The runup in steel prices continues unabated with benchmark hot rolled prices now averaging $1,080 per ton. The $1,080 number on hot rolled is the highest in our history (we reported $1,070 back in July 2008). Steel buyers should note that even as we bust through our past record high, we believe prices will still […]
Current Sentiment among steel buyers, as measured by Steel Market Update’s Jan. 4 questionnaire, saw a small increase, while Future Sentiment saw a small decrease, suggesting that service center and OEM executives feel more confident about their immediate prospects than they do about the uncertainty ahead. As one commented: “We ended 2020 struggling to get […]
The merger of Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot S.A. (Groupe PSA) was approved last week and is expected to be finalized on Jan. 16. The new company will be called Stellantis and will have a production capacity of 8.7 million vehicles per year. The lineup will include French carmakers Peugeot and Citroen, Jeep, Ram pickups, and […]
After communicating with one of our readers over the weekend, I realize it is important for our readers, and those who interact with our website, to understand what the SMU Price Momentum Indicator means. The SMU Price Momentum Indicator definition on our website clearly states that this is meant to be a visual showing where […]
Officials at the Associated General Contractors of America provided a troubling outlook for the construction industry for the first half of 2021. Postponement and cancellation of construction jobs, difficulty finding skilled labor, rising material costs, supply shortages and continued costs and challenges associated with COVID-19 suggest that the industry will not return to pre-pandemic levels […]
Hot rolled lead times were slightly shorter this week, but lead times for other products were the same or slightly longer, based on Steel Market Update’s first check of the market in the new year. Lead times for deliveries of hot rolled were still highly extended at an average of nearly eight weeks, and it’s […]
With steel in such tight supply as 2021 gets off to a fast start, it’s clearly a seller’s market, with little to no price negotiation between buyers and the mills. Based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week, average hot rolled steel prices have surpassed $1,000 per ton. SMU has received anecdotal […]
Quality information is KEY…in steel and in life. I have been struggling on how to deal with what I saw yesterday at the U.S. Capitol. We cannot allow thugs to attack the workings of our democracy. At the same time, we should hold those who spread disinformation to the public accountable for the disservice they […]
Home prices rose to an all-time high in October, according to the latest S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index jumped 8.4 percent in October following a 7.0 percent annual gain in September. The 20-City Composite posted a 7.9 percent year-over-year gain, up from 6.6 percent in the […]
Construction spending was heavily weighted toward single-family homebuilding in November, according to an analysis of government data by the Associated General Contractors of America. Residential construction soared 2.6 percent last month and 16.2 percent year-over-year, contrasting a 0.6 percent decline in private and public nonresidential spending in November and a 4.7 percent tumble from a […]
As we enter the New Year (goodbye 2020, welcome 2021), you will notice changes to Steel Market Update. One of the very first things you will notice is that our newsletters will have more relevant content in them. This is due to the addition of Michael Cowden who joins us after spending 13 years with […]
Looking back at the past year, 2020 was not the disaster many in the steel industry had feared. And looking ahead, 2021 appears even more promising, say OEM and service center executives polled by Steel Market Update last week. Despite an economy that struggled with the COVID pandemic, as well as civil unrest and an […]
New home sales in November slipped 11 percent from October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 841,000, reported the Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development. The pace of sales continues to outperform the 2019 rate however, up 20.8 percent from November last year. The median sales price in November was $335,300 and […]
2021: A New Year and New Opportunities and Adventures The coming New Year is going to be one for the ages. This year (2020) has been one where our personal, political, and professional lives got mixed together as never before. I am ready for the mundane (politics), for the pandemic to end (personal), and to […]
Sentiment among steel buyers, as measured by Steel Market Update’s Dec. 21 questionnaire, saw a small dip as the year comes to a close on concerns about tight steel supplies. As one respondent said, “We need supply in order to be successful. I am not able to line that all up so far for 2021.” […]
Steel Market Update’s check of the market a few days before Christmas shows no let-up in steel demand, as prices continue to rise and lead times continue to extend. With steel supplies remaining extremely tight, lead times for deliveries of hot rolled have stretched to more than eight weeks and coated steel orders to around […]
Based on Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week, hot rolled steel prices are nearing $1,000 per ton, within sight of a record high. With service centers and OEMs willing to pay such high prices in order to secure inventory in a tight market, it’s no surprise the buyers report little willingness among […]
Existing home sales fell for the first time in five months, dipping 2.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.69 million. Sales fell or held steady in all regions although remained significantly higher on a year-over-year basis. “Home sales in November took a marginal step back, but sales for all of 2020 are […]
I received a call earlier today from one of our readers who is also a consultant to companies who purchase flat rolled steel. He mentioned to me that there is some confusion with companies who think our index is the same as CRU, since we are owned by CRU. That belief is ill-advised and flat […]
Construction employment remains below pre-pandemic levels in 35 states even though 31 states and D.C. added jobs from October to November, said the Associated General Contractors in an analysis of November government data. “An increase in project cancellations and postponements is forcing nonresidential contractors to lay off workers as they complete projects started before the […]
Tomorrow (Monday, Dec. 21) will be the winter solstice in the Northern Hemisphere, the shortest day of the year (darkest day of the year). With the pandemic raging, and the government breaking out two vaccines to treat COVID-19, the hope is that as the daylight gets longer the pandemic will begin to fade away. For […]
Housing starts rose 1.2 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,547,000 and were 12.8 percent higher than November 2019. Single-family housing starts flattened in November increasing just 0.4 percent to a rate of 1,186,000. Starts for buildings of five units or more rose 8.0 percent. On a year-to-date basis, single-family construction […]
Flat Rolled = 40.0 Shipping Days of Supply Plate = 45.7 Shipping Days of Supply Flat Rolled Service center flat rolled steel inventories continue to reach new lows. At the end of November, service centers carried 40 shipping days of supply, down from 43.1 days in October. November had 19 shipping days, compared to October’s […]
With hot rolled steel fast approaching $1,000 a ton, it’s only a matter of time before prices begin to cut into demand. Some SMU sources already report early signs of a demand shift. Others are less concerned about the volume of orders than about where they will get the steel to fill them if supplies […]
We are quickly moving to the end of 2020, and I am sure many of you cannot wait to put this year in the rearview mirror. I think we all want our lives back. I was texting with someone in the steel industry who had a different perspective, and maybe now is a good time […]
October heating and cooling equipment shipments increased to 2.08 million units, up 36.3 percent from one year prior, according to recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). Total October shipments were up 2.5 percent from the previous month. For comparison, June 2020 saw the highest monthly shipment level in Steel Market Update’s […]
Let’s play “fun facts.” Last week Steel Market Update published our average hot rolled spot price as $885 per ton ($44.25/cwt). With the domestic steel mills asking $900-$960 per ton for new orders of spot (if they are offering at all, which is a separate issue all by itself) SMU expects HRC spot prices to […]
The Associated General Contractors of America filed a lawsuit on Wednesday alleging that the Small Business Administration and the Office of Management and Budget secretly crafted an intrusive questionnaire that gathers irrelevant information on business operations to reassess eligibility for Paycheck Protection Program loans. “The administration has every right, and obligation, to ensure businesses were […]
Steel supplies are so tight these days that $1,000 hot rolled is not out of the question. Which makes predictions of a coming “Steelmageddon” seem that much harder to believe. In fact, 60 percent of the service center and manufacturing executives who responded to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week do not view Steelmageddon as […]
Dodge Data & Analytics reports a decline in project planning for new construction in the nonresidential sector. The latest Dodge Momentum Index fell 2.6 percent in November to 123.3 The institutional component of the index fell 4.4 percent, while the commercial component slid 1.6 percent. “Since the expiration of support programs in the CARES Act, […]