Most ferrous scrap pricing deals will be negotiated between the domestic steel mills and their suppliers over the next few days. Steel Market Update sources are telling us scrap prices could move up by $10 to $30 per gross ton or more depending on product and the region of the country. Mike Marley of MetalPrices.com […]
After Steel Market Update (SMU) produced our 11 month analysis of flat rolled steel imports into the United States, we received a number of comments about reality versus the perception behind the numbers. Calendar year 2014 should go down in history as the second largest number of foreign steel tonnage shipped to the U.S. by […]
The U.S. Department of Commerce updated the December 2014 steel import license data. As suspected the volume of requests dropped dramatically from the 4.0 million net ton pace we were seeing earlier in the month to 3.0+ million tons as of December 30th. December total steel imports (alloy and carbon) should be approximately 500,000 tons […]
As we move into the month of January all eyes will be on the December steel import data which will determine if 2014 goes down in history as the largest or second largest year for total steel imports in U.S. history. Prior to 2014 the record for the year with the most foreign steel imports […]
There is one word that comes to mind when trying to write about the status of steel prices: quiet. All is quiet as the few buyers that remain in their offices are spending precious little time buying new steel. With limited information available we have chosen to keep our price ranges and indices the same […]
The spread between world hot rolled export pricing and that of the domestic average here in the United States is shrinking based on our recent analysis. The following is a calculation used by Steel Market Update in order to analyze the spread between world hot rolled export prices and domestic (USA) hot rolled prices. SMU […]
All of the flat rolled price indices followed by Steel Market Update saw steel prices as continuing their decline but in larger increments than what we have been seeing over the past few weeks. Benchmark hot rolled coil pricing dropped by an average of $11 per ton. Two steel indexes, Steel Market Update and CRU, […]
For the week ending December 27, 2014, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated that the U.S. steel industry produced 1,746,000 net tons (NT) of raw steel, a 5.5 percent decrease over the previous week and a 2.3 percent decrease over the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate is 72.6 […]
The American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) recently reported final raw steel production estimates for the month of November 2014. This estimation is different than the weekly raw steel production as it is based on 75 percent of the domestic mills reporting vs. 50 percent for the weekly estimates. Total raw steel production for the […]
Essar Steel Minnesota is asking the Minnesota legislature to extend the October 2014 repayment deadline for a $67 million state subsidy the company received in 2007, according to a report by the Duluth News Tribune. The extension would give Essar another seven years before repayment would be required. The funding was provided for building infrastructure […]
Steel buyers were few and far between this week as everyone prepares for Christmas and Hanukkah holiday celebrations. Even so, those who were working this week and responding to our queries reported aggressive steel mills on all flat rolled products. We have seen erosion at the upper end of our range on all products and […]
South Korea has filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) over the U.S. decision to impose countervailing and antidumping on tariffs on steel pipe from South Korea. In 2013, South Korea exported 894,300 tons of OCTG products to the U.S., which U.S. steelmakers said were sold in the U.S. at artificially low prices. […]
Russia says removing the U.S. suspension agreement on flat rolled steel from Russia is “inconsistent with WTO rules.” The fifteen year old suspension that protected Russian manufacturers from antidumping duties on hot-rolled, flat rolled and carbon quality steel was lifted on Dec. 19. Russian steel manufacturers are now subject to antidumping duties ranging from 74 […]
For the week ending December 20, 2014, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated that the U.S. steel industry produced 1,848,000 net tons (NT) of raw steel, a 1.7 percent decrease over the previous week but a 3.4 percent increase over the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate is 76.8 […]
All of the flat rolled steel indexes which reported pricing this past week saw benchmark hot rolled prices as being down and another step closer to touching $600 per ton. From Steel Market Update’s vantage point, the lower end of our range has broken down to $580 per ton ($29.00/cwt). Our HRC average for the […]
Figure 1 shows historical gas and oil prices since January 2000. The daily spot price of West Texas Intermediate fell below $100 in August and by December 15th was down to $55.96, the latest daily figure available from the Energy Information Administration, (EIA.) Brent closed at $61.09 on the same day. Natural gas delivered to […]
Jawad Mian wrote, “The precipitous decline in the price of oil is perhaps one of the most bearish macro developments this year. We believe we are entering a “new oil normal,” where oil prices stay lower for longer. The reason oil prices started sliding in June can be explained by record growth in US production, […]
Production in November on a tons per day basis was 4.351 million tonnes, down from 4.411 in October. November had one fewer production day than October and the month’s total decreased from 136.363 million to 130.525 tons. Since January 2008 on average, November monthly production has decreased by 5.36 percent, this year November decreased by […]
Hot rolled coil futures took another leg down over the past couple of weeks as spot softness continues to weigh down the terminal market. The forward curve has moved down $5-10 per ton depending on the period for calendar 15 months. Q1 and Q2 is now trading close to $600 per ton and 2nd half […]
Shredded scrap prices are up approximately $20 per ton compared to where they were the first week of December. According to Mike Marley of MetalPrices.com, shred is in tight supply in several Midwest cities due to the decline in the flows of shredded feedstock due to the lower selling prices in October and November and […]
We saw prices slipping in hot rolled and cold rolled steels over the past seven days. We are seeing offers on benchmark hot rolled below the $600 per ton level. One service center who is usually a coated only buyer told SMU that they purchased a small amount of hot rolled and they had offers […]
Peter Wright wrote an article in our last issue about the accuracy of the steel import license data. What Peter was referring to was the license data reported at the conclusion of the month and before the preliminary and final census data are reported. Steel Market Update begins to analyze the data beginning in the […]
Iron ore shipments on the Great Lakes totaled 5.9 million tons in November, an increase of 5.8 percent year-over-year. November’s shipment pushes the year-to-date total to 53.2 million tons, surpassing the same period in 2013 by 86,721 tons. The Lake Carriers Association called the slight increase “a huge achievement” when considering the brutal ice conditions […]
For the week ending December 13, 2014, the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI) estimated that the U.S. steel industry produced 1,880,000 net tons (NT) of raw steel, a 0.2 percent increase over the previous week and a 5.1 percent increase over the same week one year ago. The estimated capacity utilization rate is 78.2 […]
All of the flat rolled steel price indices followed by Steel Market Update moved lower this past week. Based on performance and their ability to keep up with the markets, the three key indices are SMU, CRU and Platts which reported benchmark hot rolled price averages as $615, $614 and $615 per ton, respectively. SteelBenchmarker […]
The subject of how China is going to deal with their surging steel exports continues in earnest after the release of the most recent Chinese export data. As the graphic shows below, the Chinese steel mills have spent this calendar year flooding the world markets with their steel excesses. In November the Chinese steel mills […]
Steel import data is reported three times for each month. These reports are licensed, preliminary and final tonnages for each product. The Steel Import Monitoring system has been a widely used tool to provide an advanced look at import volumes using data compiled from import licenses. These licenses can be applied for at any time […]
Steel exports have declined by 6.5 percent this year while steel imports have climbed nearly 37 percent, notes the American Institute for International Steel in their Statement on October 2014 Steel Exports published below. Falls Church, VA. December 12, 2014. Steel exports dipped from September to October and fell nearly 11 percent from a year […]
The following article is by Peter Wright for our Premium level members. We decided to share the article with all of our readers this evening as a way of providing an example of Premium level content and analysis to our Executive readers. Following the post-recession recovery, shipments of hot band from US mills to domestic […]
Today’s hot rolled, ferrous scrap and iron ore futures article comes to us from Andre Marshall, CEO of Crunch Risk LLC and the instructor for Steel Market Update’s Managing Price Risk I and Managing Price Risk II workshops. Along with HRC, iron ore and BUS trading. Andre also discusses the S&P 500, copper and crude […]