It’s hard for most service center executives to feel any urgent concern about declining steel prices as long as demand seems so strong. But there are signs in Steel Market Update’s survey data this week that suggest demand is moderating. With prices likely to follow. SMU asked: How are you seeing demand for your products? […]
By Stephen Williamson, CRU Research Manager, Aluminum Aluminum prices went through the $3,000 per metric ton mark on the LME this week. Fueled by energy constraints in China and tightening supply of alloy hardeners, the price broke through the $2,950 ceiling and ran up another $200. The price leveled at $3,150 as of this writing […]
By Stephen Williamson, CRU Research Manager, Aluminum Last week’s aluminum price below $3,000 per metric ton on the LME seemed like a bargain until it ran above $3,300 earlier this week. Yet, at week’s end, trading fell back to $3,050. Further confounding the market is magnesium supply and the prices raging on the hardener front. […]
SMU has updated the survey data we collect to better detect shifts in buying patterns between domestic and foreign steel. We know from Commerce Department figures that flat-rolled steel imports have been running at or above one million short tons a month since May – well above a monthly average of approximately 800,000 short tons […]
SMU has updated the survey data we collect to better detect shifts in buying patterns between domestic and foreign steel. We know from Commerce Department figures that flat-rolled steel imports have been running at or above one million short tons a month since May – well above a monthly average of approximately 800,000 short tons […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor After 14 consecutive months of rising global sheet prices, CRU’s Global Flat Products Steel Price Indicator (CRUspi flats) has fallen m/m. This indicator fell 3.5% as sheet prices continue to fall across most regional markets. The U.S. Midwest market remains the last holdout […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Steel sheet price declines continue in the USA and Europe as lead times shorten further and inventories build. In the former market, small transactions are occurring at levels above $1,900 /s.ton, but there are many more deals occurring at well below this level. As […]
Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial […]
When the books are written on a historic year for steel prices, we will probably look back at August and September as the months when things started falling apart. Why? Because that’s when the extraordinay gaps – between U.S. steel prices and those abroad, between steel prices and scrap prices, and between market senitment and […]
Cheaper foreign hot rolled steel imports continue to tempt U.S. buyers over steel produced domestically, holding potential discounts of 25-43%, according to Steel Market Update’s latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price comparison. Foreign hot rolled steel prices are now theoretically $483-832 per ton cheaper than domestic steel, after taking freight costs, trader margins […]
Since this time last year, mills have been in the driver’s seat when it comes to steel price negotiations. With demand exceeding supplies – and with buyers more concerned about finding steel than what they had to pay for it – mills have basically been able to steer prices wherever they wanted. That appears to be changing, […]
Sentiment among steel buyers tends to mirror steel prices. The higher the steel price, the higher the spirits of service center and manufacturing executives and the more optimistic they feel about their prospects. Steel Market Update data shows that the record-high steel prices of the past year have begun to moderate. But Steel Buyers Sentiment […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor North American sheet prices are lower m/m as prices in the U.S. have finally started to fall, at least for HR coil. Over the past several weeks, the amount and overall volume of spot transactions between mills and buyers have slowed, yet we […]
As I bounce around the market this week talking to steel buyers, I am trying to get a better feel for potential changes, how contract negotiations are going, how receptive end-user customers are toward the higher prices being offered (compared to one year ago), and what kind of foreign steel offers are out there. The […]
August apparent steel supply increased by 130,000 tons over July to 9.83 million net tons, according to the latest U.S. Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute data. This is the highest supply level seen since January 2019, a 31-month record. August supply is up 2.69 million tons compared to the same month […]
As “the next precious metal,” prime scrap is a growth opportunity and a logical fit for Cleveland-Cliffs, which announced Monday that it plans to acquire Detroit-based Ferrous Processing and Trading Co. (FPT). The $775-million deal, Cliffs’ first foray into scrap, comes as no big surprise to most market observers. Cleveland-Cliffs is the largest producer of […]
Mill shipments of steel products jumped 11.2% in August to 9.69 million tons, following an increase of 2.0% the month prior. Apparent supply was up 7.8% in August after a 3.6% increase in July. August’s expansion is the sixth straight month of growth in the steel supply since February’s double-digit contraction. This analysis is based on […]
In the face of strong demand, limited availability and record-high prices in the U.S., steel buyers have looked overseas for relief. August Commerce Department data shows steel imports have been on the rise for the past three months, with imports’ share of total sheet product shipments reaching 17.5%, up from 16.7% the month prior, and the […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has agreed to acquire Midwestern scrap recycler Ferrous Processing and Trading Co. (FPT) for $775 million. The deal means the Cleveland-based steelmaker has secured its own reserves of prime scrap, which Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves has previously characterized as a “precious metal.” FPT recorded earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has agreed to acquire Midwestern scrap recycler Ferrous Processing and Trading Co. (FPT) for $775 million. The deal means the Cleveland-based steelmaker has secured its own reserves of prime scrap, which Cliffs Chairman, President and CEO Lourenco Goncalves has previously characterized as a “precious metal.” FPT recorded earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization […]
By Trade Attorney Lewis Leibowitz A reader turned me on to a recent column by former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer. I have known Ambassador Lighthizer for quite a few years now. He is smart and an able advocate. But that does not mean we see eye to eye. The column, which appeared in the […]
Whether they believe steel prices are in for a sharp or a gradual correction, most of the service center and manufacturing executives responding to SMU’s latest survey agree the market is at a turning point. Here are a few of their recent observations: “Yes, I think we are at the inflection point. The market appears to be […]
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. isn’t feeling the heat of soaring metallurgical coal prices, at least not yet. And the Cleveland-based miner and steelmaker plans to turn to its own mines if the market overheats. “We are benefiting from our existing multi-year contracts with suppliers and also the supply from our own coal production operations,” a company spokeswoman […]
Oil prices topped $80 per barrel this week for the first time since 2014, likely giving a boost to drilling activity and consumption of steel products such as line pipe and oil country tubular goods (OCTG). But don’t expect a big spike in the market. “The recent increases in oil and gas prices are certainly […]
Steel industry trade associations and other supporters of the Section 232 tariffs are strongly opposed to a bill introduced in Congress this week by U.S. Senators Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.) called the Bicameral Congressional Trade Authority Act. Sponsors of the measure say it is designed to prevent potential presidential abuse of “national […]
Let’s put aside the question of whether the steel market has peaked. Let’s just assume that it has, for the sake of argument. Will the correction be gradual, rapid, or gradual until it’s rapid? I tend to think it will be the latter. But let’s put the question of timing aside and just look at […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled The hot rolled futures market was interesting this week as a strong reported decline in spot HR prices surprised many. The […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley and Analyst Dave Thewlis, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor Long product prices in the U.S. remained elevated and moved higher again m/m in some cases for October. Wire rod mills pushed through another round of price increases in mid-September and there was little to no resistance from buyers […]
Sheet prices are mixed this week. Hot rolled is up $10 per ton, cold rolled is down $30 per ton, and galvanized base prices are unchanged. What do you make of a week like this when there is no clear trend? First, I would caution against reading too much into any one week – especially when […]
Final Census data shows that August foreign steel imports declined 10% from July’s 18-month high to 2.78 million tons. September import licenses are currently at 2.86 million tons as of Oct. 4, up 3% from August but down 7% compared to July. Total finished imports for August were finalized at 2.18 million tons, the highest […]