward Pleet […]
Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index dipped below the +50 mark and continued to erode last month as the uncertainty over tariffs and trade had a negative effect on buyers’ attitudes. With OEM and service center executives feeling less positive about their prospects for the next few months, as indicated by SMU Future Buyers […]
With prime steel prices continuing to slide, market conditions for distributors of secondary steel are a bit discouraging. The cheaper the prime products, the less incentive for buyers to seek out deals on nonprime material. Nonprime or secondary steel includes coils that are rejected because they failed to meet the specifications for their original use, […]
Manufacturing in May grew at its slowest pace in two and a half years amid trade tensions and slower demand, reports the Institute for Supply Management. The PMI for the Manufacturing ISM Report on Business decreased 0.7 percentage points from April to a reading of 52.1 percent. The index for new orders gained one percentage […]
The American Iron and Steel Institute’s (AISI) Board of Directors today welcomed two new directors — Michael McQuade, Algoma Steel Chief Executive Officer, and Ed Ramsey, Regional President-North America for Harsco Metals and Minerals. “Michael McQuade and Ed Ramsey are tremendous ambassadors for the steel industry, and I am excited to welcome them to the […]
Key Market Indicator trends deteriorated in May and were the worst since October 2016, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis. This report is designed to be a big picture summary of data we have reported in detail during the month. In it we summarize 36 data streams that critically describe the state of the steel […]
The Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence in May was the highest since last November. This is quite a volatile indicator; therefore, we prefer to smooth the data with a moving average to reduce monthly volatility. The composite value of consumer confidence in May was 134.1 with a three-month moving average (3MMA) of 129.2. The […]
China’s crude steel production in April exceeded an annualized rate of one billion tons for the first time as the Asian giant continues to grow its global market share, according to Steel Market Update’s analysis of the latest World Steel Association data. On March 27, the OECD Steel Committee reported: “Low growth prospects for the […]
The U.S. active rotary rig count, an indicator of oil country tubular goods demand, increased this week, according to oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The number of active U.S. rigs rose by 1 to 984, with oil rigs up 3 and gas rigs down 2. Compared to this time last year, the 984 count is […]
Metalforming companies are expecting a downward trend in business conditions for the next three months, according to 119 metalforming companies surveyed by the Precision Metalforming Association. The PMA Business Conditions Report for May shows only 19 percent of those surveyed expected economic activity to improve. About 24 percent expected orders to decline, an increase from […]