US consumer confidence fell to a 16-month low in June, falling for the second straight month. The consumer expectation index, meanwhile, hit its lowest mark in nearly a decade. An onslaught of grim economic news continues to erode Americans’ view of their present and future prospects, The Conference Board reported. Rising inflation, a key driver of […]
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose more than expected in May, suggesting business investment remains resilient even in the face of deteriorating business and consumer sentiment as well as heightened fears of a recession. Last month’s bookings for durable goods rose 0.7% following a revised 0.4% decline a month earlier, according to the […]
World crude steel production rose in May, gaining ground for a third consecutive month and reaching its second-highest mark on record. Global output was estimated at 169.5 million metric tons in May. Steelmakers around the world increased production by an estimated 6.8 million metric tons, or 4.2%, from April, according to World Steel Association (worldsteel) data. […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
Demand for design services from architecture firms in the US continued to expand in May, though the score was down three points month-on-month (MoM). May marked the 16th consecutive month of growth following the pandemic-induced downturn in 2020. The May AIA Architecture Billings Index registered 53.5, down slightly from April’s score of 56.5, according to […]
Global crude steel production was estimated at 169.5 million metric tons in May as steelmakers around the world expanded output by 6.8 million metric tons, or 4.2%, from the prior month, the World Steel Association (worldsteel) reported. Since reaching an all-time high of 174.4 million metric tons last May, global steel output had steadily waned […]
The word ‘risk’ often has a negative connotation and gets a bad rap. But there are two sides to risk – the dark side and the light side, the bad and the good, the downside and the upside. When it comes to price risk in the steel market, you can either just accept it or […]
By CRU Economist Veronika Akhmadieva, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook With a higher-than-expected headline CPI inflation reading of 8.6% in May, the Fed opted for an even more aggressive monetary tightening. After a 50 bps increase in the federal funds rate in May – which is the highest increase since 2000 – the Fed raised […]
By CRU Senior China Economist Henry Hao, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook and China Macro Monthly In May, overall economic activity in China has improved marginally as the relaxation of Covid-19 restrictions led to the resumption of production in late May. Export and infrastructure investment have regained momentum. However, prospects for construction remain weak. While the contraction […]
The following article on the hot-rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled HR futures are coming back to life after a quiet spell in May. Month to date in June more than 225,000 […]
Business activity in the state of New York was little changed in June, following a surprising fall in May, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The New York Fed’s Empire State headline general business conditions index – a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state – rose 10.4 points in June but remained at […]
Total mill shipments of steel products slipped in April following a slight uptick the month prior. April’s mill shipments totaled 8.12 million tons, 2.6% decline from March’s 8.34 million tons. Apparent supply also fell in April, down 4.7% versus the prior month. This analysis is based on steel mill shipment data from the American Iron and Steel […]
The European Union is adjusting its steel safeguard measures, according to a document filed at the World Trade Organization. The EU’s safeguard instrument is entering its fifth year of application. The liberalization rate, which is meant to progressively allow more import competition into the market while the domestic industry adjusts to it, had previously been […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook Energy costs for consumers – in the form of utility bills and the cost of filling a car – have risen sharply, but not as sharply as the cost of crude oil and natural gas. But this doesn’t necessarily mean a lot more pain […]
Editor’s note: SMU contributor Bryan Tice is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and the firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. Prior to Metal Edge Partners, Bryan held a variety of commercial […]
The US labor market added 390,000 jobs in May, a robust figure but a slower pace of hiring versus the upwardly revised 436,000 additional payrolls in April. The result kept the unemployment rate unchanged month on month (MoM) at the pandemic-era low of 3.6%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Payroll gains were better than […]
Editor’s note: Steel Market Update is pleased to share this Premium content with Executive members. For information on how to upgrade to a Premium-level subscription, email Info@SteelMarketUpdate.com. The US economy surprises in May by adding 390,000 new jobs, higher than earlier estimates and despite growing concerns about economic slowdown and surging inflation. The result kept the […]
The S&P Global US manufacturing PMI – another measure of manufacturing – fell to 57 in May, its lowest level in four months, and a noticeable turn from the market improvement the month prior. Last month’s results are down from 59.2 in April and a “flash” May reading of 57.5. (Recall that a reading above […]
The outlook among purchasing managers surveyed by the Institute for Supply Management was positive in May. US manufacturing activity grew at a slightly faster rate than anticipated as the six biggest manufacturing industries registered moderate to strong growth last month. May’s Manufacturing PMI rose to 56.1%, a 0.7 percentage point gain compared to a reading […]
The US economy contracted in the first quarter of 2022 at a worse rate than expected with gross domestic production declining at a -1.5% annualized pace, according to the second estimate from the US Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The second review for Q1 was a slight downward revision from its first estimate […]
US consumer confidence edged lower in May as Americans’ view of their present and future prospects dimmed in the midst of persistent inflation, The Conference Board reported. Confidence could stumble further as stubborn inflation may be around for a bit. Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years. […]
World crude steel production rose in April, gaining ground for a second consecutive month and reaching a 10-month high. Global output was estimated at 162.7 million metric tons in April. Steelmakers around the world increased production by just 1.6 million metric tons, or 1% from March, according to World Steel Association (worldsteel) data. Although April’s crude […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
Steel prices eased each week in May, following increases in March and most of April. Hot rolled prices were $1,440 per ton ($72 per cwt) the first week of May, just $40 lower than the mid-April peak. Prices then slipped between $15 and $75 each of the following weeks, with the SMU index averaging $1,255 […]
The following article on the hot rolled coil (HRC), scrap and financial futures markets was written by Jack Marshall of Crunch Risk LLC. Here is how Jack saw trading over the past week: Hot Rolled Physical HR prices continue to decline at a steady pace. Spot indexes have declined almost $140/ST since the end of […]
SMU contributor Tim Stevenson is a partner at Metal Edge Partners, a firm engaged in Risk Management and Strategic Advisory. In this role, he and his firm design and execute risk management strategies for clients along with providing process and analytical support. In Tim’s previous role, he was a Director at Cargill Risk Management. Prior […]
Business activity in the state of New York sank in May, a startling result following a strong turnaround in the headline index the month prior, according to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The New York Fed’s Empire State headline general business conditions index – a gauge of manufacturing activity in the state – is now […]
Editor’s note: SMU Contributor David Feldstein is president of Rock Trading Advisors. Rock provides customers attached to the steel industry with commodity price risk management services and market intelligence. RTA is registered with the National Futures Association as a Commodity Trade Advisor. David has over 20 years of professional trading experience and has been active […]
Total mill shipments of steel products recovered in March following repeated declines at the start the year. March’s mill shipments totaled 8.342 million tons, a 9% increase from February’s 7.655 million tons. Apparent supply also surged in March, up 12.9% versus the prior month, and expanding for the first time in three months. This analysis is based […]
By CRU Principal Economist Alex Tuckett, from CRU’s Global Economic Outlook Each of the three largest economies now face a serious risk that could push them into recession: For Europe, the greatest risk is the fall-out from the Ukraine war, particularly the potential impact on energy markets. In China, a resurgence in Covid-19 which has […]