Steel prices seem to be changing by the minute, and so far always in an upward direction. What’s the going price for hot rolled? “Who knows? Ask me again after lunch,” quipped one respondent to Steel Market Update’s check of the market this week. SMU estimates the current average price for HRC is at a […]
Continuing the uptrend from last year, weekly raw steel production by U.S. mills totaled 1,738,000 net tons in the week ending Jan. 16, up 1.7 percent from the week prior when the total was 1,709,000 net tons. The mill utilization rate was 76.7 percent, up from 75.4 percent week on week, yet still down 8.8 […]
U.S. apparent steel supply continued its upwards crawl in November, up 0.4 percent to 7.32 million net tons, according to the latest U.S. Department of Commerce and American Iron and Steel Institute data. While supply levels have improved each month since May, recall that April and May were the two lowest levels seen in the […]
The market for secondary steel is even tighter than the market for prime steel, report service center sources. Secondary steel is a niche market occupied by a handful of distributors who specialize in finding homes for coils that have been rejected by their original buyers. Some coils may have minor surface flaws, others may have […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Ryan McKinley and Analyst Dave Thewlis, from CRU’s Steel Long Products Monitor U.S. domestic long product prices rose further m/m in January, hitting multi-year highs (see chart) as limited supply met with strong demand. Buyers are increasingly relying on domestic mills to acquire material, as global prices have made importing less […]
By CRU Analyst Sam Grant, from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor Galvanized steel sheet equates to around 30% of refined zinc demand, making it the most significant first use for zinc globally. China is by far the world’s largest producer, responsible for 33% of the global total, with North East Asia, North America and Europe […]
This report examines the import share of sheet, plate, long and tubular products. As of November 2020, imports’ share of total sheet products was 11.4 percent, down from 11.8 percent in October. Imports’ share has been on a steady decline since its most recent peak of 16.6 percent this past May. The import share of […]
On Tuesday, Jan. 14, USS POSCO notified customers of an upward revision to their galvanized steel coating extras, to apply on all new orders effective immediately. UPI is the fourth mill to revise their galvanized coating extras recently, following NLMK, CSI, and Nucor. SMU has done an analysis on the old and new extras, provided […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis An administrative change in Washington, D.C., arrives this week. Some of the parties with vested interests in Section 232 are already messaging the Biden administration. On Jan. 13, the American Primary Aluminum Association (APAA), which consists of Century Aluminum and Magnitude Seven Aluminum, sent a letter to President-elect Biden […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis The primary aluminum industry has operated with the same technology since the large-scale production process was developed in 1886. It is a carbon-based electrolytic process. This process generates a lot of CO2. Global aluminum producers have been focused on reducing GHG for some time, but efforts have accelerated in […]
By CRU Prices Analyst George Pearson from CRU’s Steel Sheet Products Monitor HR coil import prices and lead times are now competitive with domestic mills in the U.S. and Europe. Both markets remain tight in the short-term, but this is giving buyers more optionality for forward deliveries than in previous months and some negotiation power […]
By CRU Senior Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor In the past week, iron ore has witnessed its steepest price fall since July 2019. Declining steel margins in China and mills having successfully built up inventories, in combination with an upcoming Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday, resulted in weaker buying interest. Supply side […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis Like the steel industry, the aluminum industry has long recognized the economic value of scrap. Every time virgin aluminum prices have risen, buyers have accelerated substitution of scrap for virgin metal. Now, economic sensibility has been married to the new focus on sustainability. Consumer-facing market segments are leading the […]
By CRU Analysis Advisor Greg Wittbecker Ford announced in February that it would be all electric in Europe by 2030. This comes on the heels of General Motors stopping production of internal combustion engines (ICE) by 2035. These decisions underscore the shifting landscape in key aluminum applications and use within automotive. Die-castings have always been […]
By CRU Analysis Advisor Greg Wittbecker In January 2016, Bitcoin was trading at 450 to the U.S. dollar. Recent prices hit over 58,000 and are now trading around 48,000. There are investment advisors suggesting cryptocurrencies should be part of investors’ portfolios. It appears that Bitcoin and its imitators are going mainstream. While this fascination with […]
By CRU Advisor Greg Wittbecker Buyers of aluminum have been spoiled since the global financial crisis by persistent surpluses and relatively benign price action. That is changing. Inventories are Depleting and What Remains is in Strong Hands Global inventories expressed in days of global consumption stood at 78 days ending 2020. This compares to 114 […]
By CRU Analysis Advisor Greg Wittbecker Environmental, social and governance (ESG) is now core to most major corporations. Companies that don’t put strong emphasis on this do so at their peril. Many companies are using ESG as an opportunity to create competitive advantage. These advantages are coming through several approaches. Sustainable Production Sustainability can be […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis The grounding of the MV Ever Given in the Suez Canal has multiple repercussions on the global maritime supply chain, but it is especially acute for the aluminum market. Gulf Region Production is Important The Gulf Region in terms of aluminum production comprises Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis China has staked out ambitious goals to decarbonize its overall economy. President Xi has said that CO2 emissions will peak before 2030 and that China will be carbon neutral by 2060. The Macro-economic Perspective China generates 28% of global CO2 emissions. Its energy-related emissions are 15% of the world’s […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis U.S. Midwest primary aluminum expressed over LME cash is 26-27 cents per pound, touted at “record levels.” In October 2014, Midwest traded premiums reached 23 cents per pound, so on paper we have set a new high….or have we? 2014: the Era of the LME Warehouse Queues We don’t […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis The EU continues to move ahead on its plan to decrease greenhouse gases (GHGs). Here’s some historical context on emissions management in the EU. The EU has been on a long journey to its current condition. Phase 1 of its decarbonization plan took place between 2005-2017. The Emissions Trading […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis Welcome to inflation after a 40-year absence. I spoke at the 2021 Aluminum Extruders Council Annual Meeting in March and said to the audience that if you were under the age of 55, you probably have never seen real inflation. The last time the U.S. experienced high, persistent inflation […]
By CRU Principal Analyst Erik Hedborg, from CRU’s Steelmaking Raw Materials Monitor The iron ore market has experienced one of the most volatile weeks on record. Prices have traded within a $40 /dmt range within the past week due to demand uncertainty in China. On Tuesday, May 18, CRU assessed the 62% Fe fines price […]
By CRU Research Manager, Aluminum, Eoin Dinsmore Utilizing the powerful CarbonFlow feature in CRU’s Emissions Analysis Tool, we explain why Rusal is proposing a demerger of its higher-carbon aluminum assets. UC Rusal, the largest aluminum producer outside China, announced on May 18 that it plans to split into two companies. “AL+” will house the company’s […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis Whenever prices for key commodities such as aluminum, steel, wood or rubber start to really rise, there is a natural tendency for Procurement Officers to say, “let’s look at alternatives.” That’s their job, and if they weren’t looking at options to compensate for cost increases, they would be fired. […]
Tex-Isle Inc. plans to build a new electric-resistance welded (ERW) pipe mill with annual capacity of 350,000 tons per year near Steel Dynamics Inc.’s (SDI’s) new flat-rolled mill in Sinton, Texas. The new pipe mill is scheduled to open in Robstown, Texas, in the third quarter of this year and will be adjacent to Tex-Isle’s […]
By Greg Wittbecker, Advisor, CRU Analysis Primary aluminum prices are on a roll in China and the World ex China. The Shanghai Metal Exchange (SHFE) spot price is 18,425 RMB or $2,825 per metric ton. Even adjusting out the 13% Value-Added-Tax (VAT) embedded in that price, it’s still a 10-year high of $2,500 per metric […]
Plate prices usually carry a premium to hot-rolled coil tags – but that typical relationship has been turned upside down since early October. The question now: Could price hikes of at least $140 per ton announced by some North American plate mills last week help narrow the gap? The Numbers SMU’s hot-rolled coil price currently […]
U.S. steel exports slipped 8 percent in November to 668,000 tons, according to recent U.S. Department of Commerce data. Although down over the prior month, November shows improvement compared to earlier this year; exports are up 79 percent compared to May, when we saw the lowest level in SMU’s 24-year data history. Total November exports […]
The laws of economics state that rising prices eventually cut into demand. With hot rolled steel prices at a record high of $1,080 per ton, has steel demand begun to suffer? Comments from the service center and OEM executives responding to Steel Market Update’s questionnaire this week were evenly divided. “No, the high steel prices […]