On Friday, Sept. 6, USS-POSCO Industries advised customers: “USS-POSCO Industries (UPI) has revised the published Galvanized coating extras. The new extras will apply on all new orders effective immediately. The new price book for the extras can be found on the attachment as well as on our website. Please contact your UPI Sales Representative with […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Part one of our three-part series: What’s next for U.S. iron ore production? The U.S. is blessed with a wealth of natural resources, including oil, gas, gold, copper, timber and coal. In addition, the country has large iron ore deposits that have supported its steel industry for more than […]
By CRU North America Analyst Ryan McKinley U.S. long product price declines were limited for most products in September after finding support from the scrap market, but downward pressure continues to mount. Even with scrap prices rising by $20 /l.ton in August, persistent price falls throughout the year have yet to spur buyers’ interest amid high […]
As many of our trading company contacts have been telling SMU, finished steel imports have bottomed at just under 2 million short tons. Total foreign steel imports for the month of August are forecast to be 2.1 million net tons based on license data released on Tuesday of this week. Only 275,954 net tons are […]
Prices were mixed this week, although we are starting to see signs of weakness in hot rolled, while cold rolled and coated were slightly stronger. We are evaluating price momentum on all products and will have more to say on that subject on Thursday. Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: […]
Raw steel production by domestic steelmakers dipped by 1.4 percent last week, taking the industry’s average capacity utilization rate down more than a percentage point to 79.5 percent–below the 80 percent mark the mills strive to maintain. Production for the week ending Aug. 31 totaled 1,850,000 net tons, also down 0.6 percent compared with the […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison The last month has been interesting from a forecast standpoint given the reversal in the Fed’s monetary policy stance at the end of July, new developments in the U.S.-China trade war and a shift in currency policy in China. Through all this policy change, we continue to see a […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore prices have bounced back in the past week with a rally on Monday pushing prices back above $90 /t. Renewed market confidence resulted in futures on the Dalian commodity exchange hitting limit up in Monday trading. Steel prices in China have been stable throughout the week, which […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Paul Wiggers de Vries Lessons learned from the mining boom saw zinc miners cut back site costs over 2015, 2016 and 2017 in the face of lower zinc prices. However, in 2018, cost controls were relaxed and cost inflation returned. In 2019, cost inflation will remain, but miners will reduce site […]
On Thursday, Aug. 29, the Nucor Sheet Mill Group advised customers: “Consistent with our practice to monitor the cost of zinc, we have revised our galvanized coating weight extras effective with orders acknowledged for week ending Oct. 5, 2019. Price extras can be accessed under the ‘Sheet’ tab at www.nucornow.com/announcements. Please contact your Nucor District […]
Steel demand will continue to weaken into 2020, but will bottom next year and set the stage for an inventory rebuild and rising consumption beginning in the second half, predicted CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores in his remarks Monday during Steel Market Update’s Steel Summit in Atlanta. U.S. industrial production is currently growing at just […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Manjot Singh China has been at the center of coal price upcycles that have taken place this millennium. The commodity supercycle that characterized the early-2000s was fueled by demand growth, especially in emerging markets like China. That bull market reached a peak in 2011 when slowing demand growth was met with […]
The price of iron ore corrected in August with a $32 per dry metric ton decline, while the four-month-long decline in the price of scrap reversed slightly. Table 1 summarizes the price changes through Aug. 21 of the five materials considered in this analysis. It reports the month / month, 3 months / 3 months […]
Demand for long products continues to be very strong, driven by the construction industry. Demand for sheet products is declining due to the weakness in manufacturing. This analysis by Steel Market Update is based on steel mill shipment data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and import-export data from the U.S. Department of […]
The import market share of all steel products including semifinished has been below 20 percent every month since January. Steel Market Update data goes back to January 2003 in which time period the high import share was 38.8 percent in January 2015. Between January 2014 and February 2019, there were only four months when the […]
U.S. Steel raised industry eyebrows earlier this month when it informed its U.S. sales force that it would no longer use index-based pricing effective with its 2020 contracts. Would other mills climb on the bandwagon? And if so, what might that mean for steel prices? Based on comments from chief executives of other industry-leading mills, […]
Steel mill capacity utilization climbed back over the 80 percent mark last week, increasing by 1.1 percent to register 80.6 percent, reported the American Iron and Steel Institute. Production was up by 0.9 percent compared with the same period last year. Raw steel production for the week ending Aug. 24 totaled 1,877,000 net tons. Domestic […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores and CRU North America Analyst Ryan McKinley North America, primarily the U.S., was an outlier to global price trends for scrap and sheet products this month. Multiple mill price increases for sheet have been primarily successful, although current prices remain well below the most recent mill targets of $630 […]
With about 10 days left in the month, steel imports are trending below average at just over 2.2 million tons, based on Commerce Department license data. Imports of semifinished steel, at around 240,000 tons, are tracking at less than half of normal levels following a surge in July. Domestic mills scrambled last month to secure […]
Steel prices were the same or lower this week, depending on the product. Price momentum is still pointing Higher for flat rolled, but with less confidence. Are we at a tipping or inflection point? Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: SMU price range is $570-$600 per ton ($28.50-$30.00/cwt) with an […]
Steel mill capacity utilization dipped below the 80 percent mark last week for the first time since early July, registering 79.8 percent, reported the American Iron and Steel Institute. Production was down by 0.2 percent compared with the same period last year–the first time this year that weekly production was below 2018 levels. Raw steel […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore prices continued to decline in the past week as margins in the Chinese steel industry continued to decline on weak steel demand and high production levels. On Tuesday, Aug. 20, CRU has assessed the 62% Fe fines price at $88.30 /t, a $2.00 /t decline w/w. The […]
Premium subscribers to Steel Market Update have reports available on our website that break out the import tonnage into district of entry and source nation for six sheet and plate product categories. This report takes the total national tonnage of hot rolled and breaks it down into product detail. Using U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) […]
Since late June, the nation’s steelmakers have raised prices three times on flat rolled and twice on plate products, managing to reverse the 40 percent decline in steel prices that began last summer. Steel prices have increased more than 12 percent since bottoming in early July. The mills have seized the momentum heading into the […]
By CRU Analyst Alexander Ordosch Last week, Turkish scrap prices declined slightly by $4 /t w/w to $290 /t CFR for HMS 80:20, based on one 40 kt deal from the U.S. The Turkish market remains quiet because of the Eid al-Adha (Festival of the Sacrifice) holidays this past week. We consider this new price level of around $285-290 /t […]
Halfway through the month of August, steel import license data is trending down considerably, as expected following a big bump in July. Taking the rate of license requests and extrapolating it out for the entire month, August is on track to see less than 2.1 million tons of total steel imports, down from nearly 3.6 […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Helen O’Cleary Zinc’s price has been testing long-term support in the low $2,220s in recent days and has come under pressure on both the LME and ShFE. Zinc’s price on the LME hit a year-to-date low of $2,248.5/t on Aug. 12 and has lost 24 percent of its value since the […]
Flat rolled price increases seem to be slowing, based on what we learned from steel buyers this week. We did see some uptick, but only modest movement. Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: SMU price range is $550-$620 per ton ($27.50-$31.00/cwt) with an average of $585 per ton ($29.25/cwt) FOB […]
U.S. Steel is planning a fundamental change in the way it goes to market, informing its salesforce this week that it will no longer use index-based pricing effective with its 2020 contracts. Should other mills follow suit, the move has wide-ranging implications for steel prices and the way contracts are negotiated. In an Aug. 13 […]
North America’s plate mills have announced their second round of price increases in less than three weeks, seeking another $40 per ton ($2/cwt). Nucor’s Plate Mill Group was the first to inform customers of the change on Friday, prompting similar announcements by most other mills on Monday. SSAB Americas advised customers it is increasing transaction […]