Steel buyers are feeling good about their prospects later this year, as this week’s Steel Market Update Future Sentiment Index saw its highest reading in more than two years at +66, a 13-point jump over the past two weeks. Current Sentiment, which saw a small, four-point bump to +68, is equally optimistic. Every two weeks, […]
The Dodge Momentum Index, a measure of the first report for nonresidential construction projects in planning, gained 3.1% in January to register 139.4 The commercial component of the index jumped 9.9% offsetting an 11.7% decrease in the institutional component. “January’s increase marked the highest level in the Momentum Index since the COVID-19 pandemic began,” said […]
Every other week Steel Market Update conducts a detailed analysis of the flat rolled and plate steel markets. We invite close to 600 individuals associated with manufacturing, distribution, steel mills, trading companies and suppliers to those industries. We intentionally weight the invitations toward end users and steel distribution companies since they are the largest buyers […]
Multiple major North American automakers have or will temporarily halt production because of a semiconductor shortage, something that could have an impact on steel and scrap prices. General Motors will effectively stop production at three assembly plants–one each in the United States, Canada and Mexico–next week because of a semiconductor shortage, the company confirmed. GM […]
Auto assemblies in North America bounced back robustly and surpassed pre-pandemic levels to close out 2020. Despite a production shutdown in March to stop the spread of COVID-19, U.S. auto sales ended the year just slightly below the initial 16.7 million forecast at 16.4 million units, according to LMC Automotive (LMCA). U.S. Vehicle Sales Figure […]
The U.S. is experiencing a housing construction boom, but nonresidential construction projects are dwindling as pre-pandemic starts are completed and new projects are put on hold, said the Associated General Contractors of America. As a result, more than half of metro areas reported a decline in construction employment from December 2019 to December 2020. “A […]
Total construction expenditures rose further in December 2020 to $1,490.4 billion, a 1.0 percent gain on the revised November estimate of $1,475.6 billion, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Despite a health crisis that marred most of 2020, year on year the figure is 5.7 percent above the December 2019 estimate of $1,410.3 billion. The report goes […]
Stronger longer than many anticipated…. An interesting comment from a couple of service centers today, one in the South and another in the Midwest. These two companies agree that the last $100 to $150 per ton in price increases are from panicked buyers. Once those panic buyers are removed from the market…then what? I have […]
A global microchip shortage could prove more disruptive to North American auto assembly plants than initially expected, according to some market participants. Nissan’s truck assembly plant in Canton, Miss., has had to slow production because of the microchip shortage, the company confirmed. General Motors–the largest automaker in the U.S.–has not been impacted “as of now,” […]
No steel mill earnings report is complete these days without the CEO touting his company’s environmental credentials. Cleveland-Cliffs CEO Lourenco Goncalves said this week that his company is committed to reducing its greenhouse gas emissions 25% by 2030. “We at Cleveland-Cliffs acknowledge that one of the most important issues impacting our planet is climate change. […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week puts the current price for hot rolled at a new record high of $1,150 per ton ($57.50/cwt). But with increases of just $10 per ton in the last couple weeks, the upward momentum in pricing appears to be slowing. SMU keeps a close eye on the […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week puts the benchmark price for hot rolled at $1,180 per net ton. The spot market continues to set new highs for the HR price, which in the second week of January topped the old record of $1,070 per ton reported by SMU in 2008. It has […]
Sales of new single-family homes jumped 1.6 percent from November to December, according to the latest Commerce data. Sales were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 842,000, 15.2 percent above the December 2019 estimate. Median sales price was $355,900 and average sales price was $394,900. The seasonally adjusted inventory at the end of December […]
It’s impossible to know what the future holds for the steel market in 2021, but our immediate prospects are less uncertain simply because we have a new president. At least we know who will be calling the shots for the next four years. That should help companies anticipate Biden’s major policy decisions—like them or not—so they […]
As prices soar to historical high levels, we are constantly probing, looking for signs of a crack in flat rolled or plate steel prices. Nucor announced higher plate base prices today with discrete plate being referenced at $51.00/cwt ($1,020 per ton). Here are some of the “interesting” comments we received from steel buyers this week: […]
Construction employment remains below pre-pandemic levels in 34 states despite gains in 37 states and the District of Columbia in December, according to an analysis of federal data by the Associated General Contractors of America. The data reflects the broad impact of the pandemic and the need for additional coronavirus recovery measures, said AGC. “While […]
Home prices soared in November, gaining 7.6 percent from October and 9.5 percent year-over-year, reports the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. Home Price Index. The 20-City Composite rose 8 percent from the previous month and 9.1 percent from November 2019. Phoenix, Seattle and San Diego led the increase with gains of 13.8 percent, 12.7 percent and […]
If the market is getting anxious about a coming correction in steel prices, there are few signs of it yet in industry sentiment data, as measured by Steel Market Update. Current Sentiment remains at an optimistic level in the mid-60s where it has ranged since October. Future Sentiment is slightly less bullish but still above typical […]
I received a call from Cleveland-Cliffs in response to an inquiry I had made a couple of weeks back regarding the #6 blast furnace at their Cleveland steel mill. Cliffs wanted to make sure I understand as the #6 blast furnace comes back online that it is not to increase production, only to replace the […]
The average lead time on spot orders of hot rolled steel from the mill declined slightly for the second time in Steel Market Update’s biweekly survey and is now more than a half-week shorter than at this time last month. Lead times for other flat rolled products remained relatively unchanged, however, in SMU’s latest check […]
After registering a slight dip in Steel Market Update data two weeks ago, lead times for delivery of spot orders of hot rolled steel inched back out again this week to an average of nearly eight weeks. SMU and most in the market have been watching closely for signs that lead times are beginning to […]
There has been little to no price negotiations between spot buyers and the mills since September, and Steel Market Update data shows no sign that is changing. More than nine out of 10 buyers responding to SMU’s questionnaire this week (note the predominant blue bars) reported that the mills are almost always unwilling to negotiate […]
With one month of the new year in the record books, steel demand continues to outpace supplies, leaving the mills in a dominant negotiating position. Roughly nine out of 10 buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week reported that their mill reps are unwilling to talk price on virtually all flat rolled and […]
The Architecture Billings Index took another plunge in December, falling to 42.6 from 46.3. A score below 50 shows a decline in demand for design planning and is a leading economic indicator for nonresidential construction activity. “Since the national economic recovery appears to have stalled, architecture firms are entering 2021 facing a continued sluggish design […]
The housing construction market continued its strength in December with starts vaulting 5.8 percent from November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,669,000. Single-family housing starts soared 12 percent, but starts of multifamily housing of five units or more plummeted 15.2 percent. Building permits, an indicator of future construction, rose 4.5 percent last month […]
At least two more automakers with substantial North American operations have cut production because of a global microchip shortage, according to company representatives. Stellantis has scheduled “down time” at an assembly plant in Brampton, Ontario, a company spokeswoman said. The Canadian plant makes the Chrysler 300, Dodge Charger and Dodge Challenger cars. The company – […]
Earlier this week I received a note from one of our readers regarding the plate price index and the changes we recently made to the index (FOB Mill vs. Delivered pricing). We were asked how we are accomplishing this, and how do our members reconcile the historical data that was based on delivered pricing versus […]
Subaru will scale back production of vehicles at its assembly plants in Lafayette, Ind., and in Japan’s Gunma prefecture, because of a semiconductor shortage, a company spokesman said. “We currently expect several thousand units will be affected at each plant,” he said. “We are closely watching the situation and working to minimize the impact on […]
Flat Rolled = 51.3 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 50.8 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled Service center flat rolled steel inventories found their low point in November and bounced back up in December. Service centers carried 51.3 shipping days of supply at the end of December, up from 40 in November. The data […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley and Analyst Dave Thewlis, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor U.S. domestic long product prices rose further m/m in January, hitting multi-year highs (see chart) as limited supply met with strong demand. Buyers are increasingly relying on domestic mills to acquire material, as global prices have made importing less […]