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    Hot Rolled Futures – Energetic Markets


    Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial leadership roles involving purchasing, sales, and risk management for Feralloy Corporation, Cargill Steel Service Centers and Plateplus Inc. You can learn more about Metal Edge at www.metaledgepartners.com. Bryan can be reached at Bryan@metaledgepartners.com.

    Energy in its broadest definition has seemingly dominated headlines as of late, whether it is the equity markets suggesting a rotation into the beleaguered sector due to underinvestment in exploration because of low crude prices, a shift in investment to green energy, or geopolitical factors acutely affecting supply and demand factors in places from China to Europe. West Texas Intermediate crude prices traded as high as $81.68/bbl today, while natural gas prices here in the U.S. rallied near $6/MMBtu before trailing off to close near $5.70/MMBtu. Most have likely already felt this impact at the gas pump or will likely feel these impacts during the winter months as heating bills rise.

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    Sheet and plate price gains accelerate as 2026 tons dry up

    Sheet and plate prices continue to push higher as mills charge a premium for what little spot tonnage remains for 2026, market participants said. SMU’s price assessment for hot-rolled (HR) coil now stands at $1,290 per short ton (st) on average, up $10/st week over week. HR price gains averaged $5/st w/w throughout July and August, with no changes in prices some weeks and gains of at most $15/st w/w. In September and October to date, in contrast, prices have increased every week—with the average gain at $11.25/st w/w and w/w gains as high as $20/st. Prices for cold-rolled and coated products continued to increase as well. SMU's price assessment for cold-rolled (CR) coil clocked in at...