SMU Data and Models

SMU market survey results now available
Written by David Schollaert
July 5, 2024
The latest SMU market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members. After logging in at steelmarketupdate.com, visit the pricing and analysis tab and look under the “survey results” section for “latest survey results.”
Historical survey results are also available under that selection.
If you need help accessing the survey results, or if your company would like to have your voice heard in our future surveys, contact info@steelmarketupdate.com.
Key points and takeaways
We go over the big highlights of the survey in Final thoughts. Here are some other key points that we think are worth your time. (And, again, our premium subscribers can follow along with the latest results here.)
- Steel Buyers’ Current Sentiment plunged to a four-year low (slide 9) – a reading not seen since the Covid-19 pandemic. And Future Sentiment (slide 11) was eight points lower vs. the prior market check.
- Lead times remain short/normal (slide 13). And depending on the product, 77-95% of buyers surveyed said mills were willing to negotiate lower prices (slide 16).
- The scrap market is not yet showing signs of strength in demand (slide 19). More than half (56%) awaiting lower prices in July, with 40% expecting stable prices month on month.
- Again, one-third of respondents said they missed forecast last month (slide 20). More alarming might be that nearly no one (just 2%) exceeded forecast in June.
- Nearly three-quarters of service centers say they are releasing less steel (slide 28). And 82% say they are lowering prices. None say they are increasing them (slide 38).
There’s a lot more in there to unpack, but it seems we’re officially in the summer doldrums. Make sure to check out Final thoughts for some of the comments and key reactions directly from our sources.


David Schollaert
Read more from David SchollaertLatest in SMU Data and Models

SMU Survey: Buyers’ Sentiment rebounds from multi-year low
Both of SMU’s Steel Buyers’ Sentiment Indices edged higher this week. Current Sentiment rebounded from a near five-year low, while Future Sentiment rose to a two-month high

SMU flat-rolled market survey results now available
SMU’s latest steel buyers market survey results are now available on our website to all premium members.

SMU Survey: Sheet lead times pull back after early-June blip, plate holds
Following the uptick seen two weeks ago, lead times eased this week for all four sheet products tracked by SMU, while plate lead times held steady, according to this week’s market survey.

SMU Survey: Pricing power abruptly shifts to steel buyers
The majority of steel buyers responding to our latest market survey say domestic mills are more willing to talk price on sheet and plate products than they were earlier this month. Sheet negotiation rates rebounded across the board compared to early June, while our plate negotiation rate hit a full 100%.

Service centers: Mill orders down marginally in May
SMU’s Mill Order Index (MOI) declined for a third straight month in May, but only marginally.