U.S. steel imports are trending well below average in September, based on Commerce Department license data. Extrapolating the current rate of import licenses out through the end of the month shows total imports on track to hit about 1.8 million tons–significantly below the 2.4 million ton average for the past three months and the 2.6 […]
The U.S. exported 620,598 tons of flat rolled steel in July, according to final Census data, a 4 percent rise from June, but down 5 percent from the same month one year ago. July exports were in line with the 2019 average of 611,019 tons, but down significantly compared to recent years. It was this […]
On Friday, Sept. 6, USS-POSCO Industries advised customers: “USS-POSCO Industries (UPI) has revised the published Galvanized coating extras. The new extras will apply on all new orders effective immediately. The new price book for the extras can be found on the attachment as well as on our website. Please contact your UPI Sales Representative with […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Part one of our three-part series: What’s next for U.S. iron ore production? The U.S. is blessed with a wealth of natural resources, including oil, gas, gold, copper, timber and coal. In addition, the country has large iron ore deposits that have supported its steel industry for more than […]
By CRU North America Analyst Ryan McKinley U.S. long product price declines were limited for most products in September after finding support from the scrap market, but downward pressure continues to mount. Even with scrap prices rising by $20 /l.ton in August, persistent price falls throughout the year have yet to spur buyers’ interest amid high […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC) steel and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Steel In the last 30 days we have seen the prices in the HR forward curve drop by an average of $70/ST […]
As many of our trading company contacts have been telling SMU, finished steel imports have bottomed at just under 2 million short tons. Total foreign steel imports for the month of August are forecast to be 2.1 million net tons based on license data released on Tuesday of this week. Only 275,954 net tons are […]
Prices were mixed this week, although we are starting to see signs of weakness in hot rolled, while cold rolled and coated were slightly stronger. We are evaluating price momentum on all products and will have more to say on that subject on Thursday. Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: […]
Raw steel production by domestic steelmakers dipped by 1.4 percent last week, taking the industry’s average capacity utilization rate down more than a percentage point to 79.5 percent–below the 80 percent mark the mills strive to maintain. Production for the week ending Aug. 31 totaled 1,850,000 net tons, also down 0.6 percent compared with the […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison The last month has been interesting from a forecast standpoint given the reversal in the Fed’s monetary policy stance at the end of July, new developments in the U.S.-China trade war and a shift in currency policy in China. Through all this policy change, we continue to see a […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore prices have bounced back in the past week with a rally on Monday pushing prices back above $90 /t. Renewed market confidence resulted in futures on the Dalian commodity exchange hitting limit up in Monday trading. Steel prices in China have been stable throughout the week, which […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Paul Wiggers de Vries Lessons learned from the mining boom saw zinc miners cut back site costs over 2015, 2016 and 2017 in the face of lower zinc prices. However, in 2018, cost controls were relaxed and cost inflation returned. In 2019, cost inflation will remain, but miners will reduce site […]
On Thursday, Aug. 29, the Nucor Sheet Mill Group advised customers: “Consistent with our practice to monitor the cost of zinc, we have revised our galvanized coating weight extras effective with orders acknowledged for week ending Oct. 5, 2019. Price extras can be accessed under the ‘Sheet’ tab at www.nucornow.com/announcements. Please contact your Nucor District […]
Steel demand will continue to weaken into 2020, but will bottom next year and set the stage for an inventory rebuild and rising consumption beginning in the second half, predicted CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores in his remarks Monday during Steel Market Update’s Steel Summit in Atlanta. U.S. industrial production is currently growing at just […]
SMU contributor Gaurav Chhibbar is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and his firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. In Gaurav’s previous role, he was a trader at Cargill spending time in […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Manjot Singh China has been at the center of coal price upcycles that have taken place this millennium. The commodity supercycle that characterized the early-2000s was fueled by demand growth, especially in emerging markets like China. That bull market reached a peak in 2011 when slowing demand growth was met with […]
The price of iron ore corrected in August with a $32 per dry metric ton decline, while the four-month-long decline in the price of scrap reversed slightly. Table 1 summarizes the price changes through Aug. 21 of the five materials considered in this analysis. It reports the month / month, 3 months / 3 months […]
Demand for long products continues to be very strong, driven by the construction industry. Demand for sheet products is declining due to the weakness in manufacturing. This analysis by Steel Market Update is based on steel mill shipment data from the American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) and import-export data from the U.S. Department of […]
The import market share of all steel products including semifinished has been below 20 percent every month since January. Steel Market Update data goes back to January 2003 in which time period the high import share was 38.8 percent in January 2015. Between January 2014 and February 2019, there were only four months when the […]
U.S. Steel raised industry eyebrows earlier this month when it informed its U.S. sales force that it would no longer use index-based pricing effective with its 2020 contracts. Would other mills climb on the bandwagon? And if so, what might that mean for steel prices? Based on comments from chief executives of other industry-leading mills, […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Manjot Singh Coking coal prices have remained steady for another week on the back of mixed signals on the demand side and abundant supply from Australia. On Aug. 27, CRU assessed the Premium HCC, $0.5 /t lower w/w at $154.5 /t, FOB Australia. There were more deals concluded by Chinese buyers […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg Iron ore continued to fall in the past week as weakness in the Chinese steel market continued with steel prices declining further. Iron ore spot offers also rose over the last week. On Tuesday, Aug. 27, CRU has assessed the 62% Fe fines price at $84.00 /t, a $4.30 […]
Steel mill capacity utilization climbed back over the 80 percent mark last week, increasing by 1.1 percent to register 80.6 percent, reported the American Iron and Steel Institute. Production was up by 0.9 percent compared with the same period last year. Raw steel production for the week ending Aug. 24 totaled 1,877,000 net tons. Domestic […]
By CRU Principal Economist Lisa Morrison and Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg In the past month, we have seen sharp declines in global commodity prices, including steelmaking raw materials. The fall was triggered by an escalation of the U.S.-China trade war, but CRU’s research shows that supply and demand fundamentals in the markets also contributed to […]
The following calculation is used by Steel Market Update to identify the theoretical spread between foreign hot rolled steel prices (delivered to U.S. ports) and domestic hot rolled coil prices (FOB domestic mills). We want our readers to be aware that this is only a “theoretical” calculation as freight costs, trader margin and other costs […]
The following article discussing the global ferrous derivatives markets was written by David Feldstein. As an independent steel market analyst, advisor and trader, we believe he provides insightful commentary and trading ideas to our readers. Note that Steel Market Update does not take any positions on HRC or scrap trading, and any recommendations or comments […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Josh Spoores and CRU North America Analyst Ryan McKinley North America, primarily the U.S., was an outlier to global price trends for scrap and sheet products this month. Multiple mill price increases for sheet have been primarily successful, although current prices remain well below the most recent mill targets of $630 […]
With about 10 days left in the month, steel imports are trending below average at just over 2.2 million tons, based on Commerce Department license data. Imports of semifinished steel, at around 240,000 tons, are tracking at less than half of normal levels following a surge in July. Domestic mills scrambled last month to secure […]
Steel prices were the same or lower this week, depending on the product. Price momentum is still pointing Higher for flat rolled, but with less confidence. Are we at a tipping or inflection point? Here is how we see prices this week: Hot Rolled Coil: SMU price range is $570-$600 per ton ($28.50-$30.00/cwt) with an […]