Existing-home sales recovered in September after waning the month prior, reported the National Association of Realtors. All four of the major U.S. regions registered month-over-month gains, while the South was sideways. Annually, however, only the South held steady, while each of the remaining three regions reported declining sales versus the same year-ago period. September sales […]
Steel Market Update has adjusted our steel pricing momentum indicator for hot-rolled coil lower. That’s not something we’ve done since July 21, 2020 – and it’s not a decision we took lightly. But the evidence is hard to ignore. Our hot rolled coil price now stands at $1,910 per ton ($95.50 per cwt), down $10 per ton […]
Strong consumer demand helped push builder confidence higher in October despite growing affordability challenges stemming from rising material prices and shortages. Builder sentiment in the market for newly built single-family homes moved four points higher to 80 in October, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Despite the increase, […]
General Motors Co. will extend production downtime at its Orion Assembly through the end of the month, a company spokesperson confirmed to Steel Market Update. The automaker’s Lake Orion, Mich., assembly plant, down since Aug. 23 due to the semiconductor scarcity, will extend its downtime to include the weeks of Oct. 18 and Oct. 25. […]
Monthly Key Market Indicators, as analysed by Steel Market Update, softened again in the past month. A typical summer slowdown followed by a surge in COVID variant cases, compounded by a lackluster job market, reflects an uneasy economic landscape. Consumer confidence has dwindled, highlighted by decreases in key indicators across the marketplace. SMU’s Key Market Indicators […]
It’s hard for most service center executives to feel any urgent concern about declining steel prices as long as demand seems so strong. But there are signs in Steel Market Update’s survey data this week that suggest demand is moderating. With prices likely to follow. SMU asked: How are you seeing demand for your products? […]
By Stephen Williamson, CRU Research Manager, Aluminum Aluminum prices went through the $3,000 per metric ton mark on the LME this week. Fueled by energy constraints in China and tightening supply of alloy hardeners, the price broke through the $2,950 ceiling and ran up another $200. The price leveled at $3,150 as of this writing […]
By Stephen Williamson, CRU Research Manager, Aluminum Last week’s aluminum price below $3,000 per metric ton on the LME seemed like a bargain until it ran above $3,300 earlier this week. Yet, at week’s end, trading fell back to $3,050. Further confounding the market is magnesium supply and the prices raging on the hardener front. […]
By CRU Advisor Greg Wittbecker LME cash aluminum prices have retreated hard from new 13-year highs, falling from $3,300 last week to reach $2,682 as we completed the week. Supply-side Price Concerns Get a Reality Check but Remain Dangerous Market euphoria over supply-side constraints ran into the effect of China’s “command economy” at work. Power […]
SMU has updated the survey data we collect to better detect shifts in buying patterns between domestic and foreign steel. We know from Commerce Department figures that flat-rolled steel imports have been running at or above one million short tons a month since May – well above a monthly average of approximately 800,000 short tons […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Over the past five weeks since we last reviewed the CME Group’s HR coil futures market, there has been a renewed surge in volatility. Spot prices of physical HR coil have clearly plateaued, yet more likely started a new downtrend, and futures prices […]
North American auto assemblies fell in September, reaching the second lowest monthly total year-to-date. The impact of the chip shortage and supply-chain disruptions pulled automotive production down nearly 13% month on month. Semiconductor scarcity and parts delays further worsened, reducing vehicle inventories and causing regional sales to tumble during the month, according to LMC Automotive […]
Flat Rolled = 54.5 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 54.9 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled U.S. service center flat rolled inventories grew in September to the highest level seen since August 2020, according to Steel Market Update data. At the end of September, service centers carried 54.5 shipping days of supply on an […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley from CRU’s Steel Metallics Monitor The CRU metallics price indicator (CRUmpi) changed little in October, declining slightly by 0.4% to 374.1. Price directions were mixed but fell by the most for European scrap and DRI while scrap prices in Asia had the largest increases. We expect to see similar […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor After 14 consecutive months of rising global sheet prices, CRU’s Global Flat Products Steel Price Indicator (CRUspi flats) has fallen m/m. This indicator fell 3.5% as sheet prices continue to fall across most regional markets. The U.S. Midwest market remains the last holdout […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Dimitry Popov and Analyst Wei Wang In recent weeks, China has been experiencing the worst power shortages in decades. Various industries in 20 provinces have been affected and even residential customers had power cuts in the extreme cases. Increasing electricity demand, short coal supply and the decarbonization drive are three main […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Steel sheet price declines continue in the USA and Europe as lead times shorten further and inventories build. In the former market, small transactions are occurring at levels above $1,900 /s.ton, but there are many more deals occurring at well below this level. As […]
When the books are written on a historic year for steel prices, we will probably look back at August and September as the months when things started falling apart. Why? Because that’s when the extraordinay gaps – between U.S. steel prices and those abroad, between steel prices and scrap prices, and between market senitment and […]
The prices contractors pay for construction materials rose further in September despite a recent decline in a few materials’ prices. The costs still far surpass the prices contractors charged in the 12-months ending in September, reports the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) in its latest analysis of government data. “Construction materials costs remain out […]
Construction employment totaled 7,447,000 jobs on a seasonally adjusted basis in September, an increase of 22,000 month on month, reports the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) in its latest analysis of government data. September’s total was 201,000 or 2.6% below the pre-pandemic peak from February 2020. Residential construction employment expanded by 3,400 in September, […]
Mill lead times for orders of flat rolled and plate products have shortened significantly over the past month. Steel Market Update’s latest check of the market shows the average lead times for hot rolled, cold rolled and galvanized steel have come in by roughly three-fourths of a week. The typical hot rolled lead time is […]
Since this time last year, mills have been in the driver’s seat when it comes to steel price negotiations. With demand exceeding supplies – and with buyers more concerned about finding steel than what they had to pay for it – mills have basically been able to steer prices wherever they wanted. That appears to be changing, […]
Sentiment among steel buyers tends to mirror steel prices. The higher the steel price, the higher the spirits of service center and manufacturing executives and the more optimistic they feel about their prospects. Steel Market Update data shows that the record-high steel prices of the past year have begun to moderate. But Steel Buyers Sentiment […]
United Auto Workers (UAW) members at John Deere have set up pickets after a midnight strike deadline lapsed. The strike at the Moline, Ill.-based heavy equipment manufacturer impacts more than 10,000 workers at 14 facilities – most of them in the Midwest but some as far afield as Colorado and Georgia. “Our members at John Deere […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor North American sheet prices are lower m/m as prices in the U.S. have finally started to fall, at least for HR coil. Over the past several weeks, the amount and overall volume of spot transactions between mills and buyers have slowed, yet we […]
As I bounce around the market this week talking to steel buyers, I am trying to get a better feel for potential changes, how contract negotiations are going, how receptive end-user customers are toward the higher prices being offered (compared to one year ago), and what kind of foreign steel offers are out there. The […]
Heavy equipment maker Deere & Co. faces a midnight strike deadline after United Auto Workers (UAW) union members overwhelmingly rejected a tentative contract agreement. The deadline has been set for Wednesday, Oct. 13, at 11:59 pm after approximately 90% of UAW members rejected the tentative pact, the union said. Both sides continue to bargain in […]
U.S. heating and cooling equipment shipments slowed in August to 2.05 million units, down 2.4% from July and down 11.4% from June’s record-high of 2.32 million units, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). August levels are down 1.8% from levels seen one year prior. Recall that 2020 monthly shipment […]
Whether they believe steel prices are in for a sharp or a gradual correction, most of the service center and manufacturing executives responding to SMU’s latest survey agree the market is at a turning point. Here are a few of their recent observations: “Yes, I think we are at the inflection point. The market appears to be […]
Stellantis – the Dutch parent company of Chrysler – has extended downtime at one of its U.S. plants because of the ongoing global microchip shortage, a company spokeswoman said. The Auburn Hills, Mich.-based automaker’s assembly plant in Belvidere, Ill., will be down through the end of October, she said. “Stellantis continues to work closely with our […]