The temptation to purchase foreign hot-rolled coil (HRC) at a bargain has all but faded, with adjusted foreign prices now offering little or no advantage over domestic steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis. After taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into consideration, foreign HRC prices for two of the three regions covered […]
Earlier this week, SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. We are sharing the comments we received in each buyer’s own words, rather than summarizing them in ours. We want to hear your thoughts, too! Contact Brett@SteelMarketUpdate.com to be […]
Sheet prices are down across the board this week, putting big cracks in any hopes that hot-rolled coil prices would find a bottom around $800 per net ton ($40 per cwt). The declines came as market participants reported that at least one large producer had cut deals at low levels and, in doing so, put […]
US plate prices edged down marginally this week, declining for the third straight week. The easing was driven by a tightening of the range, though sources feel pricing has flattened. The repeated declines are not exactly a surprise given plate prices have been holding an unsustainable premium over coil, while buying remains strategic and mainly hand-to-mouth. […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this new Premium content—an index comparing lead time and demand data—with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Apparent demand for flat-rolled steel in the US was sideways in our mid-August reading. The lack of change in the index highlights the current state of […]
End use market demand is mixed as mid-year shipment data is reported The recession, inflation, and interest rates remain hot topics for aluminum producers and consumers. As new economic data is announced, both bright spots and points of concern emerge. First, this month’s report on inflation showed a drop month-on-month (MoM) and may signal that […]
The following article on the hot-rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled Weekly changes in the value of spot HR have continued to drop an average of about $30/net ton but it should […]
Steel mill lead times were relatively flat this week compared to our previous market check, with some products slightly up and others down. Hot rolled, cold rolled and plate lead times slightly declined compared to levels seen two weeks ago, while coated lead times increased. On average this week, lead times increased by 0.2 weeks […]
Steel mill lead times were mixed this week, with the processing time for some ordered products extending, shrinking for one, and another holding steady. Cold rolled and coated lead times increased compared to our previous market check, while plate lead times slightly declined and hot rolled lead times remained flat. On average this week, lead […]
Foreign steel imports from the three regions tracked by Steel Market Update have all but lost their price advantage over domestic steel, according to our latest foreign versus domestic hot rolled steel price analysis. After taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into consideration, foreign HRC prices for one region are more expensive than domestic […]
Sheet prices were mixed this week as market participants continued to debate whether a recent round of price hikes had stuck. While some said the increases would provide a floor and prevent further price erosion, others said prices were more likely to resume their downward trend in the weeks ahead. There were also questions about […]
Flat Rolled = 54.7 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 63.8 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled US service center flat rolled inventories declined slightly in July as service centers worked to align inventories with slowing demand. At the end of July, service centers carried 54.7 shipping days of supply, down from 55 shipping days […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this new Premium content – an index comparing lead time and demand data – with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Apparent demand for flat-rolled steel in the US turned in our early August reading, though it’s too early to note if […]
SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. He and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients. They also provide process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held commercial leadership roles involving purchasing, sales, and risk management […]
US plate prices edged down again this week after seeing their largest decline in nearly five years the week prior. The latest declines are not exactly a surprise given plate prices had been holding an unsustainable premium over coil and buying has been largely hand-to-mouth. But the straw that broke the camel’s back might just […]
The temptation to purchase foreign hot-rolled coil (HRC) at a bargain remains low, with adjusted foreign prices now within $40 per ton of domestic steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis. For the past three months, the potential discount on imported products has been shrinking. After taking freight costs, trader margins and tariffs into […]
Nucor announced a price hike on Monday, and our HRC price is up modestly for the first time since mid-April. It’s too early to say whether those two trends are related. Our HRC price went up $15 per ton. Nucor’s price increase was $50 per ton, and the jury is still out on whether it […]
SMU’s benchmark hot-rolled coil price inched upward for the first time since mid-April, nearly four months ago. The modest gain came even as cold-rolled and coated prices continued to see significant declines. Plate prices were roughly flat. By the numbers: Our average hot-rolled coil price now stands at $820 per ton ($41 per cwt), up […]
I mentioned in my last Final Thoughts that I’d been surprised to see hot-rolled coil lead times inch up, even if only modestly so. I cautioned at the time not to make too much of just one data point or to call a trend based on just one survey. That big caveat aside, as we […]
We’ve got a full issue tonight, so I’ll keep my final thoughts brief. If you’re looking for reasons to be bearish, there are still plenty out there. When it comes to sheet prices, nearly all respondents to our survey report that mills are willing to negotiate lower. When it comes to geopolitics, the war in […]
The appeal to purchase foreign hot-rolled coil (HRC) further faded this week, with foreign prices now in close quarters to domestic steel, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis. Since mid-May, US steel prices have generally declined at a faster rate than foreign prices, meaning the potential discount on imported products has been shrinking for […]
Steel mill lead times were mixed this week, with some products slightly up and others down, according to SMU’s latest market check. Hot rolled and plate lead times rose compared to what we saw two weeks ago, while cold rolled and coated lead times inched further downward. Is this just a blip or the start […]
Sheet prices continued to move lower this week, and plate joined the downward trend following a price decrease announced last week by Nucor Corp. Hot-rolled coil prices now have a tenuous grasp on $800 per ton ($40 per cwt). SMU’s average HRC price stands at $805 per ton, down $35 per ton from last week […]
Steel prices continued to fall in each week of July, following declines in May and June. Hot rolled prices were $955 per ton ($49.75 per cwt) the first week of July, slipping between $35 and $45 per ton each week to reach $840 per ton as of last Tuesday. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for […]
US plate prices were largely unchanged this week, but probably not for long now that Nucor has significantly lowered plate prices with the opening of its September plate order book. The move came after Nucor in early July kept prices flat with the opening of its August order book. Discrete plate prices, as well as prices […]
Foreign hot-rolled steel imports have all but lost their appeal this week and are now at levels comparable to domestic steel prices, according to Steel Market Update’s latest analysis. Since mid May, US steel prices have generally declined at a faster rate than foreign prices, meaning the potential discount on imported products has been shrinking […]
Prices for hot-rolled, cold-rolled and galvanized flat-rolled steel fell again this week with little signs of a near-term bottom. Hot-rolled prices fells into the low $800s per ton ($40s per cwt). Cold-rolled and galvanized base prices, meanwhile, fell into the $1,200s per ton ($60s per cwt) for the first time since mid-March. Spreads between highs […]
On Monday and Tuesday of this week, SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects including steel prices, supply and demand, and new mill capacity. We are sharing some of the comments we received in each buyer’s own words rather than summarizing them in ours. Want to have your voice heard? Contact Brett@SteelMarketUpdate.com to […]
Stelco Holdings Inc. expects its second quarter earnings results to be notably higher sequentially and year-on-year but is warning that a weakening steel market will mean lower results for the second half of the year. In a preliminary earnings report, the Canadian flatrolled steelmaker said it expects its Q2 adjusted EBITDA to be Candian $460-470 […]
Steel Market Update is pleased to share this new Premium content – an index comparing lead time and demand data – with Executive members. For information on upgrading to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. Apparent demand for flat-rolled steel in the US remains on a downward trend – as it has been since late April, […]