Sometimes it seems the whole world is downstream of the steel industry. Now, that may be a side effect of spending my days immersed in lead times, steel buyers sentiment, and hot-rolled coil futures. That would be a fair assessment. However, looking into the testimonies from the Congressional Steel Caucus’ recent hearing on June 7 […]
Geoff Gilmore, future president and CEO of Worthington Steel, will be the featured speaker on the next SMU Community Chat on Wednesday, June 14, at 11 a.m. ET. The live webinar is free to attend. A recording will be available to SMU members. You can register here. We’ll talk about current steel market dynamics, the […]
This weekend I was at my daughters’ swim meet. It’s a recreational summer league, so not all the kids are very competitive, but they all seem to have a great time cheering each other on. The sportsmanship was unrivaled. All the kids shook each other’s hands after each heat, and nobody exited the water until […]
The US and European Union are working on an agreement dealing with carbon emissions in the steel industry. The impact on bilateral trade could be high. In 2021, the US and EU agreed that the US would suspend the 25% Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum, and the EU would drop its World Trade […]
SMU’s Current Steel Buyers Sentiment Index rose above the Future Buyers Sentiment Index during the week ending June 9 as future sentiment slumped, according to our most recent survey data. Every other week we poll steel buyers about sentiment. The Steel Buyers Sentiment Indices measure how steel buyers feel about their company’s chances of success in the current market, as […]
Domestic hot band prices are rolling downhill at a rate that looks to be accelerating. As SMU managing editor Michael Cowden pointed out in Tuesday night’s Final Thoughts, present dynamics are eerily like what we saw last summer. And we all know where that led us: to a low of $615 per ton ($30.75 per […]
Steel Market Update’s latest survey shows movements in lead times were varied across products this week, with hot rolled falling below the 5-week mark for the first time since early February. The average lead times for hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet all fell back slightly from our market check two weeks ago, while those for […]
The percentage of respondents saying steel mills were willing to negotiate on price stayed relatively flat this week, up one percentage point from two weeks ago, according to SMU’s most recent survey data. Plate bucked the general trend, being the only product surveyed by SMU to fall below 50% of respondents saying steel mills were […]
Bipartisan legislation was introduced in Congress on Wednesday to level the playing field for American workers. The Leveling the Playing Field Act 2.0 would enhance US trade remedy laws to protect American workers and “combat China’s unfair, anti-free market trade practices that distort the global market,” according to a release from Rep. Bill Johnson (R-Ohio). […]
Domestic hot-rolled coil prices are down $55 per ton ($2.75 per cwt), the sharpest such decline we’ve seen all year. If this feels like an echo of June 2022, that’s because it is. Check out the chart below: A year ago, prices were falling hard as the shock of the war in Ukraine faded along […]
The US Department of Commerce issued the final results of its expedited sunset review of antidumping (AD) duties on steel plate from three Asian countries. The agency found that allowing the duties to expire would result in the continuation of dumping at significant rates. This is the fourth sunset review of the AD duties on […]
I wanted a fresh perspective on the steel market this week, so I turned to a new voice – namely, ChatGPT. I won’t weigh in on whether the AI-driven chatbot is a useful tool, an extinction-level threat, or just another shiny object. That said, ChatGPT has been available publicly since Nov. 30, 2022. And it […]
The debt ceiling deal passed by Congress has averted either an economic catastrophe or a minor headache, depending on who you talk to. It’s more likely that a pretty serious catastrophe was averted. But there was, in my view, never a serious chance that the US would default on its sovereign debt. More likely, some […]
Geoff Gilmore, future president and CEO of Worthington Steel, will be the featured speaker on the next SMU Community Chat on Wednesday, June 14, at 11 am ET. The live webinar is free to attend. A recording will be available to SMU members. You can register here. We’ll talk about current steel market dynamics, the […]
In a falling market, yesterday’s special deal is tomorrow’s prevailing price. A lot of you know that rule of thumb. What does it mean for the market now? Let’s sketch out a scenario. I wrote last week that someone buying tens of thousands of tons of hot-rolled coil (HRC) might be seeing prices in the […]
On Monday and Tuesday of this week, SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]
The US and EU affirmed their intention to reach a common framework on carbon emissions in steel and aluminum by October at the Trade and Technology Council (TTC) meeting in Luleå, Sweden, on Wednesday. At the meeting the EU and US said that via the Transatlantic Initiative for Sustainable Trade they are “strengthening engagement towards […]
The US will extend for another year an exemption for Ukrainian steel from Section 232 tariffs. “The United States has provided a much-needed market for the steel that Ukraine is able to export,” Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said in statement on Wednesday, May 31. “In doing so, Americans are directly supporting the people of Ukraine, […]
Sheet prices were broadly flat this week mostly because of a dearth of activity around Memorial Day. The consensus is prices will resume their downward trajectory, especially with nearly everyone we surveyed reporting that mills remain willing to negotiate lower spot prices. So where and when might prices bottom? For starters, very few people think […]
What’s up with galvanized coating extras? Galvanized lead times and prices have been falling since April, according to SMU data. SMU’s galvanized base price stands at $1,170 per ton ($58.50 per cwt), down nearly 12% from $1,325 per ton last month and down 31% from $1,700 per ton from a year ago. Lead times are at […]
Steel Market Update will be taking time off in observance of Memorial Day. We will not publish an issue on Sunday, May 28, and our offices will be closed on Monday, May 29. Our weekly pricing service will not be impacted. We will resume our regular publication schedule and our pricing service on Tuesday, May […]
Steel buyers across all products surveyed by SMU this week are finding mills more willing to negotiate lower spot pricing vs. two weeks ago. Galvanized saw the percentage of buyers saying mills were willing to talk price climb to 100% this week, up from 90% at the previous market check, while cold rolled rose 28 percentage […]
Steel mill lead times have encountered some of the biggest two-week declines we’ve seen for some time, to the lowest levels we’ve seen since mid-March, according to SMU’s latest steel market survey data. Hot rolled in particular saw the steepest two-week decline since late January 2022, when lead times dropped by 0.86 weeks. This week, […]
Both SMU’s Current and Future Steel Buyers Sentiment Indices fell this week compared to two weeks ago, with Current tumbling 16 points to drop below Future Sentiment, according to our most recent survey data. The Steel Buyers Sentiment Indices measure how steel buyers feel about their company’s chances of success in the current market, as well as three-to-six […]
There are many great, supportive organizations in the steel and metals industry. One that continues to grow as the industry evolves is the Association of Women in the Metal Industries (AWMI). Founded in 1981, AWMI is an international organization that was established to promote and develop the growth of women in the metal industries. AWMI […]
Sheet prices came down harder than I expected this week. I probably shouldn’t have been surprised. For starters, mills are still making money at these levels, so there is not a lot of friction to lowering prices to get an order. Also, lead times are or will soon be overlapping with a period when we’re […]
Networking is an integral part of life in the business world. Emails, phone calls, and even Zoom meetings are nice, but they can only take us so far. Getting out and about, shaking hands and meeting others face-to-face – this is what really allows us to form relationships with customers, contacts, and even competitors. It […]
Two separate developments suggest that the Biden administration may have concerns that more tariffs would damage the US economy by harming consumers. First, we saw the president suspend action to impose additional tariffs on solar cells and modules from four countries in the face of an antidumping “circumvention” proceeding. Circumvention determines whether operations in third […]
A lot of steel companies are talking about being carbon neutral by 2050. But how are we going to get there? And how do we get the rest of the world to come with us? As we proceed with decarbonization, what actually qualifies as “green steel,” and who gets to decide? A conversation today with Kevin […]
On Monday and Tuesday of this week, SMU polled steel buyers on a variety of subjects, including current and future steel prices, inventory strategies, supply, demand, and new mill capacity. Rather than summarizing the comments we received, we are sharing some of them in each buyer’s own words. We want to hear your thoughts, too! […]