Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: Last week, in the latest news on dispute settlement proceedings in the WTO concerning the Section 232 “national security” tariffs and quotas, the WTO panelists announced that a panel report would not be circulated to the parties to […]
John Packard is on vacation… Mill executives have been quick to deflect criticism of their plans to spend billions on mill modernizations and upgrades, arguing that the market will be able to absorb the new capacity–but most steel buyers aren’t buying it. Three out of four respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this […]
The pendulum appears to have swung back in buyers’ favor as service centers and OEMs report most mills willing to negotiate to secure spot orders of all types of steel products. In the hot rolled segment, 82 percent of respondents to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week said the mills were open to […]
Mill lead times saw a small uptick following the mill price increases announced in late June and July, but have since reverted back to relatively short levels. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the mill level. The shorter the lead time, the less busy the mills, and the more likely […]
John Packard is on vacation… Have the mills lost their pricing momentum on flat rolled? It sure looks that way, based on the latest Steel Market Update data. About 38 percent of the OEM and service center executives responding to SMU’s market trends questionnaire this week report that the mills have lost their momentum and […]
So far, China has held its own in the prolonged trade war with the U.S., but August saw an unexpected decline in exports. China’s exports fell 1.0 percent in August after gaining 3.3 percent in July. Imports declined 5.6 percent, resulting in an overall trade surplus of $34.84 billion, said China’s General Administration of Customs. […]
I am technically on vacation this week so my Final Thoughts will be brief, and I will rely on Senior Editor Tim Triplett to handle these duties for the balance of this week. I have heard from a number of buyers this week telling me that their business is slowing, and the interest by end […]
Steel Market Update will produce our Service Center Inventories and Shipments “Flash Report” on flat rolled and plate steels for data providers on Monday, Sept. 9. Also on Monday, we will begin our early September flat rolled and plate steel market trends analysis. On Friday, we will provide data providers with a link to a […]
Steel Market Update is making adjustments to our Price Momentum Indicators on hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized and Galvalume steels. The pressure behind rising steel prices seems to be subsiding as lead times at most mills are reasonable (especially considering the maintenance schedules in place for September and October). Steel buyers are beginning to tell […]
On Wednesday, September 4, 2019 the U.S. Department of Commerce issued a Preliminary Antidumping Duty Determinations on fabricated structural steel from Canada, China and Mexico. In the determination Canada was found to be essentially harmless while China and Mexico were found to be dumping fabricated steels into the U.S. markets. SMU normally does not cover […]
Steel Market Update received the following letter from a trading company executive and we thought it should be shared with our readers: I was just reading your article concerning Section 232 and came up with the following short conclusions: The damage of Section 232 to the integrated mills is done. The windfall profit reaped by […]
This report is designed to be a big picture summary of data we have reported in detail during the month. It summarizes 36 data streams that describe the state of the steel market and provide forward guidance for steel buyers and sellers. See the end of this piece for an explanation of the Key Indicators […]
Ferrous scrap prices are starting to settle as of today. Initial checks with some of our scrap sources found prime grades down $40 and obsolete grades down $30 in portions of the Midwest. We learned the Cleveland area mills bought busheling down $20 to $300/gross ton. We also learned of a purchase of HMS at […]
The effectiveness of the Trump administration’s Section 232 tariff gets mixed reviews. The 25 percent tariff has contributed to a 13 percent reduction in steel imports this year, easing the competitive pressures on domestic mills. But after an initial spike in steel prices last year, and record earnings by the mills, the price of finished […]
As I write my “final thoughts” for Tuesday evening’s issue of Steel Market Update, I am in Stuart, Fla., and there is a hurricane located about 80 miles due east in the Bahamas. It is Monday and I expect there will be limited power or mobility come Tuesday, so I am trying to be a […]
I thought I was going to get a respite from the stress of putting on the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference as the conference has concluded and I have returned home. For those of you who do not know, I live in southern Florida on the Atlantic coast side close to West Palm Beach. Mother […]
We are not producing our flat rolled and plate steel price ranges and averages this evening as we are tied up with our conference. We will produce new pricing on Tuesday of next week, after the Labor Day Weekend Holiday. On the elevator up to my room this evening (Tuesday, Aug. 27) was a gentleman […]
Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index moved lower over the past two weeks as buyers appear concerned about the economy and steel demand. Steel prices remain a source of anxiety as the mills have been only partially successful at collecting their recent price increases. The goal of SMU’s Buyers Sentiment Index is to measure […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: On Friday, China announced new tariffs in response to the Trump administration’s new tariffs on $300 billion of imports from China. Effective Sept. 1, China will impose 5 percent or 10 percent tariffs on more than 5,000 tariff […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: I received several questions about the cases initiated earlier this year covering the ongoing antidumping and countervailing duty investigations of fabricated structural steel (FSS) from Canada, Mexico and China. I thought it might be time to try to […]
Temperatures in Atlanta were in the high 70’s today under cloudy skies. The forecast for the next few days is for temperatures to be in the low 80’s on Monday and then climbing to the high 80’s by Wednesday. There is a chance of showers/thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday, but they should be gone come […]
If the price increases announced by the mills over the past two months were gaining real traction, it should be showing up in lengthening mill lead times. According to Steel Market Update data, the impact on lead times has been mixed and minimal. Lead times for steel delivery are a measure of demand at the […]
There has been little change in the tone of price talks over the past two weeks. The majority of buyers continue to report that mills generally are willing to negotiate to secure spot orders, even as they work to collect recent price increases on flat rolled and plate products. Since late June, the mills have […]
The U.S. International Trade Commission determined on Tuesday that unfair imports of steel racks from China are causing material injury to domestic producers and should be subject to duties. The final decision follows the Department of Commerce AD/CVD determination that the racks are subsidized and sold in the U.S. at less than fair value. As […]
I have been traveling all day, so I have had limited exposure to the market today. For that matter, as I have mentioned on a couple of recent occasions, I have been almost entirely focused on the 2019 SMU Steel Summit Conference. So, here are a few comments about the conference for those of you […]
Using U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) data, SMU has taken the import tonnage of cold rolled sheet and broken it down into coil and leveled, then into four thickness ranges, and then identifies how much was full hard, annealed and high strength. Through June 2019, of the total cold rolled sheet and strip imports into […]
The official economic statistics out of China showed a decline in industrial production in July. But in June, China’s share of global steel production was 55.1 percent. Once each quarter we publish the official statistics for Chinese GDP, industrial production, consumer price inflation and fixed asset investment. We don’t know the accuracy of these numbers, […]
Six days to go… Today, I had a long conversation with Ryan Smith who is the Global Costing Analyst for CRU. Ryan is based out of Australia and will be joining us in Atlanta next week when he will speak about the advantages and disadvantages the domestic steel industry has, and domestic steel buyers need […]
The trucking industry won a major victory in securing a promise from the U.S. Trade Representative’s office that it will not impose tariffs on imports of Chinese-made 53-foot domestic intermodal containers. The 10 percent tariff scheduled for imports of the intermodal containers would have cost the logistics sector an additional $63 million in the first […]
As mentioned above, it is crunch time for me and my team as we prepare for the conference, now one week away. I want to emphasize SMU will have a major announcement at the conference on Monday as we roll out our Service Center Inventories on Hand, on Order, Shipments and an analysis of what […]