Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: A bill set for introduction today in the House of Representatives would, if enacted, fundamentally change the basics of U.S. policy on international trade. Rep. Sean Duffy (R-Wis.) will introduce the bill, which was drafted by the Trump administration. […]
Don’t expect to have your Section 232 exclusion request looked at any time soon. The Commerce Department has announced that, due to the number of furloughed employees during the partial government shutdown, it will temporarily suspend processing of Section 232 exclusions. Contingency plans at the nation’s trade offices have dramatically reduced the number of people […]
With no end in sight for U.S.-imposed steel tariffs, United Steelworkers in Canada urge the federal government to keep safeguards in place to guard against foreign steel imports. “Our members themselves are appearing this month before the Canadian International Trade Tribunal (CITT) to make the case for extending safeguard measures beyond the original 200-day period […]
For those of you who haven’t spent much time on the Home Page of our website, you are probably unaware of us removing the video of me talking about our newsletter and that space (upper left side) is now the placeholder for a number of video testimonials about our newsletter and the SMU Steel Summit […]
When we go out for flat rolled and plate steel spot pricing, we do so in a number of ways in order to maximize the number of responses. This week SMU sent out an email inquiry requesting information on pricing, but also on lead times, inventories and foreign steel offers, and we solicited general open […]
I was asked this evening if the JSW Ohio production tonnage is included in the weekly raw steel production report produced by the American Iron & Steel Institute (AISI). In the fine print of their weekly report, the AISI states that 1st Quarter 2019 production is estimated at 30.5 million tons, which is lower than […]
If the prevailing view in the market proves correct, steel mills will announce a price increase soon—but it won’t stick. Two out of three steel executives responding to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this past week believe the mills will announce an increase in flat rolled prices by the end of January. But given […]
Last week, Steel Market Update concluded our early January analysis of the flat rolled and plate steel market trends. One of the key areas we watch is how service centers are handling spot pricing of flat rolled steels to their end customers. Over the years we have learned that when service centers are raising prices, […]
Steel Market Update asked: Are the Section 232 tariffs negatively impacting your business? The market is evenly split on the subject. About half of those responding to SMU’s questionnaire this week—primarily service center and OEM executives—say they have been hurt by the tariffs, while the other half say the tariffs have had no direct effect. […]
The Commerce Department’s research on the national security implications of auto and auto part imports has generated numerous drafts, said Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, because “the picture keeps evolving.” The latest Section 232 draft includes three options for President Trump to consider when weighing if tariffs on the foreign auto industry would be good for […]
I heard from one of my trading contacts who lives inside of China over the weekend. He had attended an economic lecture, the topic of which has been banned in China. China’s economy is a mess. I will have more on the Chinese economy and what it might mean for North America in the coming […]
Mill lead times turned the corner on the new year little changed from mid-December. At less than four weeks for hot rolled and around six weeks for cold rolled and coated products, lead times for spot orders of most products are as short as they have been in over a year. While still in high […]
Steel Market Update’s first canvass of the new year shows a subtle shift in the price dynamic between mills and steel buyers. No doubt, buyers still have a lot of leverage and most mills are usually willing to talk price to secure the order. But SMU’s findings show a slight tightening in negotiations. In the […]
Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Index began the year with another slight dip in optimism, as measured by both the Current Sentiment and the Future Sentiment three-month moving averages. The goal of the index is to measure how buyers and sellers of steel feel about their company’s ability to be successful today (Current Index), […]
It is so rare that I get to spend two weeks in the office, and I think I am going to be here for another week or so. At the end of the month, I will be in Mississippi to conduct one of our Steel 101 workshops. The Starkville workshop is close to being sold […]
Employment gains in manufacturing and construction were strong in December, as 301,000 jobs were created in the private sector and 11,000 in government, according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Table 1 breaks total employment down into service and goods-producing industries and then into private and government employees. Most of the goods-producing employees […]
I mentioned this in my pricing article earlier in this newsletter, but I think it bears repeating. When I was with Winner Steel (now called NLMK Sharon Coatings) we brought up two new coating lines. As each line came onstream it was imperative to get orders, so the line would run. One way to get […]
With finished steel prices continuing their second-half decline through the end of 2018, the market is holding its collective breath to see if the mills announce a price hike this month. Many believe they will try to raise prices, but most are doubtful they will succeed. Following is what industry sources told SMU this week: […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: When the unusual happens, we often are jarred from our routine. I have experienced this since Dec. 21, when the government shutdown officially began at midnight (Dec. 22). The shutdown is “partial,” meaning that only certain government departments […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: When the unusual happens, we often are jarred from our routine. I have experienced this since Dec. 21, when the government shutdown officially began at midnight (Dec. 22). The shutdown is “partial,” meaning that only certain government departments […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: This is an update on the trade-related committees in the new Congress. The Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee are the congressional bodies with jurisdiction over most international trade matters. Senate The new chairman […]
When on calls with steel service center and manufacturing executives, one of the questions that always comes up is my view on the economy. I am not an economist and I defer to CRU and to economists like Alan Beaulieu of ITR Economics (Alan speaks at the SMU Steel Summit Conference). I know Dr. Beaulieu’s […]
The New Year has started, the pace is a little slow for some, others have told me that their order books got a kick start yesterday. I have to imagine the differences are based on geography and product. This afternoon I had an interesting conversation with the head of commercial for a domestic steel mill. […]
Welcome to 2019! As we begin the New Year, I want to welcome everyone back to their offices or plants. I am looking forward to another interesting year as we continue to deal with the effects of Steel 232, anti-dumping and countervailing duties, threats of Section 232 for automotive and Section 301 on finished goods […]
The following was submitted by trade attorney Lewis Leibowitz. His contact information is at the end of the article. As we approach the new year, I have been reflecting on the next few months and what may come in 2019. One of my history professors in college often said, “change is the only permanency.” I […]
Service centers are perilously close to capitulation as the percentage of respondents reporting service centers as lowering spot prices continues to increase. Manufacturing companies are telling Steel Market Update that they are receiving lower and lower spot pricing from their service center suppliers. In our latest flat rolled steel market trends analysis conducted this past […]
Tomorrow night is Christmas Eve and so I am not going to spend a lot of time talking about the steel industry. My words tonight are aimed at the heart as I wish each of you a wonderful holiday and a happy, healthy New Year. From all of us here at Steel Market Update. John […]
On Wednesday in New York, a three-judge panel on the U.S. Court of International Trade began deliberating a case that will examine the constitutionality of the Section 232 tariffs imposed by President Trump on imports of steel and aluminum in the name of national security. Opponents argue that such tariffs should be subject to congressional […]
So, we have our service center inventories at 2.5 months of supply, down slightly from the 2.6 months we got from our distributor data suppliers the previous month. This is not from our survey; we decided to put that data aside as it was suspect – it had both buyers and sellers contributing to the […]
Continual controversy over trade and tariffs, volatile steel prices and unrest on Wall Street have clearly left many in the industry anxious and pessimistic about the year to come. Only about 20 percent of the steel executives who responded to Steel Market Update’s latest market trends questionnaire expect 2019 to be a solid growth year […]