U.S. job growth accelerated in February, as falling Omicron cases brought customers back to business and workers back off the sidelines. Employers added 678,000 jobs last month, topping economists’ forecasts for a second straight month and bringing the unemployment rate down to 3.8%, according to the Labor Department. Job openings are near a record high, […]
The U.S. labor market exceeded expectations in February, adding 678,000 new jobs last month. It was the best month for job growth since last July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. The U.S. still has 2.1 million jobs to go before hitting the February 2020 level and recouping all positions lost in the pandemic. […]
The U.S. economy has expanded at a modest pace since mid-January, the Federal Reserve said in its latest Beige Book report. Overall growth was constrained by a surge in Omicron, forcing firms to deal with heightened absenteeism and continued supply-chain bottlenecks. Consumer spending was weaker, with auto sales largely mixed and manufacturing activity expanding at […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled In spite of a large drop in the HR index this past week (sub $950/ST), the forward curve in HR […]
February marked month six of declining steel prices, following a 12-month streak of continuous price increases. Hot rolled prices declined $215 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,020 per ton at the end of February (recall our HR average this week declined another $20 to $1,000 per ton). The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for sheet products was […]
U.S. manufacturing activity grew in February amid stronger demand and easing supply disruptions, according to the latest U.S. Manufacturing PMI data from IHS Markit. The report noted that the strong improvement in operating conditions was driven by the sharpest expansion in new orders since last October. Stronger new sales growth spurred manufacturers to increase staffing […]
Sentiment among purchasing managers surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management remains strongly optimistic, showing growth last month following a small dip in January. February’s Manufacturing PMI edged up to a reading of 58.6% versus 57.6% the month prior. The index reading above 50% indicates growth in the manufacturing sector, thus February’s measure marks the […]
The Chicago Business Barometer fell last month for the first time since last November, according to the latest indicators from Market News International (MNI) and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). February’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reading was 56.3, down 8.9 points from January, as almost a quarter of the firms surveyed reported New Orders […]
New orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods rose 1.6% in January, doubling earlier estimates of 0.8%, according to the Commerce Department’s report. The surprising gain came following an upward revision in December’s totals to a 1.2% gain from the prior estimate of 0.7% and represents an increase in eight of the last nine months. The […]
The next three months remain favorable for metalforming companies, though widespread supply shortages and other challenges continue, according to the February 2022 Precision Metalforming Business Conditions Report. There was little change in this month’s forecast for business conditions. Only 10% of companies predict a decrease in economic activity during the period, up slightly from 7% […]
U.S. consumer confidence slipped again in February following a downward revision in January, reported The Conference Board. The slight erosion in the headline index was the second straight decline following a small recovery in late 2021 that saw gains from September through December. Though results are mixed, the shift in momentum is worth noting. Sentiment towards […]
World crude steel production fell in January, unable to maintain the growth seen the month prior. Global output was estimated at 155 million metric tons last month, as steelmakers around the world cut production by 6.7 million metric tons or 2.3% from December, according to World Steel Association (worldsteel) data. After hitting an all-time high […]
U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at a 7% annualized rate in the fourth quarter as businesses stepped up their restocking of supplies, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) advanced estimate. This second review and upward revision to fourth-quarter GDP growth by the BEA reflected more business spending on nonresidential structures and investment […]
Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial […]
Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Before joining Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial […]
Demand for design services from architecture firms in the U.S. strengthened for the 12th straight month in January, with AIA’s Architecture Billings Index registering 51.0, according to the latest report from the American Institute of Architects. The ABI is an advance economic indicator for nonresidential construction activity with a lead time of 9-12 months. A score […]
Global crude steel production was estimated at 155 million metric tons in January as steelmakers around the world cut output by 6.7 million metric tons, or 2.3%, from the prior month, the World Steel Association (worldsteel) reported. Since reaching an all-time high of 174.4 million metric tons last May, global steel output has waned in […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
Business activity in the state of New York was little changed in February following an abrupt decline the month prior, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index is now at 3.1 (above the neutral mark of 0), moving up four points versus the -0.7-mark seen the month prior when the index […]
By CRU Economist Veronika Akhmadieva and CRU Senior China Economist Henry Hao from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook, Feb. 14 The last day of 2021 marked the end of the two-year period during which China agreed to increase imports of certain goods and services from the U.S. by a combined $200 billion. These targets have been […]
Total mill shipments of steel products rebounded in December to 8.985 million tons, a 7.8% increase over November’s 8.334 million tons, and the highest monthly total for 2021. Apparent supply saw a 5.0% boost in December, rising for the second straight month following repeated decreases in September and October. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled Will the velocity of the down move in hot rolled prices be maintained as HR price spreads to global prices […]
SMU contributor Tim Stevenson is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and his firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. In Tim’s previous role, he was a Director at Cargill Risk Management, and […]
The U.S. labor market performed surprisingly well in January, adding 467,000 new jobs in the New Year, well ahead of the expected 150,000. The payroll boost was met by a marginally higher unemployment rate at 4.0%, up from 3.9% in December. The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that U.S. payrolls […]
U.S. job growth saw an unexpectedly rapid expansion in January, outperforming expectations and nearly tripling early estimates. January payrolls rose by 467,000, well above the 150,000 anticipated by economists and a strong start to 2022 despite a new COVID-19 variant. Strong hiring aside, the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.0%, a 0.1 percentage point increase despite rising labor […]
Sentiment among purchasing managers surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management remains strongly optimistic despite a small dip in the January Manufacturing PMI to a reading of 57.6%. The index reading above 50% indicates growth in the manufacturing sector for the 20th consecutive month since the COVID-related contraction in April and May 2020. “The U.S. manufacturing […]
While the United States and the European Union have been working to resolve their dispute over punitive tariffs on steel and aluminum and re-establish historical transatlantic trade flows, their focus has shifted away from Section 232 duties and towards a carbon-based sectoral arrangement. The plan: to negotiate a global agreement to address carbon intensity and steel […]
January marked the fifth consecutive month of declining steel prices, following a year-long streak of continuous price increases. Hot rolled prices declined $200 per ton throughout the month, with the SMU index averaging $1,335 per ton ($66.75 per cwt) as of Tuesday, Jan. 25. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator for sheet products remains at Lower since its mid-October adjustment. January […]
Craig Yarde, founder of Yarde Metals in Southington, Conn., died Jan. 25 at the age of 71. Yarde was known for his “out-of-the-box business philosophy” and entrepreneurial approach to managing the metal distribution and processing company he founded out of his home in Bristol, Conn., in 1976. After the service center was sold to Reliance […]