I have been buried with the project of resurrecting our premiere event over the last few months. Out of the ashes of the pandemic rises the new virtual SMU Steel Summit Conference. As with any endeavor Steel Market Update tackles, this task has had some unusual challenges. As the project has gathered steam, we have found that […]
Watch the market closely. I am hearing rumors that at least one EAF mill is trying to get flat rolled numbers up. Right now, most (not all) data providers were not supportive of higher numbers. I am hearing integrated mills are not booking a lot of spot business, and thus are able to get slightly […]
Industry sentiment had been trending positive since bottoming out in the first week of April—until this week. Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Indexes slid back from levels earlier in the month on continued uncertainty over the coronavirus and its effects on the economy and steel demand. SMU asks steel buyers how they view their […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: Readers have asked frequently about the staying power of Section 232 tariffs and quotas on steel and aluminum. There are many ways to look at the question—from the effectiveness of the remedy to change behavior of China and […]
The official opening of the SMU Virtual Steel Summit Conference is 29 days from today (Aug. 24-26). You will want to register early as we will be opening the platform during the prior week (probably Thursday and Friday) so people can get help as they practice using the platform, make appointments with other attendees and […]
Lead times for spot orders of flat rolled and plate steel have seen relatively little change over the past month, but remain about a half week shorter than this time last year as the market tries to come to grips with doing business in a pandemic. Lead times are an indicator of steel demand—shorter lead […]
Steel buyers clearly have the upper hand in negotiations with steel makers given the challenging market conditions from the virus, with overwhelming percentages of those responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week reporting that the mills are open to price negotiations to win orders. Nearly all the hot rolled buyers (96 percent) said the […]
NOTE: Steel Market Update will be moving to a new Azure server tomorrow. Most of the day our website will be down as we make the transition. The website should be back up on Saturday and we intend to publish on Sunday as usual, barring any technical difficulties. We are in an interesting time for […]
Steel prices are always unpredictable, but a confluence of recent events is making price prognostication more difficult than usual. Steel prices have plummeted along with demand ever since the coronavirus appeared in mid-March and undermined the economy. The benchmark base price for hot rolled steel is down to $460 per ton, based on SMU’s canvass […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: China tariffs first took effect on July 6, 2018. In the two years since then, tariffs were imposed on nearly all U.S. imports from China. Recent developments suggest that changes may be coming—some which may mean fewer tariffs […]
Many subscribers to Steel Market Update don’t even know the full extent of the information available to them through SMU’s research. SMU President and CEO John Packard will host this week’s Community Chat Webinar, beginning at 11 a.m. ET on Wednesday, July 22, to enlighten both current and prospective members. John will highlight the methodology […]
The coronavirus pandemic has crippled GDP growth and made the world economy smaller. It follows, then, that the same is in store for steel. “There is going to be a permanent reduction in the size of the steel market,” predicted veteran industry analyst John Lichtenstein, managing partner of the Swiss-based Research and Consulting Group AG […]
Now is a good time to consider the futures market, said Andre Marshall, president and founder of Crunch Risk, LLC, during Wednesday’s SMU Community Chat Webinar. Hedging price risk can help bring some certainty to the unpredictability brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. “Right now, the market is very bearish based on what we are […]
Today there was an explosion at the “D” furnace at ArcelorMittal Burns Harbor. Will there be some impact on the market? Will it be enough to put a bottom to the slide in prices? It’s too early to tell, but we will be watching developments closely in the coming days and weeks. Steel shipments between […]
Steel Market Update’s next Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, July 15, will feature guest speaker and price risk expert Andre Marshall, President and Founder of Crunch Risk, LLC. Crunch Risk is a price risk management and brokerage firm specializing in a suite of futures contracts in ferrous metals and base metals. Andre has over 25 […]
We are seeing further erosion in flat rolled steel pricing this week with the possible exception of Galvalume. Our sources are advising that hot rolled numbers are being offered in the low $400’s for tons. As capacity reopens at integrated mills, the possibility exists for HRC prices to breach the $400 per ton level for […]
Despite bad news on the coronavirus front, as authorities work to keep a surge in COVID-19 infections from derailing the economy once again, sentiment in the steel industry continues to trend positive. Steel Market Update’s Steel Buyers Sentiment Indexes are near levels comparable to this time last year, prior to the pandemic. Since early April […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: The Trump administration’s trade policies make for interesting reading; but the results of those policies are, if anything, more interesting. Tariffs are the hallmark of the Trump presidency, especially the Section 301 tariffs on China and the Section […]
Steel Market Update’s next Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, July 15, will feature guest speaker and futures expert Andre Marshall, President and Founder of Crunch Risk, LLC. Crunch Risk is a price risk management and brokerage firm specializing in a suite of futures contracts in ferrous metals and base metals. Andre has over 25 years […]
John Packard (who is traveling) says his sources are telling him that JSW’s flat roll mill in Mingo Junction, Ohio, may be shutting down (not taking orders) for an unknown amount of time. No confirmation or details yet from the company. John also reports that Steel Dynamics ran the first coil through the new #3 […]
Lead times for spot orders of flat rolled steel saw minor and inconsistent changes in the past two weeks, revealing no clear trend. Hot rolled lead times extended slightly, while lead times for cold rolled and galvanized were flat and plate lead times declined, according to Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week. Lead times […]
The vast majority of steel buyers responding to Steel Market Update’s market trends questionnaire this week report that mills are willing to compromise on price to win orders as the economy and steel demand continue to battle the effects of the coronavirus crisis. About 86 percent of hot rolled buyers said the mills are open […]
The Department of Commerce has initiated an investigation to determine if seamless carbon and alloy steel standard, line and pressure pipe from the Czech Republic, Korea, Russia and Ukraine is being sold at less than fair value in the U.S. market and whether such pipe is being subsidized by the governments of Korea and Russia. […]
Steel Market Update’s next Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, July 15, will feature guest speaker Andre Marshall, President and Founder of Crunch Risk, LLC. Crunch Risk is a price risk management and brokerage firm specializing in a suite of futures contracts in ferrous metals and base metals. Andre has over 25 years of commodity trading […]
John Packard is traveling… This was the plan when we got word there was a mysterious virus headed our way from China back in March: We shut down the economy for a month or two, keep our distance from each other, then get back to work and enjoy a quick, V-shaped recovery. Wasn’t quite that […]
Trade attorney and Steel Market Update contributor Lewis Leibowitz offers the following update on events in Washington: You may have seen news stories in the last two weeks about U.S. threats to impose tariffs on aluminum imports from Canada and Mexico because of “surging” levels of imports from those countries. Don’t believe everything you read: […]
“Blunt force demand trauma.” That is how Ryerson President & CEO Eddie Lehner described the market environment as a result of the COVID-19 crisis. One really can’t use the word “unprecedented” too much when discussing the effects of the pandemic on the economy and industry, said Lehner. Losing 30 percent of demand in 30 days […]
Steel Market Update’s next Community Chat webinar on Wednesday, July 8, will host CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley, who will offer an update on the global ferrous scrap market and answer metallics-related questions from listeners. Ferrous scrap prices began to trade this afternoon with obsolete grades dropping by $20 per gross ton, and prime grades […]
We don’t get to choose when we were born. We don’t choose what natural disasters, epidemiological emergencies, stock market crashes, tyrannical regimes, or wars our generations face. We only get to choose how we react. (Professor Wendy Beth Hyman of Oberlin College to her students on March 11, 2020). Thank you for bearing with us […]
On Wednesday, July 1, Steel Market Update will host the next SMU Community Chat webinar. Guest speaker will be Eddie Lehner, President & CEO of Ryerson, one of the largest flat rolled and plate service centers in North America. The free webinar begins at 11 a.m. ET. Register by clicking on this link. As with […]